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HOME›TEAMS›FLORIDA ATLANTIC›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|WILLIE TAGGART|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
FLORIDA ATLANTIC86 FPIAAC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
49FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
17%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1240 BC / 11
BC RATIO
7%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
5-7ACTUALvs6.8-5.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN+3.2
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE32
PERFORMANCE32
TALENT51
CONTINUITY17
DEFENSE19
PERFORMANCE19
TALENT49
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
36MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 27HCHARLOTTE—W 43-13411010+21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
1SEP 3AOHIO—L 38-41153535-4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HSE LOUISIANA—W 42-9————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 17HUCF—L 14-40627373-42BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24APURDUE—L 26-28646565-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1ANORTH TEXAS—L 28-45454444-13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15HRICE—W 17-14281212+19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22AUTEP—L 21-24102525+6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29HUAB—W 24-17294747-16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12AFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—W 52-73422+29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19AMIDDLE TENNESSEE—L 21-49263232-1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HWESTERN KENTUCKY—L 31-32425050-19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB66TAL9PERF66RET100ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
N'KOSI PERRYQB SERET
★4★386100%-12FELL
15
MICHAEL JOHNSON JR.QB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
1
TYRIQ STARKSQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
19
T.J. SMITHQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB66TAL41PERF67RET96ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 19 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
LARRY MCCAMMONRB SERET
★3★39354%-7HELD
2
ZUBERI MOBLEYRB SERET
★3★37525%+33HELD
5
JOHNNY FORDRB JURET
★3★36215%+25HELD
24
MARVIN SCOTT IIIRB SONO SNAPS
★3★3363%+21HELD
21
KELVIN DEAN JR.RB SORET
UNR—232%-6—
32
ROBERT ARMESRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—91%——
23
MARQUISH SEABONRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
35
KEYVON WALKERRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE55TAL72PERF55RET67ROTATIONn=6 · 7 METRICS · 34 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
LAJOHNTAY WESTERWR SERET
UNR★39629%+12EMERGED
7
JAHMAL EDRINEWR SERET
★3★38722%+27HELD
8
JE'QUAN BURTONWR SERET
UNR—8622%+13—
17
TONY JOHNSONWR SENO SNAPS
★3—6912%+10—
81
AUSTIN EVANSTE SERET
UNR—5730%+3—
43
JACOB PASLEYTE FRRET
★3—5425%——
11
JAVION POSEYWR JURET
★2★3545%-36ROSE
87
JORDAN YOUNGWR SENO SNAPS
★3★3545%+15HELD
47
CARTER BOATWRIGHTTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—5323%——
88
MARVIN LANDYTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—4818%——
6
B.J. ALEXANDERWR SERET
UNR—473%——
1
JAYSHON PLATTWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★3382%—HELD
41
ADAM BOSELLITE SERET
★3—192%——
8
WYATT SULLIVANTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★3172%—HELD
5
ACE COBBWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—100%——
85
JYMETRE HESTERWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR★370%—EMERGED
14
WILLIE TAGGART JR.WR JURET
UNR—00%——
18
WILLIAM FORDWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
8
KOBE STEWARTWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
1
OMARI HAYESWR SONO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
85
DONOVAN GILESWR SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▸OL67TAL47PERF67RET19n=6 · 3 METRICS · 16 OBS
▸DL34TAL43PERF34RET91n=11 · 8 METRICS · 54 OBS
▸LB44TAL53PERF44RET34n=7 · 11 METRICS · 58 OBS
▸DB52TAL50PERF52RET78n=9 · 8 METRICS · 58 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS11 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAYSHON PLATTHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
WYATT SULLIVANHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
DONOVAN GILESHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
MICHAEL BOONEHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
A’CEON COBBHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JAYLEN WESTERHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
MARQUISH SEABON JR.HS RECRUITRB★3UNR
DEARIS THOMASHS RECRUITLB★2UNR
KAREEM WILSONHS RECRUITDL★2UNR
RILEY THOMPSONHS RECRUITPUNRUNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT26 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
D'MARCUS ADAMSSYRACUSEWR★3UNR
MATTHEW HAYBALLVANDERBILTPUNRUNR
WILLIE WRIGHTELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
CHASE LASATERELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
ZAIRE MITCHELL-PADENELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
MARCEL SOUTHALLELIGIBILITY UPDT★4—
JAMES CHARLESELIGIBILITY UPRB★2—
JOHN MITCHELLELIGIBILITY UPWR★2—
JORDAN HELMELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
ZYON GILBERTELIGIBILITY UPCB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#124NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 11 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8181COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST75% BACK75th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG75% BACK75th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR19%19th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST78%78th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE