SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›BUFFALO›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
MID-AMERICAN|LANCE LEIPOLD|—RECORD7-5|CONF—
BUFFALO80 FPIMAC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
9FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1060 BC / 24
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
7-5ACTUALvs8.3-3.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+9.2
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
34MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 29HROBERT MORRIS—W 38-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 7APENN STATE#9L 13-45939696-50BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14ALIBERTY—L 17-3564343+3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HTEMPLE—W 38-22426161-15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28AMIAMI (OH)—L 20-34182222+24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5HOHIO—L 20-21156363-17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19AAKRON—W 21-01011+45BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HCENTRAL MICHIGAN—W 43-20283535+11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2AEASTERN MICHIGAN—W 43-14122222+24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 14AKENT STATE—L 27-30111919+27BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 20HTOLEDO—W 49-30341212+34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29HBOWLING GREEN—W 49-71222+44BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET2NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
KYLE VANTREASEQB YRRET
★3—00%——
10
MATT MYERSQB SENO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
4
TREVOR BYCZNSKIQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
12
AARON CHASEQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET79NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
25
DYLAN MCDUFFIERB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
2
THEO ANDERSONRB JURET
★3—00%——
26
JARET PATTERSONRB JURET
★2—00%——
5
KEVIN MARKSRB JURET
UNR—00%——
2
RON COOK JR.RB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
25
TAJAY AHMEDRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
30
RYAN RAZZANORB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
43
LIAM O'MARARB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
23
RON COOK, JR.RB —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
DOMINIC JOHNSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
13
TITO OVERTONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
89
ZAC LEFEBVRETE SERET
★2★200%—HELD
1
ANTONIO NUNNWR SERET
★2—00%——
85
JULIEN BOURASSATE SORET
★2—00%——
16
LEMARO SMITH JR.WR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
3
DANIEL LEEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
36
COLE BURNISTONTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
11
MARLYN JOHNSONWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
13
CARLTON TODDWR SERET
UNR—00%——
44
JAKE MOLINICHTE SERET
UNR—00%——
8
JOVANY RUIZ-NAVARROWR SERET
UNR—00%——
27
STEVEN SHOEMAKERWR SORET
UNR—00%——
30
JOSH GRIFFENWR SORET
UNR—00%——
19
JAVIEN CUFFWR SENO SNAPS
★3★200%—FELL
80
TYLER STEPHENSTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
85
JELANI FOSTERWR SONO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
7
TREVOR WILSONWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%——
17
BERNARD PORTERWR SORET
UNR—00%——
35
MAX BOWDENWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
84
JACKSON WESTFALLTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
44
WYATT MOLINICHTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
TAIYO IBURI-BETHELWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
84
LEVI SHETLERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
81
MIKE DEMPSEYTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS24 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TREVOR WILSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
LOGIC HUDGENSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
MARLYN JOHNSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
TYRECE WOODSHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
RICH MILLERHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
CALEB TATEHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
KYLER LAINGHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
TREVOR BYCZNSKIHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
JAVIEN CUFFHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
TYLER STEPHENSHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT26 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JOHNATHAN HAWKINSCAMPBELLRBUNRUNR
EMMANUEL REEDMAINERBUNRUNR
K.J. OSBORNMIAMIWRUNRUNR
JEREMIAH DADEBOEMAINESUNRUNR
TYLER MABRYMARYLANDTEUNRUNR
JORDAN COLLIERELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
CAMERON LEWISELIGIBILITY UPCB★3—
GEORGE RUSHINGELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
ADAM MITCHESONELIGIBILITY UPPKUNR—
BRANDON WILLIAMSELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#106NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8029COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
73TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
15
14
24
9
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED33 OF 73
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST35% BACK35th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG35% BACK35th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR2%2th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE