SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›BAYLOR›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
BIG 12|MATT RHULE|—RECORD6-6|CONF—
BAYLOR61 FPIB12 · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
77FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#296 BC / 22
BC RATIO
17%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs5.3-6.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.7 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-2.9
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
62MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HABILENE CHRISTIAN—W 55-27————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 8AUTSA—W 37-203222+47BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15HDUKE—L 27-40726161-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22HKANSAS—W 26-7482323+26BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29AOKLAHOMA#4L 33-66939898-49BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6HKANSAS STATE—W 37-34554141+8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13ATEXAS#9L 17-23947676-27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 25AWEST VIRGINIA#20L 14-58748282-33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3HOKLAHOMA STATE—W 35-31748484-35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10AIOWA STATE—L 14-28637171-22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17HTCU—L 9-16786767-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24ATEXAS TECH—W 35-24587272-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET44NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
18
PRESTON WEEKSQB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
16
CHARLIE BREWERQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
18
BRANDON BASSQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
11
GERRY BOHANONQB —NO SNAPS
★4—00%——
2
JALAN MCCLENDONQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
17
GARRET MCGUIREQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
3
GERRY BOHANONQB SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
18
ZACK BENNEMAQB JURET
UNR—00%——
16
PRESTON HEARDQB SORET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET70NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
23
JOHN LOVETTRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
28
ABRAM SMITHRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
38
KOBY BULLARDFB JURET
UNR—00%——
84
JALEN HURDRB SERET
UNR—00%——
6
JAMYCAL HASTYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
1
TRESTAN EBNERRB SERET
★3—00%——
CRAIG WILLIAMSRB JUNO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
44
DRU DIXONRB SORET
★2—00%——
47
KYLE BOYDFB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
TYQUAN THORNTONWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
87
CHRISTOPH HENLETE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
11
JOSHUA FLEEKSWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
84
MARQUES JONESWR SERET
★2—00%——
16
JARED ATKINSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
2
R.J. SNEED IIWR SERET
UNR—00%——
5
DENZEL MIMSWR SERET
★3—00%——
14
CHRIS PLATTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
17
POOH STRICKLINWR JURET
UNR—00%——
82
TYLER HENDERSONTE SORET
★3—00%——
43
JAMIE JACOBSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
6
TREVOR WHITEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
37
CODY GEORGETE SERET
UNR—00%——
13
TONY NICHOLSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
83
RUSSELL MORRISONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
6
GAVIN HOLMESWR SERET
UNR—00%——
80
BLAKE PERDUEWR SORET
UNR—00%——
82
KYLE PETERSONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS22 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
GERRY BOHANONHS RECRUITDUAL★4UNR
BJ HANSPARDHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
JOSH FLEEKSHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
TYQUAN THORNTONHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
CRAIG WILLIAMSHS RECRUITAPB★4UNR
CONNOR GALVINHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
KALON BARNESHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JOSH LANDRYHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
CHRISTIAN MORGANHS RECRUITS★3UNR
JACKSON KIMBLEHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JOURDAN BLAKESMUCBUNRUNR
TERENCE WILLIAMSHOUSTONRB★3UNR
WILL JONESELIGIBILITY UPDT★2—
ZACH SMITHELIGIBILITY UPQB★3—
TIMARCUS DAVISELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
BRIAN NANCENOT LISTEDDEUNR—
TAION SELLSNOT LISTEDSUNR—
K.J. SMITHNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
TAYLOR YOUNGNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
ANU SOLOMONNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#29NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
6OF 22 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8664COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST69% BACK69th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG69% BACK69th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR44%44th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE