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HOME›TEAMS›ALABAMA›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
SEC|NICK SABAN|—RECORD11-1|CONF—
ALABAMA#1 AP 1 FPISEC · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
100FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#122 BC / 27
BC RATIO
71%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
11-1ACTUALvs11.4-0.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+27.6
11 wins against a scoring profile describing 11.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
69MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HFLORIDA STATE—W 24-7979494+6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HFRESNO STATE—W 41-10313737+63BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HCOLORADO STATE—W 41-23425656+44BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23AVANDERBILT—W 59-0674545+55BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HOLE MISS—W 66-3888080+20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7ATEXAS A&M—W 27-19897272+28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HARKANSAS—W 41-9835151+49BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HTENNESSEE—W 45-7924848+52BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4HLSU#18W 24-10969292+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11AMISSISSIPPI STATE#19W 31-24818686+14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HMERCER—W 56-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
13NOV 25AAUBURN#10L 14-26959494+6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET92NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
JALEN HURTSQB SERET
★4—00%——
13
TUA TAGOVAILOAQB JUNO SNAPS
★5—00%——
18
MONTANA MURPHYQB —RET
UNR—00%——
18
WHEELER HARRISQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
16
KYLE EDWARDSQB —NO SNAPS
UNR★300%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET87NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
RONNIE CLARKRB SERET
UNR—00%——
9
BO SCARBROUGHRB —RET
UNR—00%——
34
DAMIEN HARRISRB SERET
UNR—00%——
8
JOSH JACOBSRB JURET
★3—00%——
22
NAJEE HARRISRB SENO SNAPS
★5—00%——
4
BRIAN ROBINSON JR.RB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
35
DE'MARQUISE LOCKRIDGERB SERET
UNR—00%——
39
JAHI BROWNRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
38
ZAVIER MAPPRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
27
AUSTIN JOHNSONWR —RET
★3—00%——
3
CALVIN RIDLEYWR —RET
UNR—00%——
17
CAM SIMSWR —RET
UNR—00%——
87
MILLER FORRISTALLTE SERET
★3—00%——
4
JERRY JEUDYWR JUNO SNAPS
★5—00%——
11
HENRY RUGGS IIIWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
1
ROBERT FOSTERWR —RET
UNR—00%——
81
DEREK KIEFWR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
HALE HENTGESTE SERET
UNR—00%——
19
XAVIAN MARKSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
82
IRV SMITH JR.TE JURET
★3—00%——
88
MAJOR TENNISONTE SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
6
DEVONTA SMITHWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
85
DREW KOBAYASHIWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
43
DANIEL POWELLTE SERET
UNR—00%——
84
JOSHUA LANIERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
GILES AMOSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
16
MAC HEREFORDWR SERET
UNR—00%——
83
JOHN PARKERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
86
CONNOR ADAMSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
32
JALEN JACKSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
86
QUINDARIUS WATKINSTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
83
CAM STEWARTTE —RET
UNR—00%——
30
DANIEL SKEHANWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
37
JONATHAN RICEWR —RET
UNR—00%——
42
JACOB PARKERTE —RET
UNR—00%——
32
SWADE HUTCHINSONWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
46
JOSEPH HARVEYTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
48
SEAN GOODMANTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
45
HUNTER BRYANTTE —RET
UNR—00%——
44
KEDRICK JAMESTE —NO SNAPS
★4—00%——
30
CHRIS HERRINGWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
NAJEE HARRISHS RECRUITRB★5UNR
ALEX LEATHERWOODHS RECRUITOT★5UNR
DYLAN MOSESHS RECRUITOLB★5UNR
JERRY JEUDYHS RECRUITWR★5UNR
LABRYAN RAYHS RECRUITSDE★5UNR
TUA TAGOVAILOAHS RECRUITDUAL★5UNR
JEDRICK WILLSHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
XAVIER MCKINNEYHS RECRUITS★4UNR
DEVONTA SMITHHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
HENRY RUGGS IIIHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT20 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DERRICK GOREUL MONROERBUNRUNR
BLAKE BARNETTARIZONA STATEQBUNRUNR
ARDARIUS STEWARTNFL DRAFT R3WRUNR—
TIM WILLIAMSNFL DRAFT R3LBUNR—
RYAN ANDERSONNFL DRAFT R2LBUNR—
DALVIN TOMLINSONNFL DRAFT R2DLUNR—
O.J. HOWARDNFL DRAFT R1TEUNR—
JONATHAN ALLENNFL DRAFT R1DLUNR—
REUBEN FOSTERNFL DRAFT R1LBUNR—
EDDIE JACKSONNFL DRAFT R4DBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#1NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
22OF 27 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9380COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST79% BACK79th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG79% BACK79th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR92%92th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE