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● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›AUBURN›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
SEC|GUS MALZAHN|—RECORD7-5|CONF—
AUBURN12 FPISEC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
91FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1214 BC / 22
BC RATIO
63%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
7-5ACTUALvs8.5-3.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+8.7
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
73MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
5 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HWASHINGTON#13W 21-16889090+5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8HALABAMA STATE—W 63-9————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 15HLSU#6L 21-22969797-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22HARKANSAS—W 34-3816060+35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29HSOUTHERN MISS—W 24-13272929+66BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6AMISSISSIPPI STATE—L 9-238495950BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13HTENNESSEE—L 24-30906464+31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20AOLE MISS—W 31-16857575+20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3HTEXAS A&M#16W 28-24899292+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10AGEORGIA#7L 10-27999999-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17HLIBERTY—W 53-0477+88BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24AALABAMA#2L 21-5299100100-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
MALIK WILLISQB JURET
UNR—00%——
8
JARRETT STIDHAMQB JURET
UNR—00%——
16
DEVIN ADAMSQB SERET
UNR—00%——
24
CORD SANDBERGQB SONO SNAPS
UNR★400%—EMERGED
15
WIL APPLETONQB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET23NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
43
CEDRIC CHAMBERSRB JURET
UNR—00%——
28
JATARVIOUS WHITLOWRB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
79
ANDREW WILLIAMSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
27
CHANDLER COXFB SERET
UNR—00%——
9
KAM MARTINRB SERET
★4—00%——
32
MALIK MILLERRB JURET
★3—00%——
37
C.J. TOLBERTRB SERET
UNR—00%——
20
ASA MARTINRB SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
2
SHAUN SHIVERSRB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
99
SPENCER NIGHFB SERET
UNR—00%——
45
CHASE CRAMERFB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
81
DARIUS SLAYTONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
23
RYAN DAVISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
JOEY GATEWOODTE SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
9
JALEN HARRISTE SERET
UNR—00%——
80
SAL CANNELLAWR SERET
UNR—00%——
89
GRIFFIN KINGWR SERET
UNR—00%——
12
ELI STOVEWR SERET
★4—00%——
80
NATE CRAIG-MYERSWR SERET
★4★300%—FELL
25
JOHN SAMUEL SHENKERTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
11
SHEDRICK JACKSONWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
18
SETH WILLIAMSWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
1
ANTHONY SCHWARTZWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
35
JAMES OWENS MOSSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
33
WILL HASTINGSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
17
MARQUIS MCCLAINWR JURET
★3—00%——
87
PACE OZMINTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
89
PHELPS GAMBILLTE JURET
UNR—00%——
82
CAMERON PAYNEWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
39
ROBERT MUSCHAMPTE —RET
UNR—00%——
37
KOLBI FUQUAWR —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
82
DALTON BROWNWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS22 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JOEY GATEWOODHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
MATTHEW HILLHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
COYNIS MILLERHS RECRUITDT★4UNR
HAROLD JOINERHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
SMOKE MONDAYHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
ANTHONY SCHWARTZHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
SETH WILLIAMSHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
ZAKOBY MCCLAINHS RECRUITOLB★4UNR
ASA MARTINHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
JAMIEN SHERWOODHS RECRUITS★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT18 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BYRON COWARTMARYLANDDLUNRUNR
DANIEL CARLSONNFL DRAFT R5PKUNR—
CARLTON DAVISNFL DRAFT R2DBUNR—
KERRYON JOHNSONNFL DRAFT R2RBUNR—
JOHN BROUSSARD JR.ELIGIBILITY UPDB★4—
TRAY MATTHEWSNOT LISTED?UNR—
DARIUS JAMESNOT LISTEDOLUNR—
CASEY DUNNNOT LISTEDOLUNR—
IKE POWELLNOT LISTEDLSUNR—
NICK RUFFINNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#12NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
14OF 22 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9025COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST70% BACK70th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG70% BACK70th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE