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● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›ARKANSAS›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
SEC|CHAD MORRIS|—RECORD2-10|CONF—
ARKANSAS91 FPISEC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
82FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#2312 BC / 29
BC RATIO
26%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
2-10ACTUALvs2.6-9.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-15.4
2 wins against a scoring profile describing 2.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
69MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HPORTLAND STATE—W 20-13————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 7AOLE MISS—L 17-31826060-43BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14HCOLORADO STATE—W 55-34454040-23BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HSAN JOSÉ STATE—L 24-31312424-7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HTEXAS A&M—L 27-31928585-68BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12AKENTUCKY—L 20-24767474-57BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HAUBURN#14L 10-51919494-77BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26AALABAMA#8L 7-481009898-81BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2HMISSISSIPPI STATE—L 24-54846262-45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HWESTERN KENTUCKY—L 19-45415656-39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23ALSU#1L 20-56979999-82BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29HMISSOURI—L 14-24727171-54BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET2NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
BEN HICKSQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
9
JOHN STEPHEN JONESQB JURET
★3—00%——
17
NICK STARKELQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
18
JACK LINDSEYQB SERET
UNR—00%——
1
KJ JEFFERSONQB SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET91NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
21
DEVWAH WHALEYRB SERET
★4—00%——
41
T.J. HAMMONDSRB SERET
★4—00%——
5
RAKEEM BOYDRB SERET
★3—00%——
3
A'MONTAE SPIVEYRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
22
CHASE HAYDENRB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
28
TRELON SMITHRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
38
CHAD HESSONRB SORET
UNR—00%——
44
JERMARCUS ARNOLDRB JURET
UNR—00%——
32
REID TURNERRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
24
A’MONTAE SPIVEYRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
88
KOILAN JACKSONTE SERET
★3—00%——
32
HAYDEN JOHNSONTE SERET
★3—00%——
89
GRAYSON GUNTERTE SERET
★3—00%——
85
CHEYENNE O'GRADYTE SERET
UNR—00%——
19
TYSON MORRISWR SERET
★2—00%——
14
CHASE HARRELLWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
10
DE'VION WARRENWR SERET
★3—00%——
82
HUDSON HENRYTE JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
3
JOHN DAVID WHITEWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
MIKE WOODSWR SERET
★3★300%——
1
TREY KNOXTE SENO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
16
TREYLON BURKSWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
83
JIMMIE STOUDEMIREWR SERET
UNR—00%——
13
DEON STEWARTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
1
JORDAN JONESWR SERET
★3—00%——
87
BLAKE KERNTE SERET
★2—00%——
11
DAULTON HYATTWR SORET
★3—00%——
18
KENDALL CATALONWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
40
TREY PURIFOYTE SERET
UNR—00%——
84
PEYTON AUSLEYWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
SHAMAR NASHWR SONO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
16
KARCH GARDINERWR SENO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
80
BRETT NABORSWR FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
83
JACKSON SALLEYWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
8
MIKE WOODSWR —NO SNAPS
UNR★300%——
1
DE’VION WARRENWR —RET
UNR—00%——
85
CHEYENNE O’GRADYTE —RET
UNR—00%——
14
CHASE HARRELLTE —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TREYLON BURKSHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
HUDSON HENRYHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
TREY KNOXHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
DEVIN BUSHHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
JALEN CATALONHS RECRUITS★4UNR
COLLIN CLAYHS RECRUITSDE★4UNR
MATAIO SOLIHS RECRUITWDE★4UNR
KJ JEFFERSONHS RECRUITDUAL★4UNR
GREG BROOKS JR.HS RECRUITCB★4UNR
TQ JACKSONHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT30 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
LA'MICHAEL PETTWAYIOWA STATEWRUNRUNR
TY STOREYWESTERN KENTUCKYQBUNRUNR
COLE KELLEYSE LOUISIANAQB★3UNR
GIOVANNI LAFRANCENICHOLLSLB★3UNR
ALEXY JEAN-BAPTISTEFLORIDA INTERNATIONALDL★3UNR
JONATHAN NANCEMISSOURIWRUNRUNR
CHEVIN CALLOWAYSMUS★4UNR
DRE GREENLAWNFL DRAFT R5LBUNR—
ARMON WATTSNFL DRAFT R6DLUNR—
KEVIN RICHARDSON IIELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#23NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
12OF 29 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8753COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
68TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
14
11
19
16
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.3 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-11 TO +7 W
IMPROVED24 OF 68
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST47% BACK47th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG47% BACK47th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR2%2th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE