SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2022 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›ALABAMA›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
SEC|NICK SABAN|—RECORD11-2|CONF—
ALABAMA#5 AP 2 FPISEC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
100FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
12%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#224 BC / 26
BC RATIO
88%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
10-2ACTUALvs10.5-1.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+22.8
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE95
PERFORMANCE95
TALENT93
CONTINUITY12
DEFENSE99
PERFORMANCE99
TALENT95
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
69MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
5 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HUTAH STATE—W 55-0171717+81BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10ATEXAS#25W 20-19969595+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17HUL MONROE—W 63-7141111+87BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24HVANDERBILT—W 55-3593535+63BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1AARKANSAS—W 49-26827878+20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8HTEXAS A&M—W 24-20987272+26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15ATENNESSEE#6L 49-52879797+1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22HMISSISSIPPI STATE#20W 30-6808686+12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5ALSU#16L 31-32959090+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12AOLE MISS—W 30-24849090+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HAUSTIN PEAY—W 34-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
13NOV 26HAUBURN—W 49-27885959+39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 31AKANSAS STATE#14W 45-20539494+4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB76TAL97PERF76RET99ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 13 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
BRYCE YOUNGQB JURET
★4—9085%+34—
4
JALEN MILROEQB JURET
★4—5114%-28—
15
TY SIMPSONQB JUNO SNAPS
★5—91%——
17
AMANNI STEWARTQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
16
CADE CARRUTHQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB76TAL97PERF76RET46ONE OWNERn=4 · 9 METRICS · 26 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
JAHMYR GIBBSRB JUNO SNAPS
★4—9648%+10—
2
JASE MCCLELLANRB SERET
★4—8529%+21—
5
ROYDELL WILLIAMSRB SERET
★5★46614%-5FELL
26
JAM MILLERRB SENO SNAPS
★4—485%+27—
2
TREY SANDERSRB SERET
★5★3393%-12FELL
27
JONATHAN BENNETTRB SERET
UNR—50%——
29
ELIJAH CROCKETTRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
27
MICHAEL LORINO IIIRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE54TAL90PERF59RET60ONE OWNERn=9 · 8 METRICS · 54 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
81
CAMERON LATUTE SERET
★4—9865%+34—
3
JERMAINE BURTONWR SENO SNAPS
★4—8923%+25—
1
JA'COREY BROOKSWR SERET
★5★48520%+18FELL
7
ISAIAH BONDWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★57214%-30ROSE
16
KOBE PRENTICEWR SENO SNAPS
★4★37112%+9FELL
1
TRAESHON HOLDENWR SERET
★4★47012%+9HELD
11
JOJO EARLEWR SERET
★4★36610%-31FELL
1
KENDRICK LAWWR SENO SNAPS
★4★4596%-31HELD
45
ROBBIE OUZTSTE SERET
★3—5814%——
87
MILES KITSELMANTE SENO SNAPS
UNR★3353%—EMERGED
84
AMARI NIBLACKTE SENO SNAPS
★4★4353%—HELD
1
CHRISTIAN LEARYWR SERET
★4★3331%—FELL
87
DANNY LEWISTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★3292%—HELD
15
TYLER HARRELLWR SENO SNAPS
★3★3291%+37HELD
2
EMMANUEL HENDERSON JR.WR SENO SNAPS
★4★3130%—FELL
7
SHAZZ PRESTONWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★3100%—FELL
1
AARON ANDERSONWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
14
THAIU JONES-BELLWR JURET
★4★400%—HELD
44
CHARLIE SKEHANTE FRRET
UNR—00%——
89
GRANT KRIEGERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
36
BRET BOLINWR SERET
UNR—00%——
43
ROBERT ELLISTE SERET
UNR—00%——
37
SAM WILLOUGHBYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
ELIJAH BROWNTE JUNO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
47
ADAM THORSLANDTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
30
JACOBY BOYKINSWR SORET
UNR★200%—EMERGED
47
JAX PORTERTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
35
ZARIAN COURTNEYWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
46
PEYTON FOXTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
32
JAY LOPER JR.WR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
33
JACK STANDEFFERWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
34
MEKIEL STEWARTWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
23
MJ CHIRGWINWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
48
HAYDEN NEIGHBORSWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL65TAL93PERF65RET7n=7 · 3 METRICS · 21 OBS
▸DL71TAL94PERF71RET93n=9 · 8 METRICS · 45 OBS
▸LB76TAL94PERF76RET86n=4 · 11 METRICS · 34 OBS
▸DB71TAL97PERF71RET80n=7 · 8 METRICS · 44 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JEREMIAH ALEXANDERHS RECRUITEDGE★5UNR
JIHAAD CAMPBELLHS RECRUITEDGE★5UNR
TY SIMPSONHS RECRUITQB★5UNR
AARON ANDERSONHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
ELIJAH PRITCHETTHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
EMMANUEL HENDERSON JR.HS RECRUITRB★4UNR
ISAIAH BONDHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
SHAZZ PRESTONHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
TYLER BOOKERHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
KHURTISS PERRYHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT21 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAHLEEL BILLINGSLEYTEXASTE★4UNR
AGIYE HALLTEXASWR★4★3
STEPHON WYNN JR.NEBRASKADT★4UNR
MARCUS BANKSMISSISSIPPI STATES★4UNR
SHANE LEEUSCLB★4UNR
JAVON BAKERUCFWR★4UNR
DREW SANDERSARKANSASLB★4UNR
PAUL TYSONELIGIBILITY UPQB★4—
DANIEL WRIGHTELIGIBILITY UPDB★4—
LABRYAN RAYELIGIBILITY UPDL★5—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#2NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
24OF 26 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9486COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
28TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
11
6
3
4
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.3 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +4 W
IMPROVED7 OF 28
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST59% BACK59th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG59% BACK59th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR7%7th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR99%99th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST80%80th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE