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● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›BYU›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
BIG 12|KALANI SITAKE|—RECORD6-6|CONF—
BYU60 FPIB12 · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
60FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#780 BC / 31
BC RATIO
7%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs7.1-4.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN+3.8
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
56MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1AARIZONA—W 28-23645656+9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8HCALIFORNIA—L 18-21685858+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15AWISCONSIN—W 24-21758686-21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22HMCNEESE—W 30-3————NON-FBS OPPONENT
5SEP 29AWASHINGTON#13L 7-35889090-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5HUTAH STATE#22L 20-45268585-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13HHAWAI'I—W 49-23132121+44BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27HNORTHERN ILLINOIS—L 6-7373232+33BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3ABOISE STATE#23L 16-21537979-14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10AMASSACHUSETTS—W 35-16281414+51BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17HNEW MEXICO STATE—W 45-10855+60BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24AUTAH—L 27-35668888-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET71NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
JAREN HALLQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
12
TANNER MANGUMQB SERET
UNR—00%——
7
BEAU HOGEQB JURET
UNR—00%——
1
ZACH WILSONQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
10
JOE CRITCHLOWQB SORET
UNR—00%——
15
HAYDEN GRIFFITTSQB —RET
UNR—00%——
17
STACY CONNERQB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET59NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
35
BRAYDEN EL-BAKRIRB SERET
UNR—00%——
2
MATT HADLEYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
22
SQUALLY CANADARB SERET
UNR—00%——
34
RILEY BURTRB SERET
UNR—00%——
25
TYLER ALLGEIERRB SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
22
SIONE FINAURB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
4
LOPINI KATOARB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
42
JOHNNY TAPUSOARB JURET
UNR—00%——
31
ALEC WYBLE-MEZARB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
45
CHASE WESTERRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
23
DYLAN COLLIEWR —RET
UNR—00%——
17
MORONI LAULU-PUTUTAUTE SERET
UNR—00%——
15
ALEVA HIFOWR SERET
★3—00%——
89
MATT BUSHMANTE SERET
UNR—00%——
18
GUNNER ROMNEYWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
1
AKILE DAVISWR JURET
UNR—00%——
21
TALON SHUMWAYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
13
MICAH SIMONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
5
DAX MILNEWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
2
NEIL PAU'UWR JURET
UNR—00%——
5
DALLIN HOLKERTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
23
BATCHLOR JOHNSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
83
AUSTIN WHETZELWR JURET
UNR—00%——
42
KYLE GRIFFITTSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
80
NATE HEAPSTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
26
SPENCER ROMNEYWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
JACOB TALBOTWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
BENJAMIN WARDTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
83
INOKE LOTULELEIWR —RET
UNR—00%——
96
TANNER LEISHMANTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
22
NEPHI STEVENSWR —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
GUNNER ROMNEYHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ZACH WILSONHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
DALLIN HOLKERHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
CONNOR PAYHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
JACOB SMITHHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
NATHAN LATUHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
CAMPBELL BARRINGTONHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
AMONE FINAUHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
CHINONSO OPARAHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
VILIAMI TAUSINGAHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT20 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
FRED WARNERNFL DRAFT R3LBUNR—
MORGAN UNGAELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
TREY DYEELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
JONAH TRINNAMANNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
KAMEL GREENENOT LISTEDDBUNR—
JONNY LINEHANNOT LISTEDPUNR—
TANNER BALDERREENOT LISTEDTEUNR—
CODY STEWARTNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
KESNI TAUSINGANOT LISTEDDLUNR—
MICAH HANNEMANNNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#78NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 31 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8047COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST84% BACK84th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG84% BACK84th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR71%71th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE