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HOME›TEAMS›ARKANSAS STATE›2020TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
SUN BELT|BLAKE ANDERSON|—RECORD4-7|CONF—
ARKANSAS STATE101 FPISBC · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
29FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#920 BC / 15
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
4-7ACTUALvs4.7-6.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.7 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-4.3
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE11 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
47MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 5AMEMPHIS—L 24-37546767-39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 12AKANSAS STATE—W 35-31515757-29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 3ACOASTAL CAROLINA#14L 23-5287272-44BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 10HCENTRAL ARKANSAS—W 50-27————NON-FBS OPPONENT
7OCT 15HGEORGIA STATE—W 59-52202929-1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22AAPP STATE—L 17-45267979-51BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 31HTROY—L 10-38195959-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 7ALOUISIANA#15L 20-27267474-46BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 21ATEXAS STATE—L 45-47271111+17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 28HSOUTH ALABAMA—L 31-38151515+13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 5HUL MONROE—W 48-151766+22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
LOGAN BONNERQB SERET
★2★300%—ROSE
3
LAYNE HATCHERQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
14
BRETT NEZATQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
19
SETH COURTNEYQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET92NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
23
ISAIAH AZUBUIKERB SORET
★3—00%——
21
JAMAL JONESRB SERET
UNR—00%——
18
RYAN GRAHAMRB JURET
UNR—00%——
34
MARCEL MURRAYRB JURET
★2—00%——
7
LINCOLN PARERB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
39
JOSHUA EDWARDSRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
29
DONOVAN MARSHALLRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
17
LEROY DESHAZORWR SERET
UNR—00%——
7
COREY RUCKERWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
87
REED TYLERTE SERET
★2—00%——
19
COLTIN CLACKTE SORET
★3—00%——
14
JEFF FOREMANWR SERET
★3—00%——
4
DAHU GREENWR SERET
★3—00%——
8
BUBBA OGBEBORWR SERET
★3—00%——
1
ROSHAUUD PAULWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
16
BRANDON BOWLINGWR SERET
★2★200%—HELD
85
GILES AMOSTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
9
JONATHAN ADAMS JR.WR SERET
★2—00%——
81
JAVONIS ISAACTE SERET
★2★200%—HELD
4
JAVAN HAWESWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
12
SETH HAYESTE SORET
★3—00%——
89
JACKSON JARVISWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
ROSS PAINTERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
88
VERSHAUD RICHARDSONTE SORET
★3★300%—HELD
5
DAVID CLAYTONWR SORET
★3—00%——
85
THOMAS VAUGHANTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
82
ANTONIO RUIZWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
DE'KAIRO RUDOLPHWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
88
AUSTIN SMITHWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS15 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CORBET MIMSHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
ANTWON FEGANS JR.HS RECRUITCB★3UNR
AUSTIN WOODSHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
BRETT NEZATHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
COREY RUCKERHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JAVAR STRONGHS RECRUITS★3UNR
ISRAEL WHITMOREHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
KENNETH HARRISHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
DERIS JACKSONHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
TREVIAN THOMASHS RECRUITS★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT23 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
NATHAN PAGEAUSTIN PEAYDB★3UNR
WILLIAM BRADLEY-KINGBAYLORLB★2UNR
JERRY JACOBSARKANSASDBUNRUNR
JAVIER CARBONELLELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
KEVIN THURMONELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
OMAR BAYLESSELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
DARVEON BROWNELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
KIRK LOUISELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
TONY ADAMSELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
CODY GRACEELIGIBILITY UPPUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#92NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 15 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8228COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST80% BACK80th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG80% BACK80th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE