SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|JEFF MONKEN|—RECORD9-3|CONF—
ARMY65 FPIAAC · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
3FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1200 BC / 82
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
9-3ACTUALvs8.4-3.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD5-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+8.8
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
34MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HFORDHAM—W 64-6————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 9HBUFFALO—W 21-17121717+12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16AOHIO STATE#5L 7-38999999-70BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23ATULANE—L 17-21362626+3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HUTEP—W 35-21700+29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7ARICE—W 49-122522+27BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HEASTERN MICHIGAN—W 28-271129290BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HTEMPLE—W 31-28434444-15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4AAIR FORCE—W 21-011818+11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HDUKE—W 21-16706464-35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18ANORTH TEXAS—L 49-52133333-4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
15DEC 9ANAVY—W 14-13324343-14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET81NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
KELVIN HOPKINS JR.QB SERET
UNR—00%——
17
AHMAD BRADSHAWQB —RET
UNR—00%——
9
LUKE LANGDONQB SERET
UNR—00%——
4
CAM THOMASQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
4
CHRISTIAN ANDERSONQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
7
CHRIS CARTERQB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET77NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
19
DOMINIC DISTEFANORB SERET
★2—00%——
22
DONOVAN FRANKLINRB JURET
UNR—00%——
5
KELL WALKERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
25
CONNOR SLOMKARB SERET
UNR—00%——
6
JOHN TRAINORRB —RET
UNR—00%——
23
T.J. WISHAMRB JURET
★3—00%——
27
FRED COOPER JR.RB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
21
ZACK BOOBASRB JURET
UNR—00%——
33
DARNELL WOOLFOLKRB SERET
UNR—00%——
3
JORDAN ASBERRYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
22
CALEN HOLTRB SERET
UNR—00%——
40
ANDY DAVIDSONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
32
ARTICE HOBBS IVRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
3
SANDON MCCOYRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
34
RASHAAD BOLTONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
16
MALIK HANCOCKRB SERET
UNR—00%——
2
JORDAN SOPER-JOHNSONRB —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
39
PARKER ROSSRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
43
DJ MILLERRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
44
CHAMBO LIDDELL-PATACSILRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
21
DONNELL DIEGORB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
32
ARTICE HOBBS IVRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
11
MALIK MCGUERB —RET
UNR—00%——
23
KEVIN HICKSRB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
84
JERMAINE ADAMSWR —RET
UNR—00%——
82
KJETIL CLINEWR SERET
★3—00%——
81
JEFF EJEKAMWR —RET
UNR—00%——
83
ZACH SAUMTE SERET
UNR—00%——
6
GLEN COATESWR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
CAMDEN HARRISONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
QUINTEN PARKERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
86
CHRISTIAN HAYESWR SERET
UNR—00%——
10
JORDAN BLACKMANWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
JAKE LAUERTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
CHRIS GREGGWR SERET
UNR—00%——
15
MAX WEISMANWR —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
19
KEVIN WAITESWR —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
89
TOMMY UPTONWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
49
MICHEL TOURETE —RET
UNR—00%——
72
TREY NEVILLETE —RET
★2—00%——
46
GEOFF KIRKTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
14
JONATHAN HAMILTONWR —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
87
JAKE CARLSONWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
42
TED WAGES IVTE —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
RYAN O'MALLEYHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
TREVOR GEARHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
CHRISTIAN ANDERSONHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
TROY PORCHEHS RECRUITDT★2UNR
DALLAS BLACKLOCK JR.HS RECRUITCB★2UNR
ETHAN HARVEYHS RECRUITOG★2UNR
DEAN POWELLHS RECRUITOG★2UNR
RHETT READHS RECRUITTE★2UNR
JEREMIAH LOWERYHS RECRUITILB★2UNR
LUKE MCCLEERYHS RECRUITOT★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT21 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TYLER CAMPBELLELONRBUNRUNR
DALTON MENDENHALLNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
MATTHEW KAUFMANNNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
GERVON SIMONNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
JOE WALKERNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
ELIJAH ST. HILAIRENOT LISTEDRBUNR—
PAULANDREW RHODENNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
EDDY RUZGANOT LISTEDDLUNR—
ANDREW KINGNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
JORDAN SMITHNOT LISTEDDL★4—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#120NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 82 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7686COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST84% BACK84th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG84% BACK84th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR81%81th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE