SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|JEFF MONKEN|—RECORD10-2|CONF—
ARMY#19 AP 56 FPIAAC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
7FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1170 BC / 41
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
10-2ACTUALvs9.2-2.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+11.7
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
37MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31ADUKE—L 14-34726161-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8HLIBERTY—W 38-14477+29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15HHAWAI'I—W 28-21132121+15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22AOKLAHOMA#4L 21-28939898-62BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29ABUFFALO—W 42-13233737-1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13ASAN JOSÉ STATE—W 52-3361212+24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20HMIAMI (OH)—W 31-30353939-3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27AEASTERN MICHIGAN—W 37-22143434+2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3HAIR FORCE—W 17-1473535+1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HLAFAYETTE—W 31-13————NON-FBS OPPONENT
12NOV 17HCOLGATE—W 28-14————NON-FBS OPPONENT
15DEC 8HNAVY—W 17-10172222+14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET32NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
KELVIN HOPKINS JR.QB SERET
UNR—00%——
4
CAM THOMASQB SORET
UNR—00%——
9
LUKE LANGDONQB SERET
UNR—00%——
4
CHRISTIAN ANDERSONQB JURET
★3—00%——
2
TYHIER TYLERQB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
1
JABARI LAWSQB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
15
CLAY CZYZYNSKIQB SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
18
MIKE MBONYQB —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
7
MATTHEW ARMSTRONGQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET96NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
34
RASHAAD BOLTONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
16
MALIK HANCOCKRB SERET
UNR—00%——
5
KELL WALKERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
25
CONNOR SLOMKARB SERET
UNR—00%——
27
FRED COOPER JR.RB SORET
UNR—00%——
21
ZACK BOOBASRB JURET
UNR—00%——
33
DARNELL WOOLFOLKRB SERET
UNR—00%——
3
JORDAN ASBERRYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
22
CALEN HOLTRB SERET
UNR—00%——
40
ANDY DAVIDSONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
32
ARTICE HOBBS IVRB SERET
UNR—00%——
3
SANDON MCCOYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
19
DOMINIC DISTEFANORB SERET
★2—00%——
40
CADE BARNARDRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
11
BRANDON WALTERSRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
5
A.J. HOWARDRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
30
TON EVANSRB SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
25
MARKENS PIERRERB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
48
KAELIN BYRDRB SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
42
WILSON CATOEFB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
20
DAVID WOODWARDRB —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
15
JC WATSONRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
42
LANDRY SONGERRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
44
CHAMBO LIDDELL-PATACSILRB —RET
UNR—00%——
36
KRYS KYLERB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
21
DONNELL DIEGORB —RET
UNR—00%——
1
FRED COOPERRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
32
ARTICE HOBBS IVRB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
82
KJETIL CLINEWR SERET
★3—00%——
86
CHRISTIAN HAYESWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
QUINTEN PARKERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
83
ZACH SAUMTE SERET
UNR—00%——
6
GLEN COATESWR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
CAMDEN HARRISONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
81
CAMERON JOHNSONWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
10
JORDAN BLACKMANWR SERET
UNR—00%——
81
JAKE LAUERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
80
CHRIS GREGGWR SERET
UNR—00%——
14
MICHAEL ROBERTSWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
87
SEAN ECKERTWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
39
BRYTON BELVINTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
CHRIS CAMERONTE JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
84
KEVIN HAMILTONWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
JALEN MOYWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
EDDIE CRUTCHFIELDTE SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
45
DANIEL ZULOAGAWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
42
TED WAGES IVTE —RET
★2—00%——
87
KRAIG HAMILTONWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CADE BARNARDHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
KWABENA BONSUHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
MARCUS MOSLEYHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
BRANDON MAYSHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
CAMERON HOELSCHERHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
RYAN BRYCEHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
JOHN BAILEY GULLATTHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
KENESE LEOMITIHS RECRUITDT★2UNR
JONTAE DOBSONHS RECRUITCB★2UNR
HUNTER BRABHAMHS RECRUITSDE★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT19 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JERMAINE ADAMSNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
RICHARD HANSONNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
HAYDEN HAUPTNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
DONOVAN FRANKLINNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
JOE RYANNOT LISTEDLB★2—
AHMAD BRADSHAWNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
ALEX AUKERMANNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
SCOTT WASHLENOT LISTEDLBUNR—
RHYAN ENGLANDNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
BLAKE WILSONNOT LISTEDPKUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#117NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 41 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7769COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKNEW
26TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
0
5
9
7
5
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-3 TO +9 W
IMPROVED12 OF 26
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST63% BACK63th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG63% BACK63th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR32%32th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE