SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›AUBURN›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
SEC|GUS MALZAHN|—RECORD10-3|CONF—
AUBURN#10 AP 9 FPISEC · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
95FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#910 BC / 20
BC RATIO
63%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
10-3ACTUALvs10.9-2.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.9 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+17.1
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
73MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
6 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HGEORGIA SOUTHERN—W 41-7281010+84BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9ACLEMSON#4L 6-14949797-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HMERCER—W 24-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 23AMISSOURI—W 51-14697979+15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HMISSISSIPPI STATE#19W 49-10818686+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7HOLE MISS—W 44-23888080+14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14ALSU#18L 23-27969292+2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21AARKANSAS—W 52-20835151+43BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4ATEXAS A&M—W 42-27897272+22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HGEORGIA#2W 40-17989898-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HUL MONROE—W 42-14141414+80BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HALABAMA#1W 26-14100100100-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14DEC 2HGEORGIA#2L 7-28989898-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
MALIK WILLISQB JURET
UNR—00%——
8
JARRETT STIDHAMQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
16
DEVIN ADAMSQB SERET
UNR—00%——
15
WIL APPLETONQB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET91NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
36
KAMRYN PETTWAYRB —RET
UNR—00%——
21
KERRYON JOHNSONRB —RET
UNR—00%——
79
ANDREW WILLIAMSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
27
CHANDLER COXFB SERET
UNR—00%——
9
KAM MARTINRB SERET
★4—00%——
32
MALIK MILLERRB JURET
★3—00%——
43
CEDRIC CHAMBERSRB JURET
UNR—00%——
37
C.J. TOLBERTRB SERET
UNR—00%——
99
SPENCER NIGHFB SERET
UNR—00%——
42
KEENAN SWEENEYFB —RET
UNR—00%——
25
ALEX MEDARYFB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
40
EUGENE GOVANRB —RET
UNR—00%——
45
CHASE CRAMERFB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
81
DARIUS SLAYTONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
23
RYAN DAVISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
9
JALEN HARRISTE SERET
UNR—00%——
13
KYLE DAVISWR JURET
★4—00%——
80
SAL CANNELLAWR SERET
UNR—00%——
33
WILL HASTINGSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
89
GRIFFIN KINGWR SERET
UNR—00%——
12
ELI STOVEWR SERET
★4—00%——
17
MARQUIS MCCLAINWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
80
NATE CRAIG-MYERSWR SERET
★4★300%—FELL
35
JAMES OWENS MOSSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
87
PACE OZMINTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
89
PHELPS GAMBILLTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
46
CALEB KINGTE —RET
UNR—00%——
82
PETE BERRYMANTE —RET
UNR—00%——
39
ROBERT MUSCHAMPTE —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CALVIN ASHLEYHS RECRUITOT★5UNR
T.D. MOULTRYHS RECRUITILB★4UNR
NICK BRAHMSHS RECRUITOG★4UNR
DEVAN BARRETTHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
AUSTIN TROXELLHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
BIG KAT BRYANTHS RECRUITWDE★4UNR
MALCOLM ASKEWHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
ALARIC WILLIAMSHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
NOAH IGBINOGHENEHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
K.J. BRITTHS RECRUITILB★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT21 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MARKELL BOSTONCHATTANOOGADBUNRUNR
JOHN FRANKLIN IIIFLORIDA ATLANTICWRUNRUNR
CARL LAWSONNFL DRAFT R4DLUNR—
MONTRAVIUS ADAMSNFL DRAFT R3DTUNR—
MARCUS DAVISNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
STANTON TRUITTNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
DAMIAN LEWISNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
MICHAEL SHERWOODNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
T.J. NEALNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
T.J. DAVISNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#9NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
10OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8916COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
48TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
3
11
10
12
12
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.3 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +10 W
IMPROVED24 OF 48
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST55% BACK55th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG55% BACK55th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE