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HOME›TEAMS›ALABAMA›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
SEC|NICK SABAN|—RECORD10-2|CONF—
ALABAMA#8 AP 4 FPISEC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
100FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#126 BC / 30
BC RATIO
77%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
10-2ACTUALvs10.8-1.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+29.4
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
59MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HDUKE—W 42-3694848+50BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HNEW MEXICO STATE—W 62-10855+93BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14ASOUTH CAROLINA—W 47-23856565+33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HSOUTHERN MISS—W 49-7363232+66BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HOLE MISS—W 59-31826060+38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12ATEXAS A&M—W 47-28928585+13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HTENNESSEE—W 35-13897878+20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HARKANSAS—W 48-7821717+81BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HLSU#1L 41-46979999-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16AMISSISSIPPI STATE—W 38-7846262+36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HWESTERN CAROLINA—W 66-3————NON-FBS OPPONENT
14NOV 30AAUBURN#14L 45-48919494+4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET84NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
TAULIA TAGOVAILOAQB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
13
TUA TAGOVAILOAQB JURET
★5—00%——
10
MAC JONESQB JURET
★3—00%——
7
BRAXTON BARKERQB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
12
PAUL TYSONQB SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
15
JAYDEN GEORGEQB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
14
STONE HOLLENBACHQB JUNO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET40NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
35
DE'MARQUISE LOCKRIDGERB SERET
UNR—00%——
7
KEILAN ROBINSONRB SENO SNAPS
★5★300%—FELL
22
NAJEE HARRISRB SERET
★5—00%——
4
BRIAN ROBINSON JR.RB SERET
★4—00%——
24
JEROME FORDRB JURET
★4—00%——
2
TREY SANDERSRB SENO SNAPS
★5★300%—FELL
35
COOPER BISHOPRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
23
A.J. GATESRB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
39
JAHI BROWNRB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
14
TYRELL SHAVERSWR SERET
★4★300%—FELL
87
MILLER FORRISTALLTE SERET
★3—00%——
85
GILES AMOSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
4
JERRY JEUDYWR JURET
★5—00%——
11
HENRY RUGGS IIIWR JURET
★4—00%——
8
JOHN METCHIEWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
9
JAHLEEL BILLINGSLEYTE SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
88
MAJOR TENNISONTE SERET
★4—00%——
5
CHADARIUS TOWNSENDWR SERET
★4—00%——
6
DEVONTA SMITHWR SERET
★4—00%——
18
SLADE BOLDENWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
17
JAYLEN WADDLEWR JURET
★4—00%——
81
CAMERON LATUTE SERET
★4—00%——
85
DREW KOBAYASHIWR SERET
★3—00%——
43
DANIEL POWELLTE SERET
UNR—00%——
84
JOSHUA LANIERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
16
MAC HEREFORDWR SERET
UNR—00%——
83
JOHN PARKERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
86
CONNOR ADAMSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
3
XAVIER WILLIAMSWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
32
JALEN JACKSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
80
MICHAEL PARKERTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
86
QUINDARIUS WATKINSTE JURET
UNR—00%——
38
ERIC POELLNITZWR FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
41
KYLE SMOAKWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
83
RICHARD HUNTTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
GRANT KRIEGERWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
46
MELVIN BILLINGSLEYTE SERET
UNR—00%——
8
JOHN METCHIE IIIWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ANTONIO ALFANOHS RECRUITSDE★5UNR
TREY SANDERSHS RECRUITRB★5UNR
EVAN NEALHS RECRUITOT★5UNR
PIERCE QUICKHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
JORDAN BATTLEHS RECRUITS★4UNR
ISHMAEL SOPSHERHS RECRUITDT★4UNR
JUSTIN EBOIGBEHS RECRUITSDE★4UNR
AMARI KIGHTHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
BYRON YOUNGHS RECRUITDT★4UNR
SHANE LEEHS RECRUITILB★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT21 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KYRIQ MCDONALDCINCINNATIS★3UNR
JALEN HURTSOKLAHOMAQB★4UNR
MACK WILSONNFL DRAFT R5LB★5—
ISAIAH BUGGSNFL DRAFT R6DLUNR—
CHRISTIAN MILLERNFL DRAFT R4LBUNR—
ROSS PIERSCHBACHERNFL DRAFT R5OLUNR—
DEIONTE THOMPSONNFL DRAFT R5DBUNR—
DAMIEN HARRISNFL DRAFT R3RBUNR—
IRV SMITH JR.NFL DRAFT R2TE★3—
QUINNEN WILLIAMSNFL DRAFT R1DL★4—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#1NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
26OF 30 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9275COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST63% BACK63th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG63% BACK63th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR84%84th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE