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● LIVE|2020 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›BAYLOR›2020TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
BIG 12|DAVE ARANDA|—RECORD2-7|CONF—
BAYLOR47 FPIB12 · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
71FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#543 BC / 15
BC RATIO
13%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
2-7ACTUALvs3.3-5.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-5.9
2 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE9 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
64MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
4SEP 26HKANSAS—W 47-145099+44BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 3AWEST VIRGINIA—L 21-27687575-22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 24ATEXAS#19L 16-27977878-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 31HTCU—L 23-33805555-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 7AIOWA STATE#9L 31-38608686-33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 14ATEXAS TECH—L 23-24653333+20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 28HKANSAS STATE—W 32-31515757-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14DEC 5AOKLAHOMA#6L 14-27959191-38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
15DEC 12HOKLAHOMA STATE#20L 3-42708989-36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
16
CHARLIE BREWERQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
3
GERRY BOHANONQB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
9
JACOB ZENOQB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
17
GARRET MCGUIREQB JURET
UNR—00%——
18
BRANDON BASSQB SORET
UNR—00%——
2
BLAKE SHAPENQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET62NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
23
JOHN LOVETTRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
28
ABRAM SMITHRB JURET
★3—00%——
25
JACOBY CLARKERB SERET
UNR—00%——
1
TRESTAN EBNERRB SERET
★3—00%——
CRAIG WILLIAMSRB JURET
★4★400%—HELD
22
TAYE MCWILLIAMSRB JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
28
QUALAN JONESRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
33
JONAH WHITERB FRRET
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
DRAKE DABNEYTE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
9
TYQUAN THORNTONWR JURET
★4—00%——
87
CHRISTOPH HENLETE JURET
★3—00%——
11
JOSHUA FLEEKSWR SERET
★4—00%——
8
BEN SIMSTE SERET
★3—00%——
16
JARED ATKINSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
2
R.J. SNEED IIWR SERET
UNR—00%——
2
YUSUF TERRYWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
7
JAYLEN ELLISWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
82
TYLER HENDERSONTE SORET
★3—00%——
6
GAVIN HOLMESWR SERET
UNR—00%——
23
DAVIS BAUCUMWR SORET
UNR—00%——
17
JACKSON GLEESONWR SORET
★3—00%——
29
WILL BAXTERWR SORET
UNR—00%——
85
SAM SNYDERTE FRRET
★3—00%——
89
KOLBY WHITEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
89
LOGAN COMPTONTE JURET
★3★300%—HELD
4
SETH JONESWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
15
TRIPP MITCHELLWR JURET
UNR—00%——
80
BLAKE PERDUEWR SORET
UNR—00%——
82
KYLE PETERSONWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
24
TY MOORETE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
81
JONATHAN DAVIDSONWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS15 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAMES SYLVESTERHS RECRUITWDE★4UNR
TAYE MCWILLIAMSHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
LORANDO JOHNSONHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
DRAKE DABNEYHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
BLAKE SHAPENHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
MICAH MAZZCCUAHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
WILL GARNERHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
DEVIN NEALHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
MIKE HARRISHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
CHATEAU REEDHS RECRUITS★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BRAVVION ROYNFL DRAFT R6DT★4—
JAMES LYNCHNFL DRAFT R4DT★3—
DENZEL MIMSNFL DRAFT R2WR★3—
CLAY JOHNSTONNFL DRAFT R7LBUNR—
HENRY BLACKELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
JORDAN WILLIAMSELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
OWEN ROGERSELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
MARQUES JONESELIGIBILITY UPWR★2—
JAMES LOCKHARTELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
CHRIS MILLERELIGIBILITY UPS★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#54NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
3OF 15 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8631COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST78% BACK78th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG78% BACK78th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
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