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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGEPRESEASON · NO CHARTED PLAY
SEC|JEFF LEBBY|—RECORD2-0|CONF—
MISSISSIPPI STATE27 FPISEC · 2026 SEASON
TALENT
86FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
72%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
23%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-12IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#234 BC / 28
BC RATIO
38%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2026 · FULL SEASON
No scoring record for this season yet, so there is nothing to compare the win-loss record against.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT89
CONTINUITY72
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT68
CONTINUITY23
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE2 PLAYED · 10 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
30MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
88MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
+58REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 6PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 5HUL MONROE—W 62-13400+74BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 12AMINNESOTA—W 38-13716060+14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 19ASOUTH CAROLINA—UPCOMING908888-14HARDEST REMAINING TIER
4SEP 26HMISSOURI#23UPCOMING878585-11HARDEST REMAINING TIER
5OCT 3HALABAMA#12UPCOMING989393-19HARDEST REMAINING TIER
7OCT 17ALSU#8UPCOMING959595-21HARDEST REMAINING TIER
8OCT 24HOKLAHOMA#11UPCOMING889191-17HARDEST REMAINING TIER
9OCT 31ATEXAS#4UPCOMING999696-22HARDEST REMAINING TIER
10NOV 7HVANDERBILT—UPCOMING707575-1HARDEST REMAINING TIER
11NOV 14HAUBURN—UPCOMING887979-5HARDEST REMAINING TIER
12NOV 21HTENNESSEE TECH—UPCOMING————NON-FBS OPPONENT
13NOV 27AOLE MISS#9UPCOMING918686-12HARDEST REMAINING TIER
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB52TAL95PERF52RET80ONE OWNERn=2 · 5 METRICS · 10 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
KAMARIO TAYLORQB SORET
★4—8680%+21—
15
PARKER PUCKETTQB FRRET
UNR—3720%——
8
JADEN RASHADAQB JUPORTAL · SACRAMENTO STATE
★4★300%-41FELL
17
AJ SWANNQB SEPORTAL · APP STATE
★4★300%-19FELL
14
BRODIE MCWHORTERQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾RB57TAL80PERF57RET78ROTATIONn=5 · 9 METRICS · 34 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
24
FLUFF BOTHWELLRB JURET
★3★49040%+26ROSE
6
KOLIN WILSONRB FRRET
★3—7125%+35—
21
J.J. HILLRB FRTRUE FR
★3—4615%——
5
XAVIER GAYTENRB JURET
★4—4013%+34—
25
COOPER CROSBYRB FRTRUE FR
★3—207%——
22
BRINSTON WILLIAMSRB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
▾WR/TE60TAL62PERF62RET52ONE OWNERn=11 · 7 METRICS · 54 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
ANTHONY EVANS IIIWR SERET
★4★39223%+3FELL
87
SAM WESTTE JURET
★3★38865%+9HELD
7
ZION RAGINSWR SOPORTAL · OKLAHOMA
★4★38720%-67FELL
2
MARQUIS JOHNSONWR SEPORTAL · MISSOURI
★3★48418%+31ROSE
13
SANFRISCO MAGEEWR SORET
★3—7515%——
0
GRACEN HARRISWR FRRET
★3—5910%——
18
RILEY WILLIAMSTE JUPORTAL · OREGON STATE
★4★34828%+6FELL
12
MATT MAYFIELDWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—406%——
81
ZION CRUMPTONWR FRTRUE FR
★3—406%——
9
CAMDEN CAPEHARTWR FRTRUE FR
★3—223%——
4
ZAYION COTTONTE FRTRUE FR
★4—107%——
11
AYDEN WILLIAMSWR SERET
★4★300%-34FELL
88
JOESEPH SKIPWORTHTE FRRET
★3—00%——
22
JAYYTEE TAYLORWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
84
ADAM LANDTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
16
JAYDEN CRATIONWR FRTRUE FR
★4—00%——
19
JUNIOR HENDERSONWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
85
LUKE HUTCHINSONTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
89
JESSIE PRIMER IVWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
10
BULL MITCHELLWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
80
FISHER SOUTHALLWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL58TAL65PERF58RET25n=13 · 2 METRICS · 25 OBS
▸DL41TAL77PERF41RET55n=11 · 7 METRICS · 62 OBS
▸LB36TAL82PERF36RET100n=8 · 11 METRICS · 52 OBS
▸DB58TAL64PERF58RET27n=12 · 7 METRICS · 42 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BRALAN WOMACKHS RECRUITS★4UNR
MICAH NICKERSONHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
ZAYION COTTONHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
JAYDEN CRATIONHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
ZION CRUMPTONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
TICO CRITTENDON JR.HS RECRUITDL★3UNR
CHRIS ADDISONHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
KEYMIAN HENDERSON JR.HS RECRUITWR★3UNR
TERRELL JOHNSON JR.HS RECRUITCB★3UNR
DALTON TOOTHMANHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN5 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MARQUIS JOHNSONMISSOURIWR★3★4
DEALYN EVANSTEXAS A&MDL★4★4
AMAREE WILLIAMSFLORIDA STATEEDGE★4★3
TYLER MILLERLSUOT★4★3
JAYSON JENKINSFLORIDA STATEEDGE★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT48 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KEDRICK BINGLEY-JONESALABAMADL★4★3
JAYVEN WILLIAMSBYUCBUNR★3
RICKY JOHNSONUTAHWR★3★3
JOSEPH HEAD JR.MEMPHISDL★3★3
CYRUS REYESKENTUCKYDB★3★3
ASHUN SHEPPHARDCALIFORNIADLUNR★3
MAX REESENORTH TEXASTE★3★3
JOHNNIE DANIELSTULANERBUNR★3
MONTRELL CHAPMANOLD DOMINIONLBUNR★3
ELIJAH CANNONKANSASCB★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES52%10 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS63%12 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#23NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
4OF 28 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8744COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
2840 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
68TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
14
11
19
16
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.3 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-11 TO +7 W
IMPROVED24 OF 68
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST40% BACK40th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG40% BACK40th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR25%25th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR80%80th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST27%27th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE