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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGEPRESEASON · NO CHARTED PLAY
MID-AMERICAN|JOE HARASYMIAK|—RECORD2-0|CONF—
MASSACHUSETTS117 FPIMAC · 2026 SEASON
TALENT
7FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
37%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
11%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
+2IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1160 BC / 19
BC RATIO
8%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2026 · FULL SEASON
No scoring record for this season yet, so there is nothing to compare the win-loss record against.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT72
CONTINUITY37
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT25
CONTINUITY11
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE2 PLAYED · 10 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
42MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
16MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
-26REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3ARUTGERS—W 37-21664242-41BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 12HSACRED HEART—W 37-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 19HSTONEHILL—UPCOMING————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 26ASACRAMENTO STATE—UPCOMING1822-1STILL TO COME
5OCT 3HEASTERN MICHIGAN—UPCOMING261212-11STILL TO COME
6OCT 10HMIAMI (OH)—UPCOMING383434-33STILL TO COME
7OCT 17ABUFFALO—UPCOMING131515-14STILL TO COME
8OCT 23AUCONN—UPCOMING472626-25STILL TO COME
10NOV 4HBALL STATE—UPCOMING1855-4STILL TO COME
11NOV 11ATOLEDO—UPCOMING163939-38STILL TO COME
12NOV 18HAKRON—UPCOMING1277-6STILL TO COME
13NOV 28ABOWLING GREEN—UPCOMING2077-6STILL TO COME
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB37TAL72PERF37RET0ONE OWNERn=1 · 5 METRICS · 5 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
WILLIAM WATSON IIIQB SEPORTAL · VIRGINIA TECH
★3★364100%+31HELD
16
LOGAN INAGAWAQB SOPORTAL · DRAKE
UNR★300%——
13
AEDAN MCCARTHYQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
10
TY MCCUTCHEONQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
7
WILL PERRYQB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾RB23TAL30PERF23RET59ONE OWNERn=4 · 9 METRICS · 22 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
23
ELIJAH FAULKNERRB SORET
UNR—9257%-57—
14
CURTIS KIMMONS IVRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—8039%+31—
4
DA'MARION ALBERICRB JURET
★3—02%——
0
JORDAN WASHINGTONRB JUPORTAL · MURRAY STATE
UNR★302%——
6
JUSTIN WILLIAMS-THOMASRB SEPORTAL · MARSHALL
★4★300%-13FELL
22
TK DAVISRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
33
JUSTIN LEWISRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
20
RICARDO LABOYRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE27TAL22PERF26RET85ROTATIONn=10 · 7 METRICS · 45 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
MAX DOWLINGTE SERET
UNR★29542%-29EMERGED
83
REECE ADKINSTE SERET
UNR★39441%-8EMERGED
1
JOSEPH GRIFFIN JR.WR SEPORTAL · WISCONSIN
★4★38036%+14FELL
2
T.Y. HARDINGWR SERET
★2—7734%+32—
17
DALLAS ELLIOTTWR SERET
UNR—5923%-59—
86
JAX MARKOVICHTE SORET
★3—3610%-42—
87
OWEN ANDERSONTE SERET
★3★3257%-34HELD
8
KEZION DIA-JOHNSONWR JURET
★3—93%-47—
85
DREW ALSUPWR FRTRUE FR
★3—02%——
19
JABARI LEWISWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—02%——
15
TAVIAN DASHIELLWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
18
MATT OGUNNIYITE JURET
★3★300%—HELD
3
ELIJAH PEDROWR SORET
UNR—00%——
9
DEVIN MATTHEWSWR SEPORTAL · EAST TEXAS A&M
UNR★300%—EMERGED
89
MATTHEW TYBORTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
21
KAI OWENSWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
12
DAVID MOORE JR.WR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
88
JOHN CONDAKESTE JURET
UNR—00%——
80
ISAIAH SIMMONSWR FRTRUE FR
★4—00%——
▸OL26TAL24PERF26RET49n=5 · 2 METRICS · 10 OBS
▸DL18TAL29PERF18RET6n=12 · 7 METRICS · 67 OBS
▸LB18TAL18PERF18RET69n=3 · 11 METRICS · 28 OBS
▸DB31TAL11PERF31RET61n=7 · 7 METRICS · 33 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS13 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
AEDAN MCCARTHYHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
TERRON JOHNSONHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
KAI OWENSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
COREY WARNERHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
CJ AMOBIHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
JUSTIN LEWISHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
SAMUEL MULBAHHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
DAVID MOORE JR.HS RECRUITATH★3UNR
TK DAVISHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
DONOVAN MURPHYHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN12 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
GREG KNOXMCNEESEOTUNR★3
AITOR URIONABARRENECHEACOLORADO STATEIOL★3★3
ZACHARY BETTSSAINT FRANCIS (PA)EDGEUNR★3
KENDRIC COUNCILSAINT FRANCIS (PA)LBUNR★3
AUBREY MELVINUCONNDL★3★3
LOGAN INAGAWADRAKEQBUNR★3
JUSTIN WILLIAMS-THOMASMARSHALLRB★4★3
JORDAN WASHINGTONMURRAY STATERBUNR★3
WILLIAM DEPAEPEINDIANAEDGE★3★3
JOSEPH GRIFFIN JR.WISCONSINWR★4★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT41 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MARQUES WHITESMUDEUNR★3
BRENNEN BAILEYLAMARCBUNR★3
DAVID ONUOHANORTH TEXASDLUNR★3
RASHAD HENRYUCFLBUNR★3
SHAMBRE JACKSONCONCORDDL★4★3
JEREMIAH MCGILLMAINES★3UNR
JACQUON GIBSONVIRGINIAWR★2★3
AJ HAIRSTONMERRIMACKQB★3★3
KAMREN WATKINS-HUNTERCENTRAL WASHINGTONCBUNRUNR
DONOVAN DYSONMONMOUTHLB★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES10%2 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS28%1 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#116NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8422COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
2119 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
73TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
15
14
24
9
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED33 OF 73
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST14% BACK14th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG14% BACK14th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR49%49th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST61%61th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE