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HOME›TEAMS›EASTERN MICHIGAN›2025TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
MID-AMERICAN|CHRIS CREIGHTON|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
EASTERN MICHIGAN118 FPIMAC · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
32FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
59%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
61%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-10IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#970 BC / 19
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
4-8ACTUALvs4.5-7.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-5.7
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE44
PERFORMANCE44
TALENT42
CONTINUITY59
DEFENSE1
PERFORMANCE1
TALENT42
CONTINUITY61
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
30MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30ATEXAS STATE—L 27-52455353-40BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 6HLONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY—L 23-28————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 13AKENTUCKY—L 23-48815151-38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 20HLOUISIANA—W 34-31342323-10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 27ACENTRAL MICHIGAN—L 13-24122626-13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 4ABUFFALO—L 30-31193030-17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11HNORTHERN ILLINOIS—W 16-10966+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18AMIAMI (OH)—L 30-44374040-27BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 25HOHIO—L 21-2893939-26BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 8HBOWLING GREEN—W 27-21231717-4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15ABALL STATE—W 24-91733+10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 25HWESTERN MICHIGAN—L 21-31244343-30BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB53TAL17PERF53RET0ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
NOAH KIMQB SEPORTAL · COASTAL CAROLINA
★3★392100%-12HELD
15
CAMERON EDGEQB JUPORTAL · MARYLAND
★3★300%—HELD
10
JEREMIAH SALEMQB SERET
UNR—00%——
12
JACE STUCKEYQB JURET
★3—00%——
19
BRYCE BUTTONQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB55TAL32PERF55RET67ONE OWNERn=2 · 9 METRICS · 14 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
28
DONTAE MCMILLANRB SERET
★3★39760%+15HELD
21
TAVIERRE DUNLAPRB SEPORTAL · MICHIGAN
★3★38332%-26HELD
24
JOEY MATTORDRB SERET
UNR—527%+29—
23
JAMES JOINTER JR.RB SEPORTAL · LIBERTY
★3★3242%+15HELD
22
JT BRONAUGHRB FRRET
★3—00%——
27
JAYVIN NORMANRB FRRET
★2—00%——
20
AMAREON BLUERB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE32TAL57PERF32RET37ONE OWNERn=7 · 8 METRICS · 48 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
JOSHUA LONGTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—9483%-10—
2
NICK DEVEREAUXWR SERET
UNR—8924%+19—
9
PORTER ROOKSWR SERET
★4★38320%-49FELL
7
JAMARIEN WHEELERWR SERET
UNR—7716%+9—
3
BENSON PROSPERWR SENO SNAPS
★3—7213%-29—
3
TERRY LOCKETT JR.WR SERET
★3—7113%-5—
5
HAROLD MACKWR SONO SNAPS
★3—7012%+27—
83
NICK HARRISTE SEPORTAL · UCONN
UNR★25010%-43EMERGED
88
TANNER LEMASTERTE SEPORTAL · KENTUCKY
★3★3447%—HELD
11
ANTONIO FLOYDWR JURET
★3—301%——
6
ZYELL GRIFFINWR SERET
★3★3201%+35HELD
18
MEKHI FOXWR SENO SNAPS
★3★400%—ROSE
84
CADEN VANDERBUSHTE FRRET
★3★200%—FELL
80
TYREE LOCKETTWR JURET
★2—00%——
86
DALIN WILKINSWR JURET
★3—00%——
29
NATE LYMANWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
89
CJ WILSONWR SORET
UNR—00%——
16
JACKSON HOLTTE SERET
★3—00%——
14
ELIJAH HOLMES-HOLTWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
BRADEN LAUXTE FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
85
KOZY ISAACWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▸OL49TAL43PERF49RET81n=8 · 3 METRICS · 23 OBS
▸DL26TAL46PERF26RET63n=11 · 7 METRICS · 53 OBS
▸LB21TAL22PERF21RET55n=6 · 11 METRICS · 35 OBS
▸DB37TAL53PERF37RET42n=11 · 8 METRICS · 59 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS18 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SANTONYO ISAACHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JONNIE CARTERHS RECRUITS★3UNR
HAROLD MACKHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DONMIEL ROGERSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
AMAREON BLUEHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
TYLAN BOYKINHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
HECTOR GONZALEZHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
ANTONIYO SMITHHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
BRYCE BUTTONHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
QUINCY BYASHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN7 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ADHAM ABOURAYAPITTSBURGHIOL★3★3
JAMES JOINTER JR.LIBERTYRB★3★3
MARCO PATIERNOELONLBUNR★3
NOAH KIMCOASTAL CAROLINAQB★3★3
ALIJAH ALEXANDERSTETSONDLUNR★3
TAVIERRE DUNLAPMICHIGANRB★3★3
CAMERON EDGEMARYLANDQB★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT43 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CARSON LEEWEST VIRGINIAOL★3★3
DAIQUAN WHITEGEORGIA TECHCB★3★3
BLAKE BUSTARDSOUTHERN MISSOLUNR★3
QUENTAVIUS SCANDRETTARKANSASDB★3★3
BRODERICK ROMANSOUTHERN MISSOL★2★3
LUKE MURPHYCOASTAL CAROLINALB★3★3
JEZ JANVIERSOUTHERN MISSOL★3★3
JAMES DJONKAMVIRGINIA TECHDLUNR★2
ORAN SINGLETON JR.WEST VIRGINIAWR★3★3
JOEY ZELINSKYPITTSBURGHDLUNR★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES87%7 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS73%12 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#97NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8412COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
2030 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
63TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
14
23
8
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED15 OF 63
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST12% BACK12th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG12% BACK12th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR81%81th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST42%42th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE