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● LIVE|2022 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›FLORIDA›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
SEC|BILLY NAPIER|—RECORD6-7|CONF—
FLORIDA33 FPISEC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
92FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
9%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#177 BC / 22
BC RATIO
51%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs6.7-5.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.7 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+3.0
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE89
PERFORMANCE89
TALENT76
CONTINUITY9
DEFENSE67
PERFORMANCE67
TALENT85
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
74MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
7 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HUTAH#10W 29-26779393-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HKENTUCKY—L 16-26818282-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17HSOUTH FLORIDA—W 31-285199+66BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24ATENNESSEE#6L 33-38879797-22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2HEASTERN WASHINGTON—W 52-17————NON-FBS OPPONENT
6OCT 8HMISSOURI—W 24-17786767+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15HLSU#16L 35-45959090-15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29AGEORGIA#1L 20-4299100100-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5ATEXAS A&M—W 41-24987272+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12HSOUTH CAROLINA#23W 38-6868080-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19AVANDERBILT—L 24-31593535+40BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25AFLORIDA STATE#11L 38-45888383-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 17AOREGON STATE#17L 3-30618484-9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB80TAL91PERF80RET89ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
15
ANTHONY RICHARDSONQB SORET
★4—8389%+15—
10
JACK MILLER IIIQB SONO SNAPS
★4—377%+11—
7
JALEN KITNAQB SERET
★3—243%——
13
KYLE ENGELQB SORET
UNR—00%——
18
JACK ANDERSQB SORET
UNR—00%——
6
MAX BROWNQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB57TAL79PERF57RET17ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 18 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
MONTRELL JOHNSON JR.RB SENO SNAPS
★3—9047%+10—
1
TREVOR ETIENNERB JUNO SNAPS
★4★48235%+21HELD
5
NAY'QUAN WRIGHTRB SERET
★4★46014%-49HELD
27
LORENZO LINGARDRB SERET
UNR★3343%+36EMERGED
38
CARLSON JOSEPHRB SORET
UNR—50%——
28
EDDIE BATTLERB SENO SNAPS
UNR—50%——
29
ISAAC RICKSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
36
CORNEILUS BARNESRB FRRET
UNR—00%——
40
GABRIEL ORTIZRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE61TAL70PERF64RET40ONE OWNERn=10 · 8 METRICS · 48 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
18
DANTE ZANDERSTE SERET
★3—9046%-40—
1
RICKY PEARSALLWR SENO SNAPS
★3—8228%+30—
8
XZAVIER HENDERSONWR SERET
★4★48027%-3HELD
9
KEON ZIPPERERTE SERET
★4—7831%-2—
4
JUSTIN SHORTERWR JURET
★5—7790%+20—
87
JONATHAN ODOMTE JURET
★3★36519%-5HELD
5
CALEB DOUGLASWR SENO SNAPS
★3★36212%-3HELD
3
DAEJON REYNOLDSWR JURET
★4★35910%+29FELL
0
JA'QUAVION FRAZIARSWR SERET
★4—547%-44—
4
THAI CHIAOKHIAO-BOWMANWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★3547%+19HELD
3
MARCUS BURKEWR SERET
★4★3454%—FELL
22
KAHLEIL JACKSONWR SERET
UNR—362%——
80
TRENT WHITTEMOREWR SERET
★3★3322%+1HELD
48
NOAH KEETERTE SORET
★3—262%——
84
NICK ELKSNISTE SERET
★3★3191%—HELD
86
JORDAN POUNCEYWR SERET
★3—181%——
97
GRIFFIN MCDOWELLTE JURET
★3★3130%—HELD
82
ARLIS BOARDINGHAMTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★3101%—HELD
19
ALEX GONZALEZWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
33
DANIEL CROSSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
41
JUSTIN CURTISWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
35
WILLIAM SAWYERWR SORET
UNR—00%——
89
HAYDEN HANSENTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
30
TAYLOR SPIERTOWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
45
ANDREW SAVAIINAEATE JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
44
SCOTT ISACKSTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
ZAK SEDAROSWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL66TAL75PERF66RET17n=7 · 3 METRICS · 21 OBS
▸DL44TAL90PERF44RET79n=9 · 8 METRICS · 54 OBS
▸LB53TAL85PERF53RET86n=5 · 11 METRICS · 40 OBS
▸DB56TAL82PERF56RET73n=10 · 6 METRICS · 54 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS22 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KAMARI WILSONHS RECRUITS★4UNR
SHEMAR JAMESHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
CHRIS MCCLELLANHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
TREVOR ETIENNEHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
DEVIN MOOREHS RECRUITS★4UNR
TONY LIVINGSTONHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
JAMARI LYONSHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
JACK PYBURNHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
CALEB DOUGLASHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ARLIS BOARDINGHAMHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT24 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MOHAMOUD DIABATEUTAHLB★4UNR
TY'RON HOPPERMISSOURILB★4UNR
KHRIS BOGLEMICHIGAN STATEEDGE★4★4
EMORY JONESARIZONA STATEQB★4★3
JACOB COPELANDMARYLANDWR★4UNR
ELIJAH BLADESBUFFALOCB★3★3
KEMORE GAMBLEUCFTE★4UNR
CHRIS HOWARDELIGIBILITY UPPKUNR—
MORDECAI MCDANIELELIGIBILITY UPS★4—
TYRONE TRUESDELLELIGIBILITY UPDT★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#17NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
7OF 22 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8736COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
68TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
14
11
19
16
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.3 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-11 TO +7 W
IMPROVED24 OF 68
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST30% BACK30th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG30% BACK30th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR17%17th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR89%89th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST73%73th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE