SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›BAYLOR›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
BIG 12|MATT RHULE|—RECORD1-11|CONF—
BAYLOR81 FPIB12 · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
74FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#400 BC / 28
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
1-11ACTUALvs3.4-8.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-2.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN-11.6
1 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
66MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HLIBERTY—L 45-480———NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 9HUTSA—L 10-17113838+3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16ADUKE—L 20-34706464-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HOKLAHOMA#3L 41-49899595-54BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30AKANSAS STATE—L 20-33507878-37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14AOKLAHOMA STATE#14L 16-59728989-48BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HWEST VIRGINIA—L 36-38686262-21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HTEXAS—L 7-38917777-36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4AKANSAS—W 38-9491111+30BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HTEXAS TECH—L 24-38636060-19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HIOWA STATE—L 13-23586666-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24ATCU#9L 22-45778888-47BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET41NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
ANU SOLOMONQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
16
CHARLIE BREWERQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
11
ZACH SMITHQB SERET
★3—00%——
18
ZACK BENNEMAQB JURET
UNR—00%——
16
PRESTON HEARDQB SORET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET70NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
31
WYATT SCHREPFERRB —RET
UNR—00%——
23
OBIM OKEKERB JURET
UNR—00%——
23
JOHN LOVETTRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
44
DRU DIXONRB SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
6
JAMYCAL HASTYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
22
TERENCE WILLIAMSRB SERET
★3—00%——
1
TRESTAN EBNERRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
84
JALEN HURDRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
35
DWYER BUCEYRB JURET
UNR—00%——
38
KOBY BULLARDFB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
40
JONATHAN HOCKMANRB —RET
UNR—00%——
47
KYLE BOYDFB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
24
ISHMAIL WAINRIGHTTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
JAYSON CLEMENTSTE —RET
UNR—00%——
85
JORDAN FEUERBACHERTE —RET
UNR—00%——
80
TYLER JAYNESWR —RET
UNR—00%——
84
MARQUES JONESWR SERET
★2—00%——
16
JARED ATKINSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
2
R.J. SNEED IIWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
13
TONY NICHOLSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
5
DENZEL MIMSWR SERET
★3—00%——
83
RUSSELL MORRISONWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
43
JAMIE JACOBSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
14
CHRIS PLATTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
6
TREVOR WHITEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
17
POOH STRICKLINWR JURET
UNR—00%——
6
GAVIN HOLMESWR SERET
UNR—00%——
37
CODY GEORGETE SERET
UNR—00%——
82
TYLER HENDERSONTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
80
BLAKE PERDUEWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
KYLE PETERSONWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
BLAKE MURPHYWR —RET
UNR—00%——
88
QUAN JONESWR —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
XAVIER NEWMANHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
GAVIN HOLMESHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
RJ SNEEDHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
TRESTAN EBNERHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JOHN LOVETTHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
HARRISON HANDHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
DEMARCO ARTISHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
TIMARCUS DAVISHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JAMES LYNCHHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
JUSTIN HARRISHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT16 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
LYNX HAWTHORNENOT LISTEDWRUNR—
AIAVION EDWARDSNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
PATRICK LEVELSNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
KALEB MOORENOT LISTEDWRUNR—
RYAN REIDNOT LISTEDCBUNR—
SETH RUSSELLNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
ORION STEWARTNOT LISTEDSUNR—
TANNER THRIFTNOT LISTEDOLUNR—
TRAVON BLANCHARDNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
RAAQUAN DAVISNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#40NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 28 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8483COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
39TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
2
14
4
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.5 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +8 W
IMPROVED19 OF 39
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST49% BACK49th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG49% BACK49th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR41%41th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE