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HOME›TEAMS›APP STATE›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
SUN BELT|ELI DRINKWITZ|—RECORD12-1|CONF—
APP STATE#19 AP 29 FPISBC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
27FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1010 BC / 18
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
12-1ACTUALvs10.8-2.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+19.2
12 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
38MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HEAST TENNESSEE STATE—W 42-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 7HCHARLOTTE—W 56-41212727+53BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21ANORTH CAROLINA—W 34-31807878+2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HCOASTAL CAROLINA—W 56-3791313+67BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 9ALOUISIANA—W 17-7267676+4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HUL MONROE—W 52-7151616+64BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26ASOUTH ALABAMA—W 30-32066+74BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10OCT 31HGEORGIA SOUTHERN—L 21-24263434+46BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9ASOUTH CAROLINA—W 20-15856565+15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16AGEORGIA STATE—W 56-27191818+62BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HTEXAS STATE—W 35-131699+71BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29ATROY—W 48-13223535+45BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
15DEC 7HLOUISIANA—W 45-38267676+4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET92NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
JACOB HUESMANQB SERET
★2—00%——
12
ZAC THOMASQB SERET
★2—00%——
9
JACKSON GIBBSQB JURET
UNR—00%——
10
TANNER WILSONQB SERET
UNR—00%——
15
DAVID BALDWIN-GRIFFINQB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET77NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
DARRYNTON EVANSRB JURET
★2—00%——
MARCUS WILLIAMS JR.RB SERET
UNR—00%——
6
CAMERUN PEOPLESRB JURET
★2—00%——
4
DAETRICH HARRINGTONRB SERET
★3—00%——
45
GABE MONTGOMERYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
27
NAKENDRICK CLARKRB SERET
★2—00%——
22
RAYKWON ANDERSONRB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
24
BEN WILLIAMSRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
DASHAUN DAVISWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★200%—FELL
2
COREY SUTTONWR SERET
★3—00%——
87
COLLIN REEDTE SERET
UNR—00%——
13
KEISHAWN WATSONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
HENRY PEARSONTE SERET
★3—00%——
11
JALEN VIRGILWR SERET
★2—00%——
5
THOMAS HENNIGANWR SERET
★3—00%——
14
MALIK WILLIAMSWR SERET
★3—00%——
MILAN TUCKERWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
9
CHRISTIAN WELLSWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
83
JAKE HENRYWR JURET
★2—00%——
21
MICHAEL QUEENWR SERET
UNR—00%——
82
RICHARD TUCKERWR SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
18
MIKE EVANSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
86
TREY ROSSTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
21
DYSAUN RAZZAKWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
MILLER GIBBSTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
AJ HALLWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
CHASE EIGHMYWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
25
SEAN HORTONWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
21
ELIJAH JOHNSONWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
2
COREY SUTTONWR —RET
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS18 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DAVID BALDWIN-GRIFFINHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
RAYKWON ANDERSONHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
BRENDAN HARRINGTONHS RECRUITS★3UNR
LARRY DOWDYHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
EMMANUEL JENKINSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JOURDAN HEILIGHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
RICKY KOFOEDHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
LYLE HIERSHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
CHRISTIAN WELLSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
TRE CALDWELLHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAY PERSONCHATTANOOGAPR★3UNR
D'ANDRE HICKSMCNEESERB★3UNR
MICHAEL RUBINOELIGIBILITY UPPKUNR—
BRAD ABSHERELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
AUSTIN EXFORDELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
OKON GODWINELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
JALIN MOOREELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
MYQUON STOUTELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
ANTHONY FLORYELIGIBILITY UPILBUNR—
TAE HAYESELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#101NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 18 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8179COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST84% BACK84th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG84% BACK84th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR92%92th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE