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HOME›TEAMS›FLORIDA›2025TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
SEC|BILLY NAPIER|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
FLORIDA37 FPISEC · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
92FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
83%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
75%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-12IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#717 BC / 27
BC RATIO
62%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
4-8ACTUALvs5.2-6.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-2.4
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE70
PERFORMANCE70
TALENT86
CONTINUITY83
DEFENSE76
PERFORMANCE76
TALENT86
CONTINUITY75
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
81MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
5 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30HLONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY—W 55-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 6HSOUTH FLORIDA—L 16-18567979-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 13ALSU—L 10-20967777-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 20AMIAMI#2L 7-26909494-40BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 4HTEXAS#12W 29-21988888-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11ATEXAS A&M#8L 17-34959494-40BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18HMISSISSIPPI STATE—W 23-21835757-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 1HGEORGIA#6L 20-241009696-42BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 8AKENTUCKY—L 7-38815151+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15AOLE MISS#3L 24-34859696-42BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 22HTENNESSEE—L 11-31898787-33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29HFLORIDA STATE—W 40-21877070-16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB57TAL97PERF58RET90ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
DJ LAGWAYQB JURET
★5★48790%+10FELL
9
TRAMELL JONES JR.QB SONO SNAPS
★4—5110%-11—
12
AARON WILLIAMSQB JURET
★4—00%——
15
HARRISON BAILEYQB SEPORTAL · LOUISVILLE
★4★300%+12FELL
18
CLAY MILLENQB SERET
★3★300%+38HELD
16
AIDAN WARNERQB SERET
★3—00%-54—
▾RB84TAL85PERF84RET94ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 15 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
JADAN BAUGHRB JURET
★4—9975%+4—
24
JA'KOBI JACKSONRB SERET
UNR★3569%+31EMERGED
1
KD DANIELSRB SORET
★4★3559%-4FELL
20
DUKE CLARKRB SONO SNAPS
★4—455%+31—
25
ANTHONY RUBIORB SERET
UNR—212%+7—
27
BYRON LOUISRB SONO SNAPS
★4—111%——
5
TREYAUN WEBBRB SERET
★4★400%+24HELD
23
CHAD GASPER JR.RB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
34
KELVIN JIMENEZRB JURET
UNR—00%——
33
BRIAN CASERB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE59TAL87PERF65RET66ONE OWNERn=8 · 8 METRICS · 42 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
89
HAYDEN HANSENTE SERET
★3★39866%+27HELD
9
J. MICHAEL STURDIVANTWR SENO SNAPS
★4—8726%-5—
1
VERNELL BROWN IIIWR SONO SNAPS
★5—8122%+9—
3
EUGENE WILSON IIIWR JURET
★4★47416%+14HELD
10
TONY LIVINGSTONTE SERET
★4★37122%+25FELL
1
AIDAN MIZELLWR JURET
★4★46611%+2HELD
6
DALLAS WILSONWR SONO SNAPS
★4—618%+19—
4
TJ ABRAMSWR JURET
★4—618%+29—
7
AMIR JACKSONTE JURET
★4★36013%—FELL
14
MUIZZ TOUNKARAWR SONO SNAPS
★3★3474%—HELD
10
TANK HAWKINSWR SORET
★4★3352%+7FELL
0
NAESHAUN MONTGOMERYWR SONO SNAPS
★4★3332%—FELL
83
JACKSON WADEWR JURET
UNR★3231%—EMERGED
30
TAYLOR SPIERTOWR SERET
UNR—191%——
22
KAHLEIL JACKSONWR SERET
UNR—00%+10—
84
MICAH JONESTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
87
CAMERON KOSSMANNTE FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
19
ALEX GONZALEZWR JURET
UNR—00%——
82
CALEB RILLOSTE SERET
UNR★300%-30EMERGED
44
SCOTT ISACKSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
43
JADEN EDGECOMBEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
81
MIKE PETERSON JR.WR FRPORTAL · ARKANSAS STATE
★3★300%—HELD
35
DEBRAUN HAMPTONWR JURET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
80
CARY RIFENBERICKWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL71TAL81PERF71RET98n=7 · 3 METRICS · 19 OBS
▸DL61TAL81PERF61RET67n=9 · 8 METRICS · 45 OBS
▸LB61TAL93PERF61RET73n=7 · 11 METRICS · 48 OBS
▸DB66TAL87PERF67RET81n=10 · 8 METRICS · 51 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS23 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
VERNELL BROWN IIIHS RECRUITWR★5UNR
DALLAS WILSONHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
DRAKE STUBBSHS RECRUITS★4UNR
BEN HANKS IIIHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
LAGONZA HAYWARDHS RECRUITS★4UNR
J'VARI FLOWERSHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
TY JACKSONHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
JALEN WIGGINSHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
JAYDEN WOODSHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
NAESHAUN MONTGOMERYHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN2 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
J.MICHAEL STURDIVANTUCLAWRUNR★3
MICHEAL CARAWAY JR.SOUTHERN MISSSUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT29 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
T.J. SEARCYTEXAS A&MDE★4★4
JACK PYBURNLSUDE★3★4
D'ANTRE ROBINSONNORTH CAROLINADL★4★4
JUSTUS BOONEARKANSASLB★4★3
MARCUS BURKEUCFWR★4★3
GREG SMITHNORTH CAROLINADB★4★3
JA'KEEM JACKSONLSUCB★4★4
KELBY COLLINSALABAMADL★4★3
CHRISTIAN WILLIAMSLIBERTYOL★4★3
TRIKWEZE BRIDGESNFL DRAFT R7DB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES27%5 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS58%6 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#7NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
17OF 27 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9112COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
820 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
28TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
11
6
3
4
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.3 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +4 W
IMPROVED7 OF 28
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST65% BACK65th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG65% BACK65th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR98%98th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR90%90th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST81%81th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE