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HOME›TEAMS›COLORADO›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
BIG 12|MIKE SANFORD JR.|—RECORD1-11|CONF—
COLORADO124 FPIB12 · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
56FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
6%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#470 BC / 24
BC RATIO
5%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
1-11ACTUALvs0.9-11.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN-29.1
1 wins against a scoring profile describing 0.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE8
PERFORMANCE8
TALENT67
CONTINUITY6
DEFENSE5
PERFORMANCE5
TALENT58
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
75MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
7 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HTCU#2L 13-38779696-91BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10AAIR FORCE—L 10-4105656-51BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17AMINNESOTA—L 7-49648888-83BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24HUCLA#21L 17-45808585-80BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1AARIZONA—L 20-43664141-36BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15HCALIFORNIA—W 20-13664242-37BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22AOREGON STATE#17L 9-42618484-79BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29HARIZONA STATE—L 34-42723838-33BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5HOREGON#15L 10-49969292-87BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11AUSC#12L 17-55939292-87BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19AWASHINGTON#8L 7-54858787-82BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HUTAH#10L 21-63779393-88BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB33TAL69PERF33RET10ONE OWNERn=3 · 8 METRICS · 15 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
J.T. SHROUTQB SERET
★3★37154%-33HELD
2
OWEN MCCOWNQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★36029%-24HELD
2
BRENDON LEWISQB SERET
★3★3388%-15HELD
18
MADDOX KOPPQB SENO SNAPS
★3★3377%-39HELD
9
DREW CARTERQB SORET
★3★3182%—HELD
17
JAMES MOTT IIIQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
14
COLTON ALLENQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
PRES JUAREZQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB37TAL59PERF37RET66ROTATIONn=5 · 5 METRICS · 21 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
20
DEION SMITHRB SERET
★3★37831%-33HELD
8
ALEX FONTENOTRB SERET
★3—7124%-14—
0
ANTHONY HANKERSONRB SENO SNAPS
★3★36619%+5HELD
44
CHARLIE OFFERDAHLRB SERET
UNR—6115%-22—
21
JAYLE STACKSRB SORET
★3★35310%-28HELD
2
VICTOR VENNRB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
39
NOAH WAGNERRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
27
DOMINICK MASTRORB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
48
CHRISTIAN SAREMRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE37TAL57PERF39RET56ONE OWNERn=9 · 8 METRICS · 45 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
38
BRADY RUSSELLTE SERET
★2—9155%-31—
5
MONTANA LEMONIOUS-CRAIGWR SERET
★3★47520%+28ROSE
6
DANIEL ARIASWR SERET
★3—7217%+3—
0
JORDYN TYSONWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★46915%+36ROSE
81
JACK HESTERAWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★3619%-4EMERGED
12
CALEB FAURIATE SERET
★3★35817%—HELD
13
MAURICE BELLWR SERET
★3—588%-57—
87
ERIK OLSENTE FRRET
★3—5716%-44—
10
TY ROBINSONWR JURET
★3★3557%-58HELD
0
CHASE SOWELLWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★4474%—ROSE
12
AUSTIN SMITHTE SERET
★3★3405%—HELD
13
CHASE PENRYWR SERET
★3★3352%+5HELD
89
LOUIS PASSARELLOTE SORET
★3—293%——
87
MICHAEL HARRISONTE SERET
UNR★3273%—EMERGED
10
JAYLON JACKSONWR SERET
★3—261%-9—
33
ZACH COURTNEYTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★3101%—HELD
13
GRANT PAGEWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★370%—HELD
42
KADEN LUDWICKTE FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
2
CHERNET ESTESWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
34
DANTE CAPOLUNGOWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
2
R.J. SNEED IIWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%-54—
85
OAKIE SALAVE'ATE JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
82
COLE BOSCIAWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
86
BRADY KOPETZTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▸OL46TAL68PERF46RET8n=7 · 3 METRICS · 21 OBS
▸DL32TAL65PERF32RET60n=10 · 8 METRICS · 48 OBS
▸LB33TAL49PERF33RET61n=7 · 11 METRICS · 48 OBS
▸DB45TAL60PERF45RET80n=9 · 6 METRICS · 40 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS24 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DYLAN DIXSONHS RECRUITS★3UNR
AUBREY SMITHHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
ANTHONY HANKERSONHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
OWEN MCCOWNHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
EOGHAN KERRYHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
SHAKAUN BOWSERHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
JORDYN TYSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
VICTOR VENNHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
GRANT PAGEHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JASON OLIVERHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT27 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHRIS CARPENTERUTSAWR★3UNR
SHAADIE CLAYTON-JOHNSONTULANERB★4UNR
CHRISTIAN GONZALEZOREGONDB★4UNR
DIMITRI STANLEYIOWA STATEWR★3UNR
JAREK BROUSSARDMICHIGAN STATERB★3UNR
MEKHI BLACKMONUSCDB★3UNR
LLOYD MURRAY JR.SAM HOUSTONDL★3UNR
MARK PERRYTCUS★3UNR
JAYDEN SIMONTULSADL★3★3
BLAYNE TOLLARKANSAS STATEDE★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#47NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8534COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST72% BACK72th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG72% BACK72th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR8%8th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR10%10th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST80%80th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE