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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGEPRESEASON · NO CHARTED PLAY
MID-AMERICAN|MIKE JACOBS|—RECORD1-1|CONF—
TOLEDO76 FPIMAC · 2026 SEASON
TALENT
16FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
76%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
6%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-5IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1210 BC / 15
BC RATIO
2%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2026 · FULL SEASON
No scoring record for this season yet, so there is nothing to compare the win-loss record against.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT27
CONTINUITY76
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT38
CONTINUITY6
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE2 PLAYED · 10 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
57MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
19MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
-38REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4AMICHIGAN STATE—L 20-30565757-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 12HCENTRAL CONNECTICUT—W 63-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 19HTEMPLE—UPCOMING423636+3STILL TO COME
4SEP 26HSAN DIEGO STATE—UPCOMING364848-9STILL TO COME
5OCT 3ABALL STATE—UPCOMING1855+34STILL TO COME
6OCT 10HBUFFALO—UPCOMING131515+24STILL TO COME
7OCT 17AEASTERN MICHIGAN—UPCOMING261212+27STILL TO COME
8OCT 24HWESTERN MICHIGAN—UPCOMING224444-5STILL TO COME
10NOV 4ASACRAMENTO STATE—UPCOMING1822+37STILL TO COME
11NOV 11HMASSACHUSETTS—UPCOMING711+38STILL TO COME
12NOV 20HBOWLING GREEN—UPCOMING2077+32STILL TO COME
13NOV 27AOHIO—UPCOMING71818+21STILL TO COME
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB70TAL22PERF70RET100ONE OWNERn=1 · 5 METRICS · 5 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
JOHN ALAN RICHTERQB JURET
★3—60100%+5—
7
KHAMONI ROBINSONQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR★300%——
11
WALTER MOSESQB FRRET
★3—00%——
13
JAKE DEHAANQB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾RB43TAL34PERF43RET52ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 24 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
CONNOR WALENDZAKRB SERET
★3—7652%-51—
22
CJ MILLERRB JUPORTAL · MERCER
★3★36742%—HELD
4
AUTAVIUS ISONRB JUPORTAL · MERCER
UNR★366%—EMERGED
20
COREY SMITHRB SOPORTAL · PENN STATE
★4★300%+17FELL
23
NOAH SANDERSRB FRRET
★3—00%——
27
DANE NAUMANRB SORET
UNR—00%-52—
28
KADALE WILLIAMSRB FRRET
★3—00%——
29
TANNER RUBINSTEINFB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE41TAL43PERF46RET57ONE OWNERn=8 · 5 METRICS · 32 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
ADJATAY DABBSWR JUPORTAL · MERCER
UNR★38031%—EMERGED
19
DARYL BARNETT JR.WR SORET
★3—7730%——
43
SAM LEETE SERET
UNR—7366%——
12
BRYSON HAMMERWR JURET
UNR—6121%——
88
JACOB NEWELLTE SENO SNAPS
★3★34134%-29HELD
1
RICO BONDWR SONO SNAPS
UNR★33610%——
2
TRENTON JONESWR FRTRUE FR
★3—226%——
5
TERRELL CROSBY JR.WR SERET
★3★393%-10HELD
14
TASHI BRACEFULWR SORET
★3—00%——
13
COOPER RUSKWR SERET
UNR—00%-9—
85
ANTHONY SIMPSONWR SEPORTAL · MICHIGAN
UNR★300%+25EMERGED
80
PEYTON STRICKLANDTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
ETHAN MALAFATE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
10
SETH ELCHERTWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
87
TUCKER KELLEHERTE SOPORTAL · BYU
★3★300%—HELD
83
OMAR MIMS JR.WR FRRET
★3—00%——
9
KALVIN GILBERT JR.WR JUNO SNAPS
UNR★300%——
▸OL50TAL43PERF50RET53n=6 · 2 METRICS · 12 OBS
▸DL63TAL30PERF63RET41n=8 · 7 METRICS · 50 OBS
▸LB57TAL28PERF57RET45n=4 · 11 METRICS · 29 OBS
▸DB50TAL33PERF50RET0n=7 · 7 METRICS · 31 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS9 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SHARARD VAUGHN IIIHS RECRUITS★3UNR
TYRELL O'NEALHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
SETH ELCHERTHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JAKE PALUCKIHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
PRESTON DAZEYHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
VINCENZO PIZZOHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
BRIAN STOVALL JR.HS RECRUITLB★3UNR
NATHAN GERSHHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
HAYDEN ROYHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN16 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KHAMONI ROBINSONLENOIR-RHYNEQBUNR★3
RICO BONDLINDENWOODWRUNR★3
ARMORION SMITHMICHIGAN STATES★3★3
LADAVION OSBORNNORTHERN COLORADOCBUNR★3
KJ THOMASMERCERCBUNR★3
ANDREW ZOCKMERCEREDGEUNR★3
JAKE NEWELLAKRONTEUNR★3
COREY SMITHPENN STATERB★4★3
AHMAD CARWISEGARDNER-WEBBIOLUNR★3
DONOVAN WATKINSMERCERCBUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT54 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ANTHONY BOSWELLHOUSTONOL★2★3
K'VON SHERMANUCONNLB★2★3
CHRIS D'APPOLONIASYRACUSELBUNR★3
MALACHI DAVISRUTGERSDL★3★3
AVERY DUNNUCONNDL★3★3
KENJI CHRISTIANUCONNRB★3★3
RYDER TREADWAYUCONNWR★3★3
DJ KELLYJAMES MADISONCB★3★3
HUDSON MILLERPURDUELB★2★3
TYLER MCKINSTRYUCONNDB★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES73%5 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS40%7 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#121NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 15 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8462COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
3338 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKNEW
26TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
0
5
9
7
5
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-3 TO +9 W
IMPROVED12 OF 26
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST56% BACK56th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG56% BACK56th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR53%53th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST0%0th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE