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● LIVE|2026 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGEPRESEASON · NO CHARTED PLAY
BIG 12|JOEY MCGUIRE|—RECORD2-0|CONF—
TEXAS TECH#13 AP 16 FPIB12 · 2026 SEASON
TALENT
80FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
85%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
16%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
+4IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#189 BC / 22
BC RATIO
27%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2026 · FULL SEASON
No scoring record for this season yet, so there is nothing to compare the win-loss record against.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT87
CONTINUITY85
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT70
CONTINUITY16
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE2 PLAYED · 10 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
39MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
62MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
+23REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 1PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 5HABILENE CHRISTIAN—W 33-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 12AOREGON STATE—W 35-24453939+51BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18HHOUSTON#22UPCOMING597878+12HARDEST REMAINING TIER
4SEP 26HSAM HOUSTON—UPCOMING1566+84STILL TO COME
5OCT 3ACOLORADO—UPCOMING725858+32STILL TO COME
7OCT 17HARIZONA STATE—UPCOMING687070+20HARDEST REMAINING TIER
8OCT 24ACINCINNATI—UPCOMING456868+22STILL TO COME
9OCT 31HARIZONA—UPCOMING617676+14HARDEST REMAINING TIER
10NOV 7HWEST VIRGINIA—UPCOMING655555+35STILL TO COME
11NOV 14AOKLAHOMA STATE—UPCOMING536464+26STILL TO COME
12NOV 21ABAYLOR—UPCOMING696767+23STILL TO COME
13NOV 26HTCU—UPCOMING727777+13HARDEST REMAINING TIER
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB51TAL89PERF51RET97ONE OWNERn=2 · 5 METRICS · 7 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
15
WILL HAMMONDQB JURET
★4—7997%+11—
18
KIRK FRANCISQB SEPORTAL · TULSA
UNR★303%-25EMERGED
4
TOMMY CASTELLANOSQB SEPORTAL · FLORIDA STATE
★3★300%+23—
10
LLOYD JONES IIIQB SORET
★4—00%——
12
STEPHEN CANNONQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
16
HOLDEN PHILLIPSQB SORET
UNR—00%——
▾RB65TAL84PERF65RET81ROTATIONn=3 · 9 METRICS · 24 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
CAMERON DICKEYRB JURET
★3—9242%+9—
20
J'KOBY WILLIAMSRB JURET
★3—9039%+34—
0
QUINTEN JOYNERRB SERET
★4★46019%+32HELD
35
MICHAEL HENDERSON IIIRB SORET
★3—00%——
28
ASHTON ROWDENRB FRTRUE FR
★4—00%——
33
LOIC TSHIBANGURB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
32
SAWYER WILKERSONRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE64TAL62PERF63RET52ONE OWNERn=9 · 7 METRICS · 45 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
TERRANCE CARTER JR.TE SERET
★3—6851%+48—
2
KENNY JOHNSONWR SEPORTAL · PITTSBURGH
★3★35933%+1HELD
1
MICAH HUDSONWR JURET
★5★45631%+14FELL
85
JETT CARPENTERTE SEPORTAL · NEVADA
UNR★34835%+27EMERGED
3
COY EAKINWR SERET
★3—3617%+5—
9
DONTE LEE JR.WR SEPORTAL · LIBERTY
UNR★32712%+31EMERGED
5
MATT LUDWIGTE FRTRUE FR
★4—1814%——
14
BRYSON JONESWR SORET
★4—95%——
6
JALEN JONESWR SEPORTAL · ALABAMA STATE
★3★302%—HELD
11
MALCOLM SIMMONSWR JUPORTAL · AUBURN
★4★400%+18HELD
89
JASON LLEWELLYNTE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
83
JACK ESPARZATE SERET
UNR—00%——
21
TRISTIAN GENTRYWR SORET
★4—00%——
17
LEYTON STONEWR SORET
★3—00%——
13
CHASE CAMPBELLWR FRTRUE FR
★4—00%——
19
MICHAEL DEVERWR SORET
★4—00%——
84
IMARI JEHIELWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
88
QUINTAELYN JOYNERWR SORET
UNR—00%——
80
KAI POWELLWR SERET
UNR—00%——
▸OL66TAL85PERF66RET80n=5 · 2 METRICS · 10 OBS
▸DL77TAL74PERF77RET47n=5 · 7 METRICS · 33 OBS
▸LB75TAL67PERF75RET57n=9 · 11 METRICS · 54 OBS
▸DB68TAL70PERF68RET92n=8 · 7 METRICS · 29 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
LADAMION GUYTONHS RECRUITEDGE★5UNR
FELIX OJOHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
CHASE CAMPBELLHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
S'VIOAREAN MARTINHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
BRYCE GILMOREHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
MATT LUDWIGHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
KAEGAN ASHHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
DONOVAN WEBBHS RECRUITS★4UNR
ASHTON ROWDENHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
JERALD MAYSHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN8 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BRENDAN SORSBYCINCINNATIQB★3★5
MATEEN IBIROGBAWAKE FORESTDLUNR★4
MALCOLM SIMMONSAUBURNWR★4★4
JORDAN CHURCHLOUISVILLEIOL★3★4
ADAM TRICKMIAMI (OH)EDGE★3★4
COREY PLATT JR.HOUSTONLB★3★3
DAVIN MARTINUTSACB★3★3
AUSTIN ROMAINEKANSAS STATELB★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT41 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BRAYLON RIGSBYOKLAHOMA STATEDT★3★3
MO HORNOKLAHOMA STATECB★4★3
AMIER WASHINGTONUCLADL★3★3
CHETA OFILITCUEDGE★4★3
MITCH GRIFFISEAST CAROLINAQB★3★3
DYLAN SPENCERUTSALB★4★3
KELBY VALSINFLORIDA ATLANTICWR★3★3
EDDY SMITHUTSADL★3★3
TANNER ALLENABILENE CHRISTIANDLUNRUNR
T.J. WESTUTSAWR★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES11%4 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS35%4 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#18NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
9OF 22 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8934COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
2420 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
48TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
3
11
10
12
12
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.3 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +10 W
IMPROVED24 OF 48
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST57% BACK57th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG57% BACK57th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR80%80th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR97%97th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST92%92th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE