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● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›COLORADO STATE›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
PAC-12|MIKE BOBO|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
COLORADO STATE105 FPIPAC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
45FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#840 BC / 17
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
4-8ACTUALvs5.3-6.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-3.1
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
38MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30ACOLORADO—L 31-52663838+2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HWESTERN ILLINOIS—W 38-13————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 14AARKANSAS—L 34-55821717+23BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HTOLEDO—L 35-41341212+28BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28AUTAH STATE—L 24-34303737+3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5HSAN DIEGO STATE—L 10-24455858-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11ANEW MEXICO—W 35-212599+31BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26AFRESNO STATE—W 41-31403939+1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2HUNLV—W 37-173888+32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HAIR FORCE#22L 21-3858181-41BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 22AWYOMING—L 7-17235050-10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29HBOISE STATE#23L 24-31527272-32BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET40NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
PATRICK O'BRIENQB SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
15
COLLIN HILLQB SERET
★3—00%——
8
JUDD ERICKSONQB SERET
★3—00%——
10
AARON SYVERSONQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET43NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
MARVIN KINSEY JR.RB SERET
UNR—00%——
82
ISIAH PANNUNZIOFB JURET
★3—00%——
23
JAYLEN THOMASRB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
28
MARCUS MCELROY JR.RB SERET
★3—00%——
28
CHRISTIAN HUNTERRB SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
29
TYREESE JACKSONRB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
46
ADAM PRENTICEFB SERET
UNR—00%——
1
A'JON VIVENSRB SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
34
HUNTER WILLIAMSRB SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
28
DAVID AGGREYRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
23
BRENDEN FULTONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
3
EJ SCOTTWR SORET
★3—00%——
80
NIKKO HALLWR SORET
★3—00%——
85
TREY MCBRIDETE JURET
★3★300%—HELD
16
CAMERON BUTLERTE SERET
★3—00%——
9
WARREN JACKSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
80
NATE CRAIG-MYERSWR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
6
TY MCCULLOUCHWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
5
DANTE WRIGHTWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
2
JUSTICE MCCOYWR SERET
★3—00%——
1
JADON WALKERWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
81
THOMAS PANNUNZIOWR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
GRIFFIN HAMMERTE SORET
★3—00%——
40
CORTE TAPIATE JURET
★2—00%——
37
ANTHONY GRASSIWR SORET
UNR—00%——
31
RYAN LYNCHWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
MAXX SHAPIROTE SORET
UNR—00%——
84
GARY WILLIAMSTE SERET
★3—00%——
87
RYAN SAYREWR SERET
UNR—00%——
19
JAYLEN HEARSTWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
7
KYLE HELBIGTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
JEREMIAH PRUITTETE JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
26
LOGAN LUDWIGWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
83
CHRIS MCEAHERNWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
81
DANE OLSONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
3
E.J. SCOTTWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BRANDON CROSSLEYHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
TY MCCULLOUCHHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
TYREESE JACKSONHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
KEEVAN BAILEYHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JEREMIAH PRUITTEHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JAYLEN HEARSTHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
KYLE HELBIGHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
MOHAMED KAMARAHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
DANTE WRIGHTHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
CALEB BLAKEHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT18 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DARIUS CAMPBELLPRAIRIE VIEW A&MCB★3UNR
OLABISI JOHNSONNFL DRAFT R7WRUNR—
CALEB SMITHELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
IZZY MATTHEWSELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
JORDAN FOGALELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
BEN KNOXELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
KAVAPELE MAKAELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
V.J. BANKSELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
TRE THOMASELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
JOSH WATSONELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#84NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 17 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8266COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
63TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
14
23
8
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED15 OF 63
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST40% BACK40th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG40% BACK40th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR40%40th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE