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● LIVE|2026 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGEPRESEASON · NO CHARTED PLAY
MID-AMERICAN|PETE LEMBO|—RECORD1-1|CONF—
BUFFALO122 FPIMAC · 2026 SEASON
TALENT
13FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
33%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
6%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
+2IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1010 BC / 19
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2026 · FULL SEASON
No scoring record for this season yet, so there is nothing to compare the win-loss record against.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT23
CONTINUITY33
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT30
CONTINUITY6
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE2 PLAYED · 10 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
19MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
26MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
+7REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 1PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HUALBANY—W 21-17————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 12AFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—L 20-33351919-4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 19APENN STATE#16UPCOMING828989-74HARDEST REMAINING TIER
4SEP 26HROBERT MORRIS—UPCOMING————NON-FBS OPPONENT
5OCT 3HWESTERN MICHIGAN—UPCOMING224444-29STILL TO COME
6OCT 10ATOLEDO—UPCOMING163939-24STILL TO COME
7OCT 17HMASSACHUSETTS—UPCOMING711+14STILL TO COME
8OCT 24HBOWLING GREEN—UPCOMING2077+8STILL TO COME
10NOV 3AMIAMI (OH)—UPCOMING383434-19STILL TO COME
11NOV 11ABALL STATE—UPCOMING1855+10STILL TO COME
12NOV 18HCENTRAL MICHIGAN—UPCOMING999+6STILL TO COME
13NOV 27AAKRON—UPCOMING1277+8STILL TO COME
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB23TAL17PERF23RET0ONE OWNERn=1 · 5 METRICS · 5 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
16
ELIJAH HOLMESQB SEPORTAL · WINGATE
UNR★394100%-40EMERGED
7
JASON WRIGHTQB SORET
★3—00%——
15
MASON CUMBIEQB SERET
★2—00%——
12
QUR'AN MCNEILLQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
18
JAKE FORBURGERQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB34TAL42PERF34RET100ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 20 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
25
TERRANCE SHELTON JR.RB JURET
★3—9675%-38—
4
MESSIAH BURCHRB SERET
★3—5623%+12—
24
JAMES MCNEIL JR.RB JURET
UNR—02%+37—
0
NINO HILLRB SORET
★3—00%——
26
CHASE ENLOWRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
21
DEVARE MATHISRB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE32TAL41PERF36RET47ONE OWNERn=9 · 7 METRICS · 48 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
CLINT WALKERTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—9860%——
6
CHANCE MORROWWR SERET
★3★39835%+33HELD
8
JASAIAH GATHINGSWR SERET
★3★39631%-26HELD
87
TREVOR WILSONTE SEPORTAL · CAMPBELL
★2★39340%—ROSE
3
PATRICK CLACKS IIIWR JURET
★3—7516%-57—
2
JAYLEN ANDREWSWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—447%——
11
DWAYNE EARLY JR.WR SORET
★3—406%——
1
PHILLIP FOLMARWR SORET
★3—274%——
10
MARK-ANTHONY SCOTT JR.WR SERET
UNR—01%——
86
MICHAEL GELATKOTE SORET
★3—00%——
17
JEREMIAH WATKINSWR JURET
★3—00%——
13
BOBBY MAYSWR JURET
UNR—00%——
14
TYRELL SIMMONS JR.WR JURET
★3—00%——
28
SHEY WILLIAMSWR JURET
UNR—00%——
82
TERRELL RICHARDSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
89
NICK LEONARDTE JURET
UNR—00%——
9
ALVIN JONES IIIWR SORET
★3—00%——
88
AARON CLARKWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
81
TJ SABATUCCITE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
45
STONE ROZAKTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
83
JACK ESKRIDGEWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
85
AIDEN HOWARDTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▸OL58TAL44PERF58RET0n=6 · 2 METRICS · 12 OBS
▸DL49TAL30PERF49RET67n=9 · 7 METRICS · 55 OBS
▸LB47TAL32PERF47RET50n=7 · 11 METRICS · 43 OBS
▸DB50TAL36PERF50RET96n=6 · 7 METRICS · 34 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS14 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MALACHI ERVINHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
CHASE ENLOWHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
QUR'AN MCNEILLHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
AIDEN ANDERSONHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
ROYCE ROGERSHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
WILLIAM REEDHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
NA'ROD JARVISHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
MATTHEW HEININGERHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
BRYCE WILLIAMSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JACK GARBOLINOHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN11 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SAYRE SMOTHERSTHE CITADELCBUNR★3
LOGAN GOODWININDIANA-PENNSYLVANIAEDGEUNR★3
JOEY CHESHIRECORNELLLBUNR★3
STANTAVIOUS SMITHFLORIDA A&MDL★3★3
LOGAN GOODWINIU PENNSYLVANIAEDGEUNR★3
JOE CROCKERBAYLORIOL★3★3
NATHAN NATOLIBUCKNELLOTUNR★3
NINO FRANCAVILLAMIAMIIOL★3★3
STEVIE BRACEYVIRGINIALB★3★3
ZACH BERGMANNMISSOURI SOUTHERN STATELBUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT38 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DION CRAWFORDMICHIGAN STATELB★3★3
JALEN MCNAIRVIRGINIAS★3★3
MARQUIS COOPERTOWSONCB★2UNR
VICTOR SNOWNC STATEWRUNR★3
NIK MCMILLANKANSASWR★3★3
JUNIOR POYSERWISCONSINDL★2★3
DEVIN MORGANKENNESAW STATEDL★3★3
DEMETRIUS BALLARDBOSTON COLLEGEDEUNR★3
CHARLES MCCARTHERENSMARSHALLDB★3★2
LAMAR SPERLINGUTEPRB★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES6%2 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS52%2 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#101NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8469COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1816 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
73TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
15
14
24
9
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED33 OF 73
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST15% BACK15th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG15% BACK15th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST96%96th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE