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● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›AUBURN›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
SEC|GUS MALZAHN|—RECORD9-3|CONF—
AUBURN#14 AP 10 FPISEC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
91FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1115 BC / 22
BC RATIO
61%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
9-3ACTUALvs9.7-2.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.7 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+15.4
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
72MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
5 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HOREGON#5W 27-21888989+5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HTULANE—W 24-6427070+24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14HKENT STATE—W 55-16111919+75BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21ATEXAS A&M—W 28-20928585+9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HMISSISSIPPI STATE—W 56-23846262+32BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5AFLORIDA#6L 13-24909595-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19AARKANSAS—W 51-10821717+77BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26ALSU#1L 20-23979999-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2HOLE MISS—W 20-14826060+34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HGEORGIA#4L 14-21999797-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HSAMFORD—W 52-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
14NOV 30HALABAMA#8W 48-451009898-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
15
WIL APPLETONQB SERET
UNR—00%——
10
BO NIXQB JUNO SNAPS
★5—00%——
24
CORD SANDBERGQB SORET
UNR★400%—EMERGED
13
TREY LINDSEYQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET91NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
28
JATARVIOUS WHITLOWRB SORET
★3—00%——
99
SPENCER NIGHFB SERET
UNR—00%——
8
DJ WILLIAMSRB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
9
KAM MARTINRB SERET
★4—00%——
32
MALIK MILLERRB JURET
★3—00%——
2
SHAUN SHIVERSRB SERET
★4—00%——
6
MARK-ANTONY RICHARDSRB SENO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
46
JACOB JASINSKIRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
37
PAYTON ANDERSONRB FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
20
ZACH FARRARWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
84
JOEY GATEWOODTE SERET
★4★300%—FELL
80
SAL CANNELLAWR SERET
UNR—00%——
33
WILL HASTINGSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
12
ELI STOVEWR SERET
★4—00%——
17
MARQUIS MCCLAINWR JURET
★3—00%——
25
JOHN SAMUEL SHENKERTE SERET
★3—00%——
11
SHEDRICK JACKSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
18
SETH WILLIAMSWR JURET
★4—00%——
1
ANTHONY SCHWARTZWR JURET
★4—00%——
88
JASHAWN SHEFFIELDWR FRTRUE FR
★4—00%——
35
JAMES OWENS MOSSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
87
PACE OZMINTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
89
PHELPS GAMBILLTE JURET
UNR—00%——
84
JACKSON MCFADDENWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
83
MALCOLM RUSSELLWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
9
JA'VARRIUS JOHNSONWR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
82
CAMERON PAYNEWR JURET
UNR—00%——
7
TYLER FROMMTE SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
86
LUKE DEALTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
30
TOMMY NESMITHWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS22 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
OWEN PAPPOEHS RECRUITOLB★5UNR
BO NIXHS RECRUITDUAL★5UNR
CHARLES MOOREHS RECRUITSDE★4UNR
MARK-ANTONY RICHARDSHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
JAREN HANDYHS RECRUITSDE★4UNR
ZION PUCKETTHS RECRUITS★4UNR
KEIONDRE JONESHS RECRUITOG★4UNR
DERICK HALLHS RECRUITWDE★4UNR
CAM KELLYHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
JASHAWN SHEFFIELDHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JALEN HARRISCOLORADOTEUNRUNR
JAUNTA'VIUS JOHNSONUABDLUNRUNR
NATE CRAIG-MYERSCOLORADO STATEWR★4★3
DARIUS SLAYTONNFL DRAFT R5WRUNR—
DESHAUN DAVISNFL DRAFT R6LBUNR—
DONTAVIUS RUSSELLNFL DRAFT R7DLUNR—
CHANDLER COXNFL DRAFT R7FBUNR—
JAMEL DEANNFL DRAFT R3DBUNR—
JARRETT STIDHAMNFL DRAFT R4QBUNR—
RYAN DAVISELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#11NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
15OF 22 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9079COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
48TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
3
11
10
12
12
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.3 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +10 W
IMPROVED24 OF 48
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST45% BACK45th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG45% BACK45th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE