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● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›FLORIDA›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
SEC|DAN MULLEN|—RECORD9-3|CONF—
FLORIDA#7 AP 11 FPISEC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
91FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1412 BC / 19
BC RATIO
52%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
9-3ACTUALvs9.3-2.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+14.1
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
75MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HCHARLESTON SOUTHERN—W 53-6————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 8HKENTUCKY#12L 16-27778181+13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15HCOLORADO STATE—W 48-10462222+72BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22ATENNESSEE—W 47-21906464+30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29AMISSISSIPPI STATE—W 13-6849595-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6HLSU#6W 27-19969797-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13AVANDERBILT—W 37-27697171+23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27AGEORGIA#7L 17-36999999-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3HMISSOURI—L 17-38679191+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HSOUTH CAROLINA—W 35-31858585+9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17HIDAHO—W 63-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
13NOV 24AFLORIDA STATE—W 41-14964646+48BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET74NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
17
NICK SPROLESQB JURET
UNR—00%——
5
EMORY JONESQB SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
13
FELEIPE FRANKSQB SERET
★4—00%——
11
KYLE TRASKQB SERET
★3—00%——
19
JACK RUSKELLQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET73NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
29
ISAAC RICKSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
2
LAMICAL PERINERB SERET
★3—00%——
25
JORDAN SCARLETTRB JURET
UNR—00%——
27
DAMEON PIERCERB JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
20
MALIK DAVISRB JURET
★3—00%——
44
GARRETT CONNERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
32
ADARIUS LEMONSRB SORET
★3—00%——
39
MICHAEL WEIRRB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
VAN JEFFERSONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
16
FREDDIE SWAINWR SERET
★4—00%——
89
TYRIE CLEVELANDWR SERET
★4—00%——
82
MORAL STEPHENSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
9
DRE MASSEYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
10
JOSH HAMMONDWR SERET
★4—00%——
80
C'YONTAI LEWISTE SERET
UNR—00%——
18
DAQUON GREENWR SORET
★4★400%—HELD
8
TREVON GRIMESWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
2
JACOB COPELANDWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
12
RICK WELLSWR SERET
★3—00%——
1
KADARIUS TONEYWR SERET
★3—00%——
8
KEMORE GAMBLETE SERET
★4—00%——
86
ANDRES SALDIVARTE SERET
UNR—00%——
84
KYLE PITTSTE JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
7
LUCAS KRULLTE SERET
UNR—00%——
25
ERIK ASKELANDWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
83
JOSHUA TSEWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
36
TREY THOMPSONWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
36
ROBERT CLAYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
87
DENNIS GROSSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
45
CLIFFORD TAYLOR IVTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
26
MICHAEL HARTWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
32
BRAYTON HUNDLEYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS19 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JACOB COPELANDHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
RICHARD GOURAIGEHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
EMORY JONESHS RECRUITDUAL★4UNR
JUSTIN WATKINSHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
KYLE PITTSHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
AMARI BURNEYHS RECRUITS★4UNR
TREY DEANHS RECRUITS★4UNR
DAMEON PIERCEHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
ANDREW CHATFIELD JR.HS RECRUITWDE★4UNR
DAVID REESEHS RECRUITOLB★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT15 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TYRIEK HOPKINSFORDHAMRBUNRUNR
JOHNNY TOWNSENDNFL DRAFT R5PUNR—
TAVEN BRYANNFL DRAFT R1DLUNR—
DUKE DAWSONNFL DRAFT R2DBUNR—
MCARTHUR BURNETTELIGIBILITY UPDB★3—
LUKE DEL RIONOT LISTEDQBUNR—
JORDAN SHERITNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
GARRETT STEPHENSNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
NICK WASHINGTONNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
DEANDRE GOOLSBYNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#14NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
12OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9015COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST72% BACK72th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG72% BACK72th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR74%74th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE