SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›ARIZONA STATE›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
BIG 12|TODD GRAHAM|—RECORD7-5|CONF—
ARIZONA STATE47 FPIB12 · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
85FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#323 BC / 18
BC RATIO
21%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
7-5ACTUALvs6.2-5.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+0.7
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
61MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HNEW MEXICO STATE—W 37-3162222+25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HSAN DIEGO STATE—L 20-30395858-11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16ATEXAS TECH—L 45-52636060-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HOREGON—W 37-35847171-24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30ASTANFORD#20L 24-34908585-38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HWASHINGTON#16W 13-7839393-46BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21AUTAH—W 30-10718181-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HUSC#12L 17-48988787-40BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4HCOLORADO—W 41-30595050-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11AUCLA—L 37-44926060-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18AOREGON STATE—W 40-24571515+32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HARIZONA—W 42-30665454-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET75NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
BLAKE BARNETTQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
5
MANNY WILKINSQB SERET
UNR—00%——
3
BRADY WHITEQB SERET
UNR—00%——
15
DILLON STERLING-COLEQB JURET
★4—00%——
16
KEVIN BROWNQB —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
14
RYAN KELLEYQB —NO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
ENO BENJAMINRB JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
7
KALEN BALLAGERB —RET
UNR—00%——
4
DEMARIO RICHARDRB —RET
UNR—00%——
28
TRELON SMITHRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
22
MARK COSGROVEFB SERET
UNR—00%——
31
ISAIAH FLOYDRB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
BRANDON LAMARCHERB —RET
UNR—00%——
35
JACOM BRIMHALLRB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
17
RYAN NEWSOMEWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
9
TERRELL CHATMANWR SERET
UNR—00%——
10
KYLE WILLIAMSWR SERET
★3—00%——
14
RYAN JENKINSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
87
TOMMY HUDSONTE SERET
UNR—00%——
1
N'KEAL HARRYWR JURET
★4—00%——
88
CEEJHAY FRENCH-LOVETE SERET
UNR—00%——
18
JOHN HUMPHREYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
FRANK DARBYWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
86
CURTIS HODGESTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
32
PAUL LUCASWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
JARED BUBAKTE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
2
BRANDON AIYUKWR SERET
UNR—00%——
35
DEVIN NEALWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
BRANDON PIERCEWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
16
DANIEL SANDERS-EFFIONGWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
TREVOR RUSSELLWR —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
92
ALEXANDER OTEROTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
48
FRANK OGASTE —RET
UNR—00%——
85
ANDREW NOBLEWR —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
83
TRENT GILBERTWR —RET
UNR—00%——
84
TYLER EGGERSWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
91
KYLE REMOWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
90
JOSH POKRAKATE —RET
UNR—00%——
92
MICHAEL GOMBERTTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
6
KYLE WILLIAMSWR —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS18 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ENO BENJAMINHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
ALEX PERRYHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
TYLER JOHNSONHS RECRUITWDE★4UNR
RYAN KELLEYHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
KJ JARRELLHS RECRUITS★3UNR
EVAN FIELDSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
TRELON SMITHHS RECRUITAPB★3UNR
KYLE SOELLEHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
CURTIS HODGESHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
TY THOMASHS RECRUITS★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT19 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ELLIS JEFFERSONHOUSTONWRUNRUNR
CAMERON SMITHNOTRE DAMEWR★3UNR
KAREEM ORRCHATTANOOGADBUNRUNR
RAYMOND EPPSSMUTEUNRUNR
BRYSON ECHOLSNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
SALAMO FISONOT LISTEDLBUNR—
FREDERICK GAMMAGENOT LISTEDWRUNR—
KODY KOHLNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
CARLOS MENDOZANOT LISTEDLBUNR—
MATT HAACKNOT LISTEDPUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#32NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
3OF 18 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8558COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST88% BACK88th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG88% BACK88th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR75%75th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE