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● LIVE|2022 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›BAYLOR›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
BIG 12|DAVE ARANDA|—RECORD6-7|CONF—
BAYLOR26 FPIB12 · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
71FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
10%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#373 BC / 23
BC RATIO
16%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs7.6-4.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+7.0
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE80
PERFORMANCE80
TALENT57
CONTINUITY10
DEFENSE72
PERFORMANCE72
TALENT65
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
67MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HUALBANY—W 69-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 10ABYU—L 20-26234545+33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17HTEXAS STATE—W 42-7362323+55BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24AIOWA STATE—W 31-24546060+18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1HOKLAHOMA STATE—L 25-36727777+1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13AWEST VIRGINIA—L 40-43695252+26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22HKANSAS—W 35-23505454+24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29ATEXAS TECH—W 45-17696969+9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5AOKLAHOMA—W 38-35948686-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12HKANSAS STATE#14L 3-31539494-16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HTCU#2L 28-29779696-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25ATEXAS#25L 27-38969595-17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 22AAIR FORCE—L 15-3005656+22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB55TAL78PERF55RET94ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
BLAKE SHAPENQB SERET
★3★38994%+24HELD
1
KYRON DRONESQB SERET
★4★3336%—FELL
13
LUKE ANTHONYQB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
21
BRAYSON MCHENRYQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB42TAL63PERF42RET62ROTATIONn=3 · 9 METRICS · 18 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
29
RICHARD REESERB SENO SNAPS
★3★38837%+30HELD
28
QUALAN JONESRB SERET
★3★38635%+28HELD
CRAIG WILLIAMSRB JURET
★4★47421%+18HELD
22
TAYE MCWILLIAMSRB JURET
★4—476%+24—
23
JORDAN JENKINSRB SONO SNAPS
★3—90%——
25
JACOBY CLARKERB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE42TAL59PERF43RET66ONE OWNERn=8 · 8 METRICS · 51 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
BEN SIMSTE SERET
★3—9851%-19—
16
HAL PRESLEYWR SERET
★4★39534%-37FELL
87
LAKELSEY JOHNSON JR.TE JUNO SNAPS
★3★37923%-27HELD
9
DRAKE DABNEYTE SERET
★3★37823%+24HELD
80
MONARAY BALDWINWR SERET
★3—7519%+32—
34
JOSH CAMERONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—7317%+18—
6
GAVIN HOLMESWR SERET
UNR—7015%+37—
4
SETH JONESWR JURET
★3★36210%-50HELD
7
JAVON GIPSONWR SERET
★3★3372%—HELD
43
GAVIN YATESTE SERET
UNR—363%——
CAMERON BONNERWR SENO SNAPS
★3★3251%—HELD
7
JAYLEN ELLISWR JURET
★3★3251%—HELD
11
JOSHUA FLEEKSWR SERET
★4—232%-48—
5
JORDAN NABORSWR SENO SNAPS
★3★3231%—HELD
82
CODY MLADENKATE JUNO SNAPS
★3—90%——
44
MARK PATTONTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—70%——
81
JONATHAN DAVIDSONWR JURET
UNR—70%——
9
ARMANI WINFIELDWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★470%—HELD
15
TRIPP MITCHELLWR JURET
UNR—00%——
15
ELIJAH BEANWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
17
JONAH BURTONWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
24
LANDRY KINNEWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▸OL58TAL53PERF58RET36n=7 · 3 METRICS · 21 OBS
▸DL40TAL60PERF40RET76n=8 · 8 METRICS · 47 OBS
▸LB34TAL63PERF34RET92n=6 · 11 METRICS · 34 OBS
▸DB63TAL68PERF63RET92n=10 · 8 METRICS · 51 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS23 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ARMANI WINFIELDHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
KAIAN ROBERTS-DAYHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
GEORGE MAILEHS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
ALFONZO ALLEN JR.HS RECRUITS★3UNR
LAKELSEY JOHNSON JR.HS RECRUITTE★3UNR
JEREMY EVANSHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
RICHARD REESEHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
DEVONTE TEZINOHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
COREY GORDON JR.HS RECRUITS★3UNR
KADEN SIERACKIHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT19 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JOSH LANDRYMISSOURIDL★3UNR
R.J. SNEED IICOLORADOWRUNRUNR
GERRY BOHANONSOUTH FLORIDAQB★4★3
JACOB ZENOUABQB★4★3
DREW ESTRADAELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
ZEKE BROWNELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
RALEIGH TEXADAELIGIBILITY UPCB★3—
JAIRON MCVEAELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
THOR RODONIELIGIBILITY UPLSUNR—
TRESTAN EBNERELIGIBILITY UPRB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#37NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
3OF 23 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8674COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
74TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
16
24
15
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.8 W
FULL RANGE-8 TO +5 W
IMPROVED19 OF 74
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST17% BACK17th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG17% BACK17th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR36%36th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR94%94th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST92%92th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE