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● LIVE|2026 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGEPRESEASON · NO CHARTED PLAY
BIG TEN|BRET BIELEMA|—RECORD1-1|CONF—
ILLINOIS49 FPIB1G · 2026 SEASON
TALENT
64FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
56%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
11%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-6IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#245 BC / 31
BC RATIO
11%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2026 · FULL SEASON
No scoring record for this season yet, so there is nothing to compare the win-loss record against.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT81
CONTINUITY56
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT52
CONTINUITY11
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE2 PLAYED · 10 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
37MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
75MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
+38REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 3PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HUAB—W 42-233488+58BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 12HDUKE—L 27-31506565+1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 19HSOUTHERN ILLINOIS—UPCOMING————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 26AOHIO STATE#1UPCOMING979999-33HARDEST REMAINING TIER
5OCT 3HPURDUE—UPCOMING614545+21STILL TO COME
6OCT 10AMICHIGAN STATE—UPCOMING565757+9STILL TO COME
8OCT 24HOREGON#6UPCOMING999494-28HARDEST REMAINING TIER
9OCT 31AMARYLAND—UPCOMING677272-6HARDEST REMAINING TIER
10NOV 6HNEBRASKA—UPCOMING858181-15HARDEST REMAINING TIER
11NOV 13AUCLA—UPCOMING827373-7HARDEST REMAINING TIER
12NOV 21HIOWA#21UPCOMING698282-16HARDEST REMAINING TIER
13NOV 28ANORTHWESTERN—UPCOMING577070-4HARDEST REMAINING TIER
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB54TAL85PERF54RET0ONE OWNERn=1 · 5 METRICS · 5 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
KATIN HOUSERQB SEPORTAL · EAST CAROLINA
★4★353100%-2FELL
2
CARSON BOYDQB FRRET
★3—00%——
7
MICHAEL CLAYTON IIQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
12
DANE EISENMENGERQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB38TAL78PERF38RET100ROTATIONn=3 · 9 METRICS · 24 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
CA'LIL VALENTINERB JURET
★4—7444%-25—
21
AIDAN LAUGHERYRB SERET
★3—7444%+9—
23
JORDAN ANDERSONRB SERET
★3—2012%+33—
27
COREY RASHADRB JURET
UNR—00%——
24
JAVARI BARNETTRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
22
CEDRIC WYCHE IIRB FRRET
★3—00%——
31
MURPHY CLEMENTRB SORET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
25
NELSYN WHEELERRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
20
JOHN FORSTERRB FRRET
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE62TAL64PERF63RET84ONE OWNERn=7 · 5 METRICS · 31 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
86
CHRISTIAN ABNEYTE SERET
★3★38460%-37HELD
13
HUDSON CLEMENTWR SERET
UNR★37235%+31EMERGED
17
COLLIN DIXONWR JURET
★3—7235%+12—
11
BRAYDEN TRIMBLEWR FRRET
★3—6128%——
83
KADEN FEAGINTE SERET
★4—3622%+17—
88
DAVIN STOFFELTE JURET
UNR★33118%—EMERGED
10
TY ROBINSONWR SEPORTAL · BALL STATE
★3★302%+23HELD
1
JAYSHON PLATTWR SEPORTAL · FLORIDA ATLANTIC
★3★300%+11HELD
9
ALEX PERRYWR SEPORTAL · FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
★3★300%+7HELD
80
EDDIE KASPERWR SEPORTAL · ILLINOIS STATE
UNR★300%—EMERGED
14
MAURICE SMITH JR.TE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
TANNER HOLLINGERTE SORET
★3—00%——
3
KENYON ALSTONWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
8
DAVON GRANTWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
0
NAS RANKINWR FRTRUE FR
★4—00%——
6
JERSHAUN NEWTONWR FRRET
★3—00%——
28
KARSON KAISERWR SORET
UNR—00%——
84
GRANT SMITHTE FRRET
★3—00%——
85
WILL VALA IIITE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
16
LOGAN FARRELLTE FRRET
★3—00%——
82
JACOB HARVEYWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
19
NATE CICHYWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
81
LESLIE MOSLEY JR.WR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
87
BJ THURMANTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▸OL53TAL55PERF53RET40n=6 · 2 METRICS · 12 OBS
▸DL49TAL51PERF49RET48n=10 · 7 METRICS · 56 OBS
▸LB49TAL56PERF49RET73n=7 · 11 METRICS · 59 OBS
▸DB61TAL50PERF61RET64n=10 · 7 METRICS · 36 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS21 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
NICK HANKINS JR.HS RECRUITCB★4UNR
CHAMP SMITHHS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
NAS RANKINHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
KAI PRITCHARDHS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
JACOB EBERHARTHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
PARKER CRIMHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
ALMIRIAN THOMASHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
KENYON ALSTONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
CAMERON THOMASHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
DAVON GRANTHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN4 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAMES FINLEYNORTHERN ILLINOISS★3★4
JAMES FINLEY IVNORTHERN ILLINOISS★3★4
KATIN HOUSEREAST CAROLINAQB★4★3
ROBERT EDMONSONCOLORADO STATELBUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT39 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TOMIWA DUROJAIYESOUTH CAROLINADL★3★4
CURT NEALPURDUEDL★3★3
JOJO HAYDENPURDUELB★3★3
ELI COENENMICHIGAN STATEDLUNR★3
KALEB PATTERSONKANSAS STATECBUNR★3
SABOOR KARRIEMTEMPLES★4★3
JUSTIN BOWICKOKLAHOMA STATEWRUNR★4
COLE RUSKARIZONATE★3★4
MALIK ELZYLSUWR★4★3
ASHTON HOLLINSGEORGIA SOUTHERNWR★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES55%5 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS61%11 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#24NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
5OF 31 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8765COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
2127 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
74TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
16
24
15
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.8 W
FULL RANGE-8 TO +5 W
IMPROVED19 OF 74
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST44% BACK44th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG44% BACK44th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR40%40th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST64%64th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE