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HOME›TEAMS›AUBURN›2020TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
SEC|GUS MALZAHN|—RECORD6-4|CONF—
AUBURN19 FPISEC · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
92FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#716 BC / 25
BC RATIO
59%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
6-4ACTUALvs5.5-4.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+2.0
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE10 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
66MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
4SEP 26HKENTUCKY—W 29-13815858+27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 3AGEORGIA#7L 6-271009595-10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 10HARKANSAS—W 30-28825555+30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 17ASOUTH CAROLINA—L 22-30853838+47BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 24AOLE MISS—W 35-28796464+21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 31HLSU—W 48-11966969+16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 21HTENNESSEE—W 30-17915151+34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 28AALABAMA#1L 13-42999999-14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14DEC 5HTEXAS A&M#4L 20-31969090-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
15DEC 12AMISSISSIPPI STATE—W 24-10834040+45BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
BO NIXQB JURET
★5—00%——
24
CORD SANDBERGQB SORET
UNR★400%—EMERGED
14
GRANT LOYQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
4
CHAYIL GARNETTQB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
13
TREY LINDSEYQB SERET
UNR—00%——
17
SAWYER PATEQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET38NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
MARK-ANTONY RICHARDSRB SERET
★4★400%—HELD
8
DJ WILLIAMSRB SERET
★4—00%——
2
SHAUN SHIVERSRB SERET
★4—00%——
4
TANK BIGSBYRB JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
46
JACOB JASINSKIRB JURET
UNR—00%——
37
PAYTON ANDERSONRB FRRET
★2—00%——
44
JAY SHARPRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
ELI STOVEWR SERET
★4—00%——
25
JOHN SAMUEL SHENKERTE SERET
★3—00%——
11
SHEDRICK JACKSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
18
SETH WILLIAMSWR JURET
★4—00%——
1
ANTHONY SCHWARTZWR JURET
★4—00%——
2
KOBE HUDSONWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
80
ZE'VIAN CAPERSWR SONO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
5
ELIJAH CANIONWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
86
LUKE DEALTE SERET
★3—00%——
87
BRANDON FRAZIERTE SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
1
MALCOLM JOHNSON JR.WR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
35
JAMES OWENS MOSSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
3
CAYLIN NEWTONWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
84
JACKSON MCFADDENWR JURET
UNR—00%——
83
MALCOLM RUSSELLWR JURET
UNR—00%——
6
JJ EVANSWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
42
TATE JOHNSONTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
9
JA'VARRIUS JOHNSONWR SERET
★4★300%—FELL
82
CAMERON PAYNEWR JURET
UNR—00%——
7
TYLER FROMMTE SERET
★4★300%—FELL
30
TOMMY NESMITHWR SERET
UNR—00%——
40
FLYNN DRISCOLLTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
28
JACKSON BILLINGSWR SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
32
TRENT MASONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TANK BIGSBYHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
ZYKEIVOUS WALKERHS RECRUITSDE★4UNR
WESLEY STEINERHS RECRUITILB★4UNR
JAY HARDYHS RECRUITDT★4UNR
KOBE HUDSONHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
ZE'VIAN CAPERSHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
J.J. EVANSHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
LADARIUS TENNISONHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
ERIC REEDHS RECRUITS★4UNR
CHRIS THOMPSON JR.HS RECRUITS★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT23 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JOEY GATEWOODKENTUCKYTE★4★3
NOAH IGBINOGHENENFL DRAFT R1DB★4—
DERRICK BROWNNFL DRAFT R1DT★5—
MARLON DAVIDSONNFL DRAFT R2DE★4—
DANIEL THOMASNFL DRAFT R5DB★3—
GARY WALKERELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
ZACH FARRARELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
SPENCER NIGHELIGIBILITY UPFBUNR—
SAL CANNELLAELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
WIL APPLETONELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#7NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
16OF 25 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9026COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST71% BACK71th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG71% BACK71th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
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