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HOME›TEAMS›BOSTON COLLEGE›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
ACC|JEFF HAFLEY|—RECORD6-6|CONF—
BOSTON COLLEGE71 FPIACC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
64FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-9IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#363 BC / 28
BC RATIO
10%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs6.8-5.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+2.5
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
49MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4HCOLGATE—W 51-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 11AMASSACHUSETTS—W 45-28900+43BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18ATEMPLE—W 28-34377+36BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25HMISSOURI—W 41-34684747-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2ACLEMSON#14L 13-19989595-52BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16HNC STATE#20L 7-33769090-47BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23ALOUISVILLE—L 14-28586060-17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30ASYRACUSE—L 6-21504040+3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5HVIRGINIA TECH—W 17-3724747-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13AGEORGIA TECH—W 41-30772626+17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20HFLORIDA STATE—L 23-26866060-17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27HWAKE FOREST#15L 10-41557171-28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
EMMETT MOREHEADQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
6
DENNIS GROSELQB SERET
UNR—00%——
5
PHIL JURKOVECQB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
10
DAELEN MENARDQB JURET
UNR—00%——
19
JACK BRANDONQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
8
MATTHEW RUEVEQB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
9
ANDREW BUTLERQB FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET51NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
38
PETER STEHRRB JURET
UNR—00%——
0
XAVIER COLEMANRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
23
TRAVIS LEVYRB SERET
★3—00%——
26
ALEC SINKFIELDRB SEPORTAL · WEST VIRGINIA
★3★300%—HELD
5
PATRICK GARWO IIIRB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
33
JAVIAN DAYNERB JURET
★3—00%——
5
ANDRE HINES JRRB SERET
★3—00%——
39
JACKSON TREISTERRB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
LEWIS BONDWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
5
KOBAY WHITEWR SERET
★3—00%——
17
EZECHIEL TIEIDEWR SERET
★2—00%——
3
TRAE BARRYTE SEPORTAL · JACKSONVILLE STATE
★2★300%—ROSE
16
JOEY LUCHETTITE SERET
★3—00%——
11
CJ LEWISWR SERET
★3—00%——
44
BRENDAN SMITHTE JURET
UNR—00%——
JEHLANI GALLOWAYWR SERET
★3—00%——
5
JAELEN GILLWR SERET
★4★500%—ROSE
4
ZAY FLOWERSWR SERET
★3—00%——
11
TAJI JOHNSONWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
81
SPENCER WITTERTE JURET
★3—00%——
85
JACOB KRAFTWR JURET
UNR—00%——
0
JADEN WILLIAMSWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
3
ETHON WILLIAMSWR SORET
★3★300%—HELD
86
CHARLIE GORDINIERTE JURET
★3★300%—HELD
29
TONY MUSEWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
82
HANS LILLISTE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
18
ANDREW LANDRYTE JURET
UNR—00%——
9
DANTE REYNOLDSWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
89
TOMMY BIRMINGHAMTE JURET
UNR—00%——
83
LUKE MCLAUGHLINWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
TOMMY DEGNANTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS23 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DREW KENDALLHS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
CLINTON BURTON JR.HS RECRUITCB★4UNR
BRYCE STEELEHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
JALEN CHEEKHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
OWEN MCGOWANHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
JALON WILLIAMSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
NETO OKPALAHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
NIGEL TATEHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
JAMAREEH JONESHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
XAVIER COLEMANHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN2 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAIDEN LARS-WOODBEYFLORIDA STATES★4★3
TRAE BARRYJACKSONVILLE STATETE★2★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT10 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DAVID BAILEYCOLORADO STATERB★3★3
LUC BEQUETTECALIFORNIADLUNR★3
TATE HAYNESWILLIAM & MARYDB★3★3
PAUL THEOBALD JR.UALBANYLBUNRUNR
ISAIAH MCDUFFIENFL DRAFT R6LB★3—
HUNTER LONGNFL DRAFT R3TE★3—
MAX RICHARDSONELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
JOHN LAMOTELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
BRYCE MORAISELIGIBILITY UPDL★3—
MAX ROBERTSELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#36NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
3OF 28 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8526COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
615 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST80% BACK80th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG80% BACK80th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE