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HOME›TEAMS›EAST CAROLINA›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|MIKE HOUSTON|—RECORD7-5|CONF—
EAST CAROLINA80 FPIAAC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
45FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-3IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#960 BC / 12
BC RATIO
6%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
7-5ACTUALvs6.9-5.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+3.4
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
48MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2AAPP STATE—L 19-33357373-33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11HSOUTH CAROLINA—L 17-20855050-10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18AMARSHALL—W 42-38366161-21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25HCHARLESTON SOUTHERN—W 31-28————NON-FBS OPPONENT
5OCT 2HTULANE—W 52-29373232+8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9AUCF—L 16-20655353-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23AHOUSTON#17L 24-31537777-37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HSOUTH FLORIDA—W 29-14471616+24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6HTEMPLE—W 45-34377+33BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13AMEMPHIS—W 30-29534343-3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20ANAVY—W 38-3572222+18BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HCINCINNATI#4L 13-35639797-57BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
HOLTON AHLERSQB SERET
★3—00%——
10
MASON GARCIAQB SORET
★4★400%—HELD
9
REID HERRINGQB JURET
★3—00%——
2
KINGSLEY IFEDIQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
17
WALTER SIMMONS IIIQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
15
ALEX FLINNQB JURET
★3—00%——
6
RYAN STUBBLEFIELDQB FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET78NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
47
RAHJAI HARRISRB SERET
★3—00%——
2
KEATON MITCHELLRB SORET
★3—00%——
34
LORENZO DORRRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
23
JOSEPH MCKAYRB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
40
DARIUS PINNIX JR.RB JURET
★2—00%——
26
ASA BARNESRB FRRET
UNR—00%——
31
DERRICK ALSTON JR.RB FRRET
UNR—00%——
32
KAVON CHAMBERSRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
RYAN JONESTE SEPORTAL · OKLAHOMA
★4★400%—HELD
84
D'ANGELO MCKINNIETE JURET
★3★300%—HELD
8
AUDIE OMOTOSHOWR SERET
★4—00%——
5
C.J. JOHNSONWR JURET
★3—00%——
88
JSI HATFIELDWR SERET
★3—00%——
22
TYLER SNEADWR SORET
UNR—00%——
9
TYLER SAVAGETE SERET
★3—00%——
19
TAJI HUDSONWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
82
SHANE CALHOUNTE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
7
LEROY HENLEYWR SERET
★3—00%——
11
BLAKE PROEHLWR JURET
★2—00%——
83
CAM BURNETTEWR JURET
★2—00%——
81
ANDRE PEGUESWR JURET
★2★300%—ROSE
14
MACEO DONALDWR JURET
UNR★200%—EMERGED
13
TYREE SAUNDERSWR SEPORTAL · VIRGINIA TECH
★3★300%—HELD
4
BRYAN GAGGTE FRRET
★3—00%——
84
ZECH BYRDTE JURET
★3—00%——
87
JOSEPH SAMSONTE SORET
UNR—00%——
87
RAY ROSEWR FRPORTAL · NORTH CAROLINA
★4★400%—HELD
3
T.J. LOCKLEYWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
13
TROY LEWISWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
86
COLE BURGESSWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
7
TERRANCE COPPER JR.WR FRRET
UNR★200%—EMERGED
7
KERRY KINGWR SERET
UNR—00%——
JHARI PATTERSONWR SEPORTAL · MARSHALL
★3★300%—HELD
19
JOSH MURPHYWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS12 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JACOB COLEMANHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
WALTER SIMMONS IIIHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
JALEN CLYATTHS RECRUITS★3UNR
JOSEPH MCKAYHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
KYJUAN PHILLIPSHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
RICHARD PEARCEHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
TJ LOCKLEYHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
CRUZ TEMPLEHS RECRUITS★3UNR
CANAAN CLARKHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
TROY LEWISHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN11 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
RAY ROSENORTH CAROLINAWR★4★4
RYAN JONESOKLAHOMAILB★4★4
ROB VANDERLAANOREGON STATEOTUNR★3
AARON JARMANTEMPLETE★3★3
TYREE SAUNDERSVIRGINIA TECHWR★3★3
D.J. FORDNORTH CAROLINAS★3★3
DEVON KINGMARSHALLS★3★3
WISTAR ALLENRICHMONDILB★3★3
JHARI PATTERSONMARSHALLWR★3★3
JASIYAH ROBINSONMICHIGAN STATEEDGE★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT12 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ROBERT KENNEDYOLD DOMINIONDBUNR★3
CHASE HAYDENILLINOISRB★4★3
ROBERT HILLLOUISIANALSUNRUNR
JONATHAN JOHNSONRICHMONDWRUNRUNR
HOZEY HAJI-BADRIELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
CHRIS WILLISELIGIBILITY UPDL★2—
JAKE VERITYELIGIBILITY UPPKUNR—
TRACE CHRISTIANNOT LISTEDRB★3—
XAVIER SMITHNOT LISTEDLB★3—
DAMIR FAISONNOT LISTEDDL★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#96NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 12 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8396COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1114 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST100% BACK100th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG100% BACK100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE