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HOME›TEAMS›CENTRAL MICHIGAN›2020TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
MID-AMERICAN|JIM MCELWAIN|—RECORD3-3|CONF—
CENTRAL MICHIGAN85 FPIMAC · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
23FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1230 BC / 24
BC RATIO
6%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
3-3ACTUALvs3.1-2.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+1.2
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE6 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
27MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
10NOV 4HOHIO—W 30-27183636+4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11ANORTHERN ILLINOIS—W 40-101466+34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HWESTERN MICHIGAN—L 44-52284949-9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27AEASTERN MICHIGAN—W 31-23101212+28BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 5HBALL STATE#23L 20-45132626+14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
15DEC 12ATOLEDO—L 23-24303434+6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET1NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
DANIEL RICHARDSONQB JURET
★3★200%—FELL
12
TY BROCKQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
12
QUINTEN DORMADYQB SERET
UNR—00%——
7
TOMMY LAZZAROQB SERET
UNR—00%——
2
DAVID MOOREQB SERET
★3—00%——
8
GEORGE PEARSONQB FRRET
★3—00%——
12
TYLER SHEARERQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
JOHN KELLERQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET52NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
24
DARIUS BRACYRB SERET
★2—00%——
5
KOBE LEWISRB SERET
★2★200%—HELD
7
LEW NICHOLS IIIRB SORET
★3—00%——
3
ROMELLO ROSSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
32
THADDEUS CORNICKRB SERET
UNR—00%——
34
CHARLES HIGHBAUGHRB FRRET
UNR—00%——
27
JOSH CRAWFORDRB FRRET
★2—00%——
36
CHRISTIAN BROWNRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
20
ZAHIR SWANNWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
11
JACOREY SULLIVANWR SERET
★3—00%——
83
JOEL WILSONTE JURET
★2—00%——
44
HUNTER BUCZKOWSKITE SERET
★2—00%——
80
DRAYTON LAWWR JURET
★3—00%——
19
TYRONE SCOTTWR JURET
★2—00%——
88
KALIL PIMPLETONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
6
DALLAS DIXONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
BAILEY EDWARDSWR SORET
★3—00%——
82
AUSTIN HERGOTTTE JURET
★3★300%—HELD
82
CAMERON COLEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
48
OAKLEY LAVALLIITE SERET
UNR—00%——
16
NORMAN ANDERSONWR JURET
★2★200%—HELD
85
KEEGAN COSSOUTE JURET
★3—00%——
46
MICHAEL HEGEWALDTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
13
MARK PATRITTOWR JURET
UNR—00%——
87
KEONTA NIXONWR SORET
★3—00%——
84
KENNY BREWER IIIWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
14
BEN MALESZYKWR JURET
UNR—00%——
89
JAVON GANTTWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
18
ALEC WARDWR SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
11
ADAM JONESWR SERET
UNR—00%——
17
CHASE KARETAWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
38
RICARDO MACONWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
42
TYLER BARKELEYWR JURET
UNR—00%——
32
ALEC MUCKWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
27
JALEN BOESWR JURET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS24 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JORDON INGRAMHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
DAEDAE HILLHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
NAHREE BIGGINSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
MYLES BAILEYHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
KEEGAN SMITHHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
DAVIS HEINZENHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
TYLER PAPEHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
DONTE KENTHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
BRADEN DOYLEHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
JASON WILLIAMSHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT2 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TONY POLJANVIRGINIATE★3UNR
JONATHAN WARDELIGIBILITY UPRB★2—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#123NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8067COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST86% BACK86th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG86% BACK86th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR1%1th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
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