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● LIVE|2020 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›ARMY›2020TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|JEFF MONKEN|—RECORD9-2|CONF—
ARMY77 FPIAAC · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
7FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1110 BC / 47
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
9-2ACTUALvs9.1-1.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+13.3
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE11 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
36MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 5HMIDDLE TENNESSEE—W 42-0351313+47BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 12HUL MONROE—W 37-71766+54BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 26ACINCINNATI#8L 10-24589494-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 3HABILENE CHRISTIAN—W 55-23————NON-FBS OPPONENT
6OCT 10HTHE CITADEL—W 14-9————NON-FBS OPPONENT
7OCT 17AUTSA—W 28-16401919+41BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 24HMERCER—W 49-3————NON-FBS OPPONENT
11NOV 14ATULANE—L 12-38476262-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 21HGEORGIA SOUTHERN—W 28-27214848+12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
15DEC 12HNAVY—W 15-0152020+40BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
16DEC 19HAIR FORCE—W 10-732929+31BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET22NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
CHRISTIAN ANDERSONQB JURET
★3—00%——
8
CHRISTIAN PARRISHQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
2
TYHIER TYLERQB SERET
★2—00%——
18
CADE BALLARDQB SERET
★2—00%——
7
JEMEL JONESQB SERET
UNR—00%——
1
JABARI LAWSQB JURET
★2—00%——
12
ROMAN PURCELLQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
19
DELSHAWN TRAYLORQB FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
15
JAYLON WESTQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET48NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
32
ARTICE HOBBS IVRB SERET
UNR—00%——
3
SANDON MCCOYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
33
JAKOBI BUCHANANRB SERET
UNR—00%——
40
CADE BARNARDRB JURET
★3—00%——
11
BRANDON WALTERSRB JURET
UNR—00%——
5
A.J. HOWARDRB JURET
UNR—00%——
25
MARKENS PIERRERB JURET
★2—00%——
42
WILSON CATOEFB JURET
UNR—00%——
9
MAURICE BELLANRB SERET
UNR—00%——
23
ANTHONY ADKINSRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
28
JUSTIN LESCOUFLAIRRB SERET
UNR—00%——
8
BRAHEAM MURPHYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
21
TYRELL ROBINSONRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
32
TYSON RILEYRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
19
DOMINIC DISTEFANORB SERET
★2—00%——
22
AARON ADAMSRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
27
BO TURNERRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
36
KEIRAN GRANTRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
42
SHACORI WILLIAMSRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
44
NICK MELLRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
JORDAN BLACKMANWR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
CAMDEN HARRISONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
5
COLE CATERBONEWR SERET
★2—00%——
85
JORDAN FUNKTE SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
14
MICHAEL ROBERTSWR JURET
★2—00%——
85
CHRIS CAMERONTE JURET
★2—00%——
83
REIKAN DONALDSONWR SORET
UNR—00%——
3
AY'JAUN MARSHALLWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
ISAIAH ALSTONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
81
JAKE LAUERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
87
SEAN ECKERTWR JURET
★2—00%——
89
JALEN MOYWR JURET
UNR—00%——
30
COLE TRUEXTE SORET
★2—00%——
31
COLE WRIGHTWR SORET
UNR—00%——
80
RYAN JACKOVICWR SERET
UNR—00%——
82
VESHE DANIYANWR SERET
UNR—00%——
9
BRANDON JONESWR FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
83
TYLER BRENNANWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
JOSHUA LINGENFELTERTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
46
SHANE SUNDAYTE FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
69
PAXTON NAYMANTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
48
GARRETT WOODALLTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
85
ANDREW BRUSTER-YOUNGWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
26
ANTONIO WHITEWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ISAAC HURTADOHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
DAVID HOYTHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
CONNOR FINUCANEHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
JACKSON POWELLHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
ANDRE MILLERHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
BRIAN BURTONHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
AARON ADAMSHS RECRUITAPB★3UNR
JAVON ELLISHS RECRUITS★3UNR
RALEIGH OXENDINEHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
TOMMY ZITIELLOHS RECRUITS★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT24 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KELVIN HOPKINS JR.ELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
ELIJAH RILEYELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
JAYLON MCCLINTONELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
KJETIL CLINEELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
RYAN PARKERELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
RASHAAD BOLTONELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
ZACH POTTERELIGIBILITY UPPUNR—
JAKE ELLINGTONELIGIBILITY UPDL★2—
MALIK HANCOCKELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
JACK KINGELIGIBILITY UPLB★2—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#111NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 47 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7949COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKNEW
26TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
0
5
9
7
5
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-3 TO +9 W
IMPROVED12 OF 26
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST52% BACK52th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG52% BACK52th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR22%22th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE