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HOME›TEAMS›COLORADO STATE›2025TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
PAC-12|JAY NORVELL|—RECORD2-10|CONF—
COLORADO STATE115 FPIPAC · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
34FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
67%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
43%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
+5IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1060 BC / 13
BC RATIO
9%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
2-10ACTUALvs2.8-9.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-12.3
2 wins against a scoring profile describing 2.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE30
PERFORMANCE30
TALENT45
CONTINUITY67
DEFENSE15
PERFORMANCE15
TALENT46
CONTINUITY43
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
54MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30AWASHINGTON—L 21-38749191-82BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 6HNORTHERN COLORADO—W 21-17————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 20HUTSA—L 16-17535555-46BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 27HWASHINGTON STATE—L 3-20315656-47BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 3ASAN DIEGO STATE—L 24-45386969-60BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 10HFRESNO STATE—W 49-21355151-42BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18HHAWAI'I—L 19-31135050-41BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 25AWYOMING—L 0-28151919-10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 8HUNLV—L 10-42645959-50BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15ANEW MEXICO—L 17-2054747-38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 22ABOISE STATE—L 21-49425353-44BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 28HAIR FORCE—L 21-4204141-32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB34TAL49PERF34RET74ONE OWNERn=4 · 8 METRICS · 13 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
JACKSON BROUSSEAUQB JURET
★3★37753%+9HELD
3
DARIUS CURRYQB JURET
★3—6826%+27—
16
BRAYDEN FOWLER-NICOLOSIQB SERET
★3★36420%-4HELD
12
TAHJ BULLOCKQB SEPORTAL · AKRON
★3★350%-37HELD
17
TYLER LEWISQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
13
TOMMY POHOLSKYQB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾RB58TAL43PERF59RET49ROTATIONn=4 · 9 METRICS · 20 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
LLOYD AVANTRB JUPORTAL · TULSA
★3★38737%+6HELD
4
JALEN DUPREERB SORET
★3★38433%+7HELD
29
JUSTIN MARSHALLRB JURET
★3★36716%-1HELD
21
JAVION KINNARDRB SONO SNAPS
★3★36414%+37HELD
33
KEEGAN HOLLESRB JURET
UNR—00%+23—
22
KONYAE HUNTERRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
34
AMARE GOMEZRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE40TAL52PERF34RET47ONE OWNERn=8 · 8 METRICS · 47 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
TOMMY MAHERWR JURET
UNR—9024%-5—
81
ROCKY BEERSTE SEPORTAL · FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
UNR★38962%+19EMERGED
6
TAY LANIERWR SENO SNAPS
★3—8420%-23—
9
ARMANI WINFIELDWR SERET
★4★48118%-23HELD
4
LAVON BROWNWR SERET
★3—7615%-10—
10
JORDAN ROSSWR JURET
★3★37011%-12HELD
11
KOJO ANTWIWR JUPORTAL · OHIO STATE
★4★3606%-61FELL
19
JAXXON WARRENTE SORET
UNR★35816%+30EMERGED
26
RYAN MCCONNELLTE SERET
UNR—5715%——
18
CARLOS ANAYATE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—478%——
88
JORDAN MCINTYREWR SERET
UNR—422%——
5
PETEY TUCKERWR SEPORTAL · EASTERN MICHIGAN
UNR★3301%-1EMERGED
15
LANDON BELLWR FRRET
★3★3241%—HELD
89
KEYNAN HIGGINSWR SORET
★3★3201%—HELD
85
KORY HALLWR FRRET
★3★3110%—HELD
80
CLARENCE TAYLORWR FRTRUE FR
★3★3110%—HELD
84
STEPHON DAILYWR JURET
★3—00%——
27
COLE RHODENWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
42
JADEN LANDRUMTE FRRET
★3—00%——
87
ANTOINE MARTIN JR.WR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
43
BROCK CAMPTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▸OL20TAL40PERF20RET70n=5 · 3 METRICS · 15 OBS
▸DL11TAL40PERF11RET50n=7 · 7 METRICS · 38 OBS
▸LB18TAL61PERF18RET63n=7 · 11 METRICS · 45 OBS
▸DB38TAL41PERF38RET29n=9 · 8 METRICS · 58 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS11 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CANNON VALENZUELAHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
CLARENCE TAYLORHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JAVION KINNARDHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
BROCK CAMPHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
CADEN BRANSTONHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
ANTOINE MARTIN JR.HS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JOHN SMITHHS RECRUITS★3UNR
KENTEZ ALLENHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
SIONE NETANEHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
JACKSON MURRAYHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN14 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
PAUL TANGELOSAINT FRANCIS (PA)EDGEUNR★3
JAKE JARMOLOWICHHOLY CROSSSUNR★3
CJ BLOCKERUTAHCB★4★3
KOJO ANTWIOHIO STATEWR★4★3
TAHJ BULLOCKAKRONQB★3★3
JAHARI ROGERSSMUCB★4★3
JACOB ELLISIOWA STATELBUNR★3
LEMONDRE JOEMISSOURI STATECBUNR★3
GABE JONESNEW MEXICO STATEDLUNR★3
JAQUES EVANSBAYLOREDGE★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT34 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHASE WILSONWEST VIRGINIALB★3★3
BUOM JOCKCALIFORNIALBUNR★3
GABE KIRSCHKEWAKE FORESTDLUNR★3
VINCE BROWN IIMISSOURITEUNR★3
JAMARI PERSONLIBERTYWR★3★3
CALEB GOODIE SR.CINCINNATIWR★3★3
NUER GATKUOTHWAKE FORESTDLUNR★3
DYLAN GOFFNEYSMUWR★3★3
JORDAN WILLIAMSSACRAMENTO STATETE★3★3
DAMIAN HENDERSON IISACRAMENTO STATERB★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES47%8 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS68%11 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#106NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 13 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8402COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1813 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
32TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
8
9
5
6
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-6 TO +5 W
IMPROVED11 OF 32
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST65% BACK65th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG65% BACK65th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR70%70th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR74%74th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST29%29th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE