SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›CALIFORNIA›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
ACC|JUSTIN WILCOX|—RECORD7-5|CONF—
CALIFORNIA52 FPIACC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
64FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#431 BC / 22
BC RATIO
11%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
7-5ACTUALvs5.3-6.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.7 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-2.0
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
65MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HUC DAVIS—W 27-13————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 7AWASHINGTON—W 20-19878888-45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14HNORTH TEXAS—W 23-17372929+14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21AOLE MISS—W 28-20826060-17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 27HARIZONA STATE—L 17-24776767-24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5AOREGON#5L 7-17888989-46BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HOREGON STATE—L 17-21595151-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26AUTAH#16L 0-35669191-48BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HWASHINGTON STATE—W 33-20507979-36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HUSC—L 17-41988484-41BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23ASTANFORD—W 24-20863333+10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30AUCLA—W 28-18854040+3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET63NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
15
ROBBY ROWELLQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
13
SPENCER BRASCHQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
6
DEVON MODSTERQB SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
7
CHASE GARBERSQB JURET
★4—00%——
8
JACK NEWMANQB SORET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET17NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
ALEX NETHERDARB SERET
UNR—00%——
23
MARCEL DANCYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
34
CHRISTOPHER BROWN JR.RB JURET
UNR—00%——
26
DESHAWN COLLINSRB JURET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
45
ZACH ANGELILLOFB SENO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
25
DECARLOS BROOKSRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
88
NICK ALFTINTE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
10
JEREMIAH HAWKINSWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
2
JORDAN DUNCANWR SERET
★3—00%——
16
COLLIN MOORETE JURET
UNR—00%——
82
GAVIN REINWALDTE SERET
★2—00%——
1
NIKKO REMIGIOWR SERET
★4—00%——
80
TREVON CLARKWR SERET
UNR—00%——
11
KEKOA CRAWFORDWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
85
JAKE TONGESTE JURET
UNR—00%——
41
BEN SKINNERWR SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
21
RICKY WALKER IIIWR SORET
UNR—00%——
10
MAKAI POLKWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
39
EVAN KINGWR JURET
UNR—00%——
34
MCCALLAN CASTLESTE SERET
★3★400%—ROSE
14
MONROE YOUNGWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
88
RYAN REGANWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
7
ELIJAH MOJARROTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
87
LUCAS ALLENWR FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
83
CHRIS ROGERSWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
JARED STAUBWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS22 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BRETT JOHNSONHS RECRUITDT★4UNR
ORIN PATUHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
SPENCER BRASCHHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
BEN COLEMANHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
BRAXTEN CROTEAUHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
MCKADE METTAUERHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
BLAKE ANTZOULATOSHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
CURLEY YOUNGHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
KYLE SMITHHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
MILES WILLIAMSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT26 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVAN RAMBOTEXAS TECHOLBUNRUNR
ROSS BOWERSNORTHERN ILLINOISQBUNR★3
KANAWAI NOANEBRASKAWRUNRUNR
BIAGGIO ALI WALSHUNLVRB★3UNR
SEMISI ULUAVEELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
JORDAN KUNASZYKELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
RUSTY BECKERELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
ALEX FUNCHESELIGIBILITY UPOLBUNR—
ALONSO VERAELIGIBILITY UPLSUNR—
RAY HUDSONELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#43NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 22 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8499COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
28TEAMS
MATCHED THIS
+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
0
4
12
4
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +3.0 W
FULL RANGE-3 TO +5 W
IMPROVED12 OF 28
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST41% BACK41th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG41% BACK41th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR63%63th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE