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● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›FLORIDA›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
SEC|DAN MULLEN|—RECORD6-6|CONF—
FLORIDA34 FPISEC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
94FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-3IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1314 BC / 21
BC RATIO
62%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs7.3-4.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN+5.3
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
57MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4HFLORIDA ATLANTIC—W 35-14492929+49BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11ASOUTH FLORIDA—W 42-20471616+62BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18HALABAMA#2L 29-311009898-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25HTENNESSEE—W 38-14879393-15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2AKENTUCKY#18L 13-20798383-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9HVANDERBILT—W 42-05966+72BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16ALSU—L 42-49975050+28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30HGEORGIA#1L 7-3499100100-22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6ASOUTH CAROLINA—L 17-40855050+28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13HSAMFORD—W 70-52————NON-FBS OPPONENT
12NOV 20AMISSOURI—L 23-24684747+31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27HFLORIDA STATE—W 24-21866060+18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET7NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
15
ANTHONY RICHARDSONQB SORET
★4—00%——
5
EMORY JONESQB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
7
JALEN KITNAQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
13
KYLE ENGELQB SORET
UNR—00%——
18
JACK ANDERSQB SORET
UNR—00%——
31
CHASE DEMICHELEQB SORET
UNR—00%——
8
CARLOS DEL RIO-WILSONQB FRTRUE FR
★4—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
23
DEMARKCUS BOWMANRB JUPORTAL · CLEMSON
★5★500%—HELD
27
DAMEON PIERCERB JURET
★4—00%——
27
LORENZO LINGARDRB SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
20
MALIK DAVISRB JURET
★3—00%——
5
NAY'QUAN WRIGHTRB SERET
★4★400%—HELD
29
ISAAC RICKSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
36
CORNEILUS BARNESRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
38
CARLSON JOSEPHRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
KEON ZIPPERERTE SERET
★4—00%——
3
MARCUS BURKEWR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
4
JUSTIN SHORTERWR JURET
★5—00%——
80
TRENT WHITTEMOREWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
18
DANTE ZANDERSTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
2
JACOB COPELANDWR JURET
★4—00%——
9
FENLEY GRAHAM JR.WR SORET
★3—00%——
8
XZAVIER HENDERSONWR SERET
★4★400%—HELD
0
JA'QUAVION FRAZIARSWR SERET
★4—00%——
12
RICK WELLSWR SERET
★3—00%——
8
KEMORE GAMBLETE SERET
★4—00%——
3
DAEJON REYNOLDSWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
86
JORDAN POUNCEYWR SERET
★3—00%——
83
JOSHUA TSEWR JURET
UNR—00%——
97
GRIFFIN MCDOWELLTE JURET
★3★300%—HELD
18
DANTE ZANDERSTE SERET
★3—00%——
85
KEVIN JOHNSON JR.WR SORET
UNR—00%——
33
DANIEL CROSSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
48
NOAH KEETERTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
87
JONATHAN ODOMTE JURET
★3★300%—HELD
80
GAGE WILCOXTE FRTRUE FR
★4—00%——
84
NICK ELKSNISTE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
35
WILLIAM SAWYERWR SORET
UNR—00%——
22
KAHLEIL JACKSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS21 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JASON MARSHALL JR.HS RECRUITCB★5UNR
SCOOBY WILLIAMSHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
TYREAK SAPPHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
COREY COLLIERHS RECRUITS★4UNR
CARLOS DEL RIO-WILSONHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
MARCUS BURKEHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
DONOVAN MCMILLONHS RECRUITS★4UNR
YOUSEF MUGHARBILHS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
DAEJON REYNOLDSHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
JUSTUS BOONEHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN4 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DEMARKCUS BOWMANCLEMSONRB★5★4
DAQUAN NEWKIRKAUBURNDTUNR★3
ANTONIO VALENTINOPENN STATEDLUNR★3
ELIJAH BLADESTEXAS A&MCB★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT20 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
NICK OELRICHWESTERN CAROLINADBUNRUNR
JAHARI ROGERSSMUDB★4★3
CHESTER KIMBROUGHMICHIGAN STATEDB★3★3
JAMES HOUSTON IVJACKSON STATELBUNRUNR
JESIAH PIERRETEXAS TECHLB★3★3
KYLE TRASKNFL DRAFT R2QB★3—
STONE FORSYTHENFL DRAFT R6OL★3—
MARCO WILSONNFL DRAFT R4DB★4—
KADARIUS TONEYNFL DRAFT R1WR★3—
SHAWN DAVISNFL DRAFT R5DB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#13NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
14OF 21 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9057COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
710 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
68TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
14
11
19
16
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.3 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-11 TO +7 W
IMPROVED24 OF 68
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST41% BACK41th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG41% BACK41th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR7%7th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE