SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2025 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›ALABAMA›2025TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
SEC|KALEN DEBOER|—RECORD11-4|CONF—
ALABAMA#9 AP 10 FPISEC · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
99FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
73%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
80%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-15IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#317 BC / 20
BC RATIO
74%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
10-3ACTUALvs10.4-2.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+13.8
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE86
PERFORMANCE86
TALENT91
CONTINUITY73
DEFENSE93
PERFORMANCE93
TALENT94
CONTINUITY80
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE15 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
76MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
6 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30AFLORIDA STATE—L 17-31877070+16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 6HUL MONROE—W 73-01044+82BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 13HWISCONSIN—W 38-14803838+48BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 27AGEORGIA#6W 24-211009696-10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 4HVANDERBILT#15W 30-14619393-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11AMISSOURI—W 27-24858585+1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18HTENNESSEE—W 37-20898787-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 25ASOUTH CAROLINA—W 29-22886464+22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 8HLSU—W 20-9967777+9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15HOKLAHOMA#13L 21-23919090-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 22HEASTERN ILLINOIS—W 56-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
14NOV 29AAUBURN—W 27-20917979+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
15DEC 6HGEORGIA#6L 7-281009696-10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 19AOKLAHOMA#13W 34-24919090-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLJAN 1AINDIANA#1L 3-3848100100-14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB68TAL99PERF68RET97ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
15
TY SIMPSONQB JURET
★5—9990%+4—
10
AUSTIN MACKQB SERET
★4★4507%+39HELD
12
KEELON RUSSELLQB SONO SNAPS
★5—323%——
16
CADE CARRUTHQB SERET
UNR—00%——
13
JOHN GAZZANIGAQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
19
JOHN COOPERQB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾RB48TAL92PERF49RET92ROTATIONn=4 · 9 METRICS · 25 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
26
JAM MILLERRB SERET
★4—9037%-24—
4
DANIEL HILLRB JURET
★4—8633%-19—
6
KEVIN RILEYRB JURET
★4—7218%+36—
9
RICHARD YOUNGRB SERET
★4★3495%+21FELL
0
AK DEARRB SONO SNAPS
★4—454%+36—
20
DRE WASHINGTONRB SENO SNAPS
★3—434%+20—
27
MICHAEL LORINO IIIRB SERET
UNR—00%——
34
JESSIE WASHINGTON IIIRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
29
FREDRICK MOORERB JURET
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE70TAL91PERF71RET61ONE OWNERn=7 · 8 METRICS · 50 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
GERMIE BERNARDWR SERET
★4★49930%+19HELD
1
RYAN COLEMAN-WILLIAMSWR JURET
★5—9523%+11—
80
JOSH CUEVASTE SERET
UNR★39447%+31EMERGED
7
ISAIAH HORTONWR SEPORTAL · MIAMI
★4★49121%+6HELD
81
KALEB EDWARDSTE SONO SNAPS
★4—8330%-5—
3
LOTZEIR BROOKSWR SONO SNAPS
★4—7914%+17—
7
RICO SCOTTWR JURET
★4★3678%-11FELL
88
JAY LINDSEYTE JURET
★3—547%——
87
DANNY LEWISTE SERET
★3★3526%—HELD
9
MARSHALL PRITCHETTTE SONO SNAPS
★4—516%——
89
BRODY DALTONTE SEPORTAL · TROY
★3★3403%+34HELD
2
JALEN HALEWR JURET
★5★3371%+3FELL
30
DEREK MEADOWSWR SONO SNAPS
★4—361%——
7
COLE ADAMSWR SERET
★4★3361%+30FELL
86
PETER KNUDSONTE SEPORTAL · WEBER STATE
★2★3271%—ROSE
85
JACK SAMMARCOTE JUPORTAL · WEST VIRGINIA
★3★3171%—HELD
23
MJ CHIRGWINWR SERET
UNR—140%——
32
JAY LOPER JR.WR SERET
UNR—140%——
46
PEYTON FOXTE SERET
UNR—40%——
48
JAYDEN HOBSONTE SOPORTAL · SOUTH ALABAMA
★3★300%—HELD
31
COOPER MOLLISONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
6
AERYN HAMPTONWR SONO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
42
BEN JACKSONWR SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▸OL79TAL88PERF79RET72n=8 · 3 METRICS · 23 OBS
▸DL65TAL93PERF65RET85n=10 · 7 METRICS · 50 OBS
▸LB68TAL96PERF68RET72n=6 · 11 METRICS · 48 OBS
▸DB70TAL94PERF70RET84n=8 · 8 METRICS · 51 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS18 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KEELON RUSSELLHS RECRUITQB★5UNR
DIJON LEE JR.HS RECRUITCB★5UNR
MICHAEL CARROLLHS RECRUITIOL★5UNR
JACKSON LLOYDHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
CHUCK MCDONALD IIIHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
AK DEARHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
JUSTIN HILLHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
IVAN TAYLORHS RECRUITS★4UNR
DEREK MEADOWSHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
DUKE JOHNSON IIHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN7 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ISAIAH HORTONMIAMIWR★4★4
KELBY COLLINSFLORIDADL★4★4
CAMERON CALHOUNUTAHCBUNR★4
NIKHAI HILL-GREENCOLORADOLB★4★4
KAM DEWBERRYTEXAS A&MIOL★4★3
DRE'LYN WASHINGTONLOUISIANARBUNR★3
ARKEL ANUGWOMBALL STATEOTUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT34 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ELIJAH PRITCHETTNEBRASKAOL★4★4
DEVONTA SMITHNOTRE DAMECB★4★3
DAMON PAYNEMICHIGANDL★5★3
JUSTICE HAYNESMICHIGANRB★5★4
KING MACKPENN STATES★4★3
KEANU KOHTVANDERBILTEDGE★4★3
KENDRICK LAWKENTUCKYWR★4★4
MILES MCVAYNORTH CAROLINAOL★4★3
EMMANUEL HENDERSON JR.KANSASWR★4★3
KOBE PRENTICEBAYLORWR★4★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES55%6 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS57%10 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#3NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
17OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9337COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1126 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
48TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
3
11
10
12
12
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.3 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +10 W
IMPROVED24 OF 48
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST40% BACK40th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG40% BACK40th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR72%72th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR97%97th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST84%84th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE