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SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|BRAD LAMBERT|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
CHARLOTTE109 FPIAAC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
11FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1110 BC / 20
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
5-7ACTUALvs4.6-7.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-4.9
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
36MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HFORDHAM—W 34-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 8HAPP STATE—L 9-45207878-69BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 13HOLD DOMINION—W 28-25121616-7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22AMASSACHUSETTS—L 31-49281414-5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29AUAB—L 7-28284343-34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13HWESTERN KENTUCKY—W 40-14191414-5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20AMIDDLE TENNESSEE—L 13-21343030-21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27HSOUTHERN MISS—W 20-17272929-20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3ATENNESSEE—L 3-14906464-55BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10AMARSHALL—L 13-30414444-35BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17HFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—L 35-42442626-17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24AFLORIDA ATLANTIC—W 27-24523838-29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET90NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
HASAAN KLUGHQB SERET
UNR—00%——
16
EVAN SHIRREFFSQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
3
CHRIS REYNOLDSQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
12
WILLIE GREENQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
13
BRADY POPEQB —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET85NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
32
BENNY LEMAYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
30
ISHOD FINGERRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
28
KESHAUN MCGAUGHRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
5
AARON MCALLISTERRB SERET
★2—00%——
2
CALVIN CAMPRB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
CAM BENTWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
3
MARK QUATTLEBAUMWR SERET
UNR—00%——
6
WORKPEH KOFAWR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
RYAN EACHUSTE JURET
UNR—00%——
87
CHRIS PHILLIPSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
81
TYLER RINGWOODWR SERET
UNR★200%—EMERGED
85
RYAN CARRIERETE SERET
★2—00%——
12
RICO ARNOLDWR SERET
★2★200%—HELD
1
VICTOR TUCKERWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
4
CAMERON DOLLARWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
88
JACOB HUNTTE JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
80
CHRISTIAN ROBERSONTE SERET
★3—00%——
14
JOE THOMPSONWR JURET
★2—00%——
82
ZACH GEMMELLWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
MOSS SACCOMANNOTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR★200%—EMERGED
84
RHETT READTE JURET
★2—00%——
89
CHRIS TOMBERLINWR —RET
UNR—00%——
22
ANGEL MARREROWR —RET
UNR—00%——
95
DAVID FOUSTTE —RET
UNR—00%——
35
WESLEY BULLARDWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
19
CADE BARNHILLWR —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TERRICK SMALLSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JUSTIN JEFFERYHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
EMMANUEL WHITEHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
CHRIS WIGGINSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
MARKEES WATTSHS RECRUITOLB★2UNR
BRADY POPEHS RECRUITPRO★2UNR
MATT MARTINEZHS RECRUITCB★2UNR
DAMON WELDONHS RECRUITSDE★2UNR
BRYAN WALLACEHS RECRUITSDE★2UNR
JONATHAN CRUZHS RECRUITK★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT23 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
NATE MULLENWESTERN CAROLINAWRUNRUNR
BROOKS BARDENELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
ZACH DUNCANELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
CAM DARLEYELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
NIGEL MACAULEYELIGIBILITY UPPKUNR—
EUGENE GERMANNOT LISTEDOLUNR—
URIAH LEMAYNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
ANTHONY COVINGTONNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
STEDMAN LUCASNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
GARRISON DUNCANNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#111NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7855COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST78% BACK78th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG78% BACK78th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR90%90th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE