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● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›ARKANSAS›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
SEC|BRET BIELEMA|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
ARKANSAS69 FPISEC · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
83FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#273 BC / 20
BC RATIO
21%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
4-8ACTUALvs4.4-7.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-7.4
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
78MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
5 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HFLORIDA A&M—W 49-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 9HTCU#9L 7-28778888-37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HTEXAS A&M—L 43-50897272-21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HNEW MEXICO STATE—W 42-2462222+29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7ASOUTH CAROLINA—L 22-48826868-17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14AALABAMA#1L 9-41100100100-49BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HAUBURN#10L 20-52959494-43BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28AOLE MISS—W 38-37888080-29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4HCOASTAL CAROLINA—W 39-384———NON-FBS OPPONENT
11NOV 11ALSU#18L 10-33969292-41BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HMISSISSIPPI STATE#19L 21-28818686-35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24HMISSOURI—L 45-48697979-28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
AUSTIN ALLENQB —RET
UNR—00%——
4
TY STOREYQB SERET
UNR—00%——
15
COLE KELLEYQB SORET
★3—00%——
18
JACK LINDSEYQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
14
CARSON PROCTORQB —RET
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET31NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
21
DEVWAH WHALEYRB SERET
★4—00%——
41
T.J. HAMMONDSRB SERET
★4—00%——
33
DAVID WILLIAMSRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
34
KENDRICK JACKSONFB SERET
UNR—00%——
22
CHASE HAYDENRB SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
5
RAKEEM BOYDRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
32
MALEEK WILLIAMSRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
44
JERMARCUS ARNOLDRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
26
JUSTICE HOBBSRB —RET
UNR—00%——
31
CONNOR MCPHERSONRB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
DEON STEWARTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
32
HAYDEN JOHNSONTE SERET
★3—00%——
85
CHEYENNE O'GRADYTE SERET
UNR—00%——
10
WILL GRAGGTE SERET
UNR—00%——
7
LA'MICHAEL PETTWAYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
44
AUSTIN CANTRELLTE JURET
UNR—00%——
5
BRANDON MARTINWR —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
10
DE'VION WARRENWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
1
JARED CORNELIUSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
1
JARROD BARNESWR JURET
UNR—00%——
18
JEREMY PATTONTE SERET
UNR—00%——
82
GARY CROSSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
4
JONATHAN NANCEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
1
JORDAN JONESWR SERET
★3—00%——
83
JIMMIE STOUDEMIREWR SERET
UNR—00%——
89
GRAYSON GUNTERTE SERET
★3—00%——
87
BLAKE KERNTE SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
11
DAULTON HYATTWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
40
TREY PURIFOYTE SERET
UNR—00%——
19
RIVER WARNOCKWR —RET
UNR—00%——
87
JACK KRAUSTE —RET
UNR—00%——
83
DE’SHAWN GULLEDGEWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
17
KOFI BOATENGWR —RET
★3—00%——
14
MALEEK BARKLEYWR —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
16
LA’MICHAEL PETTWAYWR —RET
UNR—00%——
86
TOBIAS ENLOWWR —RET
★2—00%——
1
DE’VION WARRENWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
CHEYENNE O’GRADYTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHEVIN CALLOWAYHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
MONTARIC BROWNHS RECRUITS★4UNR
CHASE HAYDENHS RECRUITAPB★4UNR
DAULTON HYATTHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
KOILAN JACKSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
KAMREN CURLHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
DALTON WAGNERHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
MALEEK BARKLEYHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JARROD BARNESHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
KIRBY ADCOCKHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DAMON MITCHELLRUTGERSWRUNRUNR
JEREMY SPRINKLENFL DRAFT R5TEUNR—
JEREMIAH LEDBETTERNFL DRAFT R6DLUNR—
DREW MORGANNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
KODY WALKERNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
KEON HATCHERNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
TAIWAN JOHNSONNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
BRANDON LEWISNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
JAMICHAEL WINSTONNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
JARED COLLINSNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#27NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
3OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8654COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
28TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
11
6
3
4
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.3 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +4 W
IMPROVED7 OF 28
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST54% BACK54th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG54% BACK54th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE