SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2022 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›CALIFORNIA›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
ACC|JUSTIN WILCOX|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
CALIFORNIA71 FPIACC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
66FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
2%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#591 BC / 17
BC RATIO
12%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
4-8ACTUALvs4.9-7.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.9 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-5
AVG SCORING MARGIN-3.9
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE38
PERFORMANCE38
TALENT57
CONTINUITY2
DEFENSE48
PERFORMANCE48
TALENT63
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
62MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
6 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HUC DAVIS—W 34-13————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 10HUNLV—W 20-14152222+20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17ANOTRE DAME#18L 17-24937373-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24HARIZONA—W 49-31664141+1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1AWASHINGTON STATE—L 9-28507272-30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15ACOLORADO—L 13-205655+37BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22HWASHINGTON#8L 21-28858787-45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29HOREGON#15L 24-42969292-50BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5AUSC#12L 35-41939292-50BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12AOREGON STATE#17L 10-38618484-42BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HSTANFORD—W 27-20852929+13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HUCLA#21L 28-35808585-43BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB40TAL78PERF40RET0ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
JACK PLUMMERQB SENO SNAPS
★3★39597%+18HELD
2
KAI MILLNERQB FRRET
★4★4263%—HELD
16
ZACH JOHNSONQB SORET
★3—00%——
15
FERNANDO MENDOZAQB JUNO SNAPS
★2★400%—ROSE
19
TYLER JENSENQB SONO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
17
NOAH MITCHEOMQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB45TAL80PERF45RET32ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 16 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
0
JAYDN OTTRB SENO SNAPS
★4★49967%+2HELD
25
DECARLOS BROOKSRB SERET
★3★37422%-1HELD
28
DAMIEN MOORERB SERET
★3★3539%+17HELD
26
ASHTON HAYESRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★3131%—HELD
31
ASHTON STREDICKRB SORET
★3—90%——
44
BEAUX TAGALOAFB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
3
CHRIS STREETRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
▾WR/TE32TAL64PERF35RET82ROTATIONn=8 · 8 METRICS · 50 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
J. MICHAEL STURDIVANTWR SERET
★4—9830%+1—
6
JEREMIAH HUNTERWR SERET
★3★39425%+32HELD
3
MAVIN ANDERSONWR SERET
★4★39425%-37FELL
85
KELEKI LATUTE SERET
★3★38337%-17HELD
84
JERMAINE TERRY IITE SERET
★4★38237%-56FELL
7
ELIJAH MOJARROTE SERET
★3—6924%-32—
14
MONROE YOUNGWR SERET
★3—6710%-4—
9
MASON STARLINGWR SENO SNAPS
★3★3453%—HELD
16
MASON MANGUMWR SORET
★3—201%——
22
JUSTIN RICHARD BAKERWR JURET
★3—180%——
88
NICK ALFTINTE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
26
GRANT DALEYWR SORET
★3—00%——
86
JEFFREY JOHNSONTE SERET
★3—00%——
82
KENDEN ROBINSON JR.WR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
29
AIDAN LEEWR SORET
★3★300%—HELD
46
JAKE MULLERTE SORET
★3—00%——
83
CHRIS ROGERSWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
JAIVEN PLUMMERWR SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
7
TROND GRIZZELLWR SERET
UNR—00%——
97
CHAMPION JOHNSONTE JURET
★3★200%—FELL
4
JORDAN KINGWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
JACK ENDRIESTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★400%—ROSE
▸OL24TAL47PERF24RET18n=7 · 3 METRICS · 20 OBS
▸DL22TAL56PERF22RET78n=7 · 7 METRICS · 35 OBS
▸LB28TAL81PERF28RET17n=9 · 11 METRICS · 52 OBS
▸DB51TAL55PERF51RET58n=9 · 8 METRICS · 52 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAYDN OTTHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
TRENT RAMSEYHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
NATE BURRELLHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
ASHTON HAYESHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
CURLEE THOMAS IVHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
JACKSON BROWNHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
SIOAPE VATIKANIHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
JAIVEN PLUMMERHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
CAM SIDNEYHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
MOSO'OIPALA TUITELEHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT25 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
RYAN GLOVERMEMPHISQB★3★3
CHIGOZIE ANUSIEMCOLORADO STATEDB★3UNR
NIKKO REMIGIOFRESNO STATEWR★4UNR
JH TEVISINDIANADL★3UNR
LUC BEQUETTEELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
CAMERON GOODEELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
GAVIN REINWALDELIGIBILITY UPTE★2—
ROBBY ROWELLELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
MARCEL DANCYELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
EVAN TATTERSALLELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#59NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 17 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8538COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
74TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
16
24
15
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.8 W
FULL RANGE-8 TO +5 W
IMPROVED19 OF 74
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST23% BACK23th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG23% BACK23th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR18%18th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST58%58th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE