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● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›ARKANSAS›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
SEC|SAM PITTMAN|—RECORD8-4|CONF—
ARKANSAS#21 AP 21 FPISEC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
80FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-11IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#244 BC / 23
BC RATIO
26%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
8-4ACTUALvs7.9-4.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+7.5
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
64MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4HRICE—W 38-172833+81BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11HTEXAS—W 40-21936464+20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18HGEORGIA SOUTHERN—W 45-10211010+74BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25HTEXAS A&M—W 20-10969696-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2AGEORGIA#1L 0-3799100100-16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9AOLE MISS#11L 51-52818888-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16HAUBURN—L 23-38917878+6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23HARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF—W 45-3————NON-FBS OPPONENT
10NOV 6HMISSISSIPPI STATE—W 31-28807474+10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13ALSU—W 16-13975050+34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20AALABAMA#2L 35-421009898-14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HMISSOURI—W 34-17684747+37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET15NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
JOHN STEPHEN JONESQB JURET
★3—00%——
1
KJ JEFFERSONQB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
18
KADE RENFROQB SOPORTAL · OLE MISS
★3★300%—HELD
3
LUCAS COLEYQB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET63NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
41
T.J. HAMMONDSRB SERET
★4—00%——
28
TRELON SMITHRB SERET
★3—00%——
0
AJ GREEN JR.RB SENO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
20
DOMINIQUE JOHNSONRB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
5
RAHEIM SANDERSRB SENO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
23
JOSH OGLESBYRB JURET
★2—00%——
21
JAVION HUNTRB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
32
REID TURNERRB SORET
UNR—00%——
26
DONTE BUCKNERRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
87
BLAKE KERNTE SERET
★2—00%——
19
TYSON MORRISWR SERET
★2—00%——
11
JAQUAYLN CRAWFORDWR SERET
★4—00%——
5
DARIN TURNERWR SORET
★4—00%——
4
MALIK HORNSBYWR JURET
★4★300%—FELL
10
DE'VION WARRENWR SERET
★3—00%——
82
HUDSON HENRYTE JURET
★4—00%——
3
JOHN DAVID WHITEWR JURET
UNR—00%——
1
TREY KNOXTE SERET
★4★400%—HELD
16
TREYLON BURKSWR JURET
★4—00%——
84
WARREN THOMPSONWR SENO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
11
KETRON JACKSON JR.WR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
14
BRYCE STEPHENSWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
11
JAEDON WILSONWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
88
KOILAN JACKSONTE SERET
★3—00%——
18
KENDALL CATALONWR SERET
★2—00%——
89
NATHAN BAXTE SERET
UNR—00%——
36
ERIN OUTLEYTE FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
80
COLLIN SUTHERLANDTE SORET
★3—00%——
15
LANDON ROGERSWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
85
HARPER COLEWR SORET
UNR—00%——
37
KEVIN COMPTON JR.WR FRRET
★2—00%——
39
NATHAN JOHNSONTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
42
ZACH LEETE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
15
CHRIS HARRISWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS21 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KETRON JACKSONHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
AJ GREENHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
RAHEIM SANDERSHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
TERRY WELLSHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
JAVION HUNTHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
CAMERON BALLHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
KEUAN PARKERHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
COLE CARSONHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
BRYCE STEPHENSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JAYDEN JOHNSONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN4 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TY'KIEAST CRAWFORDCHARLOTTEOT★4★3
JOHN RIDGEWAYILLINOIS STATEDL★2★3
TRENT GORDONPENN STATECB★3★3
KADE RENFROOLE MISSQB★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT12 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BLAYNE TOLLCOLORADODE★3★3
MYLES MASONLOUISIANA TECHDB★3★3
MIKE WOODSOKLAHOMAWR★3★3
JONATHAN MARSHALLNFL DRAFT R6DL★3—
KARCH GARDINERELIGIBILITY UPWR★2—
FELEIPE FRANKSELIGIBILITY UPQB★4—
RAKEEM BOYDELIGIBILITY UPRB★3—
JERRY JACOBSELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
JACK LINDSEYELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
XAVIER KELLYELIGIBILITY UPDL★4—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#24NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
4OF 23 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8751COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
516 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
48TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
3
11
10
12
12
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.3 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +10 W
IMPROVED24 OF 48
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST42% BACK42th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG42% BACK42th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR15%15th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE