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HOME›TEAMS›FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
CONFERENCE USA|BUTCH DAVIS|—RECORD1-11|CONF—
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL126 FPICUSA · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
46FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#830 BC / 18
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
1-11ACTUALvs2.0-10.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-19.3
1 wins against a scoring profile describing 2.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
36MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HLONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY—W 48-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 11HTEXAS STATE—L 17-233099-5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18ATEXAS TECH—L 21-54587070-66BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25ACENTRAL MICHIGAN—L 27-31113636-32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2AFLORIDA ATLANTIC—L 21-58492929-25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8HCHARLOTTE—L 33-45371212-8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23HWESTERN KENTUCKY—L 19-34478282-78BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30AMARSHALL—L 0-38366161-57BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6HOLD DOMINION—L 24-47252424-20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13AMIDDLE TENNESSEE—L 10-50423131-27BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20HNORTH TEXAS—L 7-49422828-24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27ASOUTHERN MISS—L 17-37391111-7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET59NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
KAYLAN WIGGINSQB JURET
★3—00%——
12
MAX BORTENSCHLAGERQB SERET
★3—00%——
3
GRAYSON JAMESQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
15
ISAIAH VELEZQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
4
HADEN CARLSONQB JURET
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
22
E.J. WILSONRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
32
MALEEK WILLIAMSRB JURET
★3—00%——
24
D'VONTE PRICERB SERET
★3—00%——
8
LEXINGTON JOSEPHRB SERET
★3—00%——
5
KEJON OWENSRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
5
KATRAVIS GETERRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
16
RANDALL ST. FELIXWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
88
STERLING PALMERTE JURET
★3—00%——
17
CALEB LYNUMWR SORET
★3—00%——
2
BRYCE SINGLETONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
83
CARSON KALEOWR JURET
UNR—00%——
19
SHEMAR THORNTONWR SERET
★2—00%——
10
KRIS MITCHELLWR SERET
★3★400%—ROSE
87
KAMAREON WILLIAMSTE JURET
★3★300%—HELD
6
NATE JEFFERSONWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
9
ARTEZ HOOKERWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
85
JACKSON MCDONALDTE JURET
UNR—00%——
TYRESE CHAMBERSWR SENO SNAPS
★2★400%—ROSE
13
RIVALDO FAIRWEATHERTE SERET
★3★400%—ROSE
11
DEAN PATTERSONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
82
JORDAN UNDERWOODWR SORET
★3—00%——
84
DAVID O'MEARATE JURET
★2—00%——
17
JOE HOCKERTE SORET
★3—00%——
10
KAHLIL OVERTONTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
19
DANIEL PILGRIMTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
15
TEDDY RICHARDSONWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
18
JAY BARRY JR.WR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
19
ROSS FOURNETWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS18 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SAVION COLLINSHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
DEMETRIUS HILLHS RECRUITS★3UNR
KATRAVIS GETER JR.HS RECRUITRB★3UNR
GRAYSON JAMESHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
ARTEZ HOOKERHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
GAETHAN BERNADELHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
KAREEM HARDENHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
DEUCE BLADES LLHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
DANIEL PILGRIMHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
TRAVONTE O'NEALHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT13 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TYSON MAEVAFRESNO STATELB★3UNR
ALEXY JEAN-BAPTISTEELIGIBILITY UPDL★3—
JJ HOLLOMANELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
JORDAN WOODSELIGIBILITY UPDL★3—
D'ANDRE CHRISTMAS-GILESELIGIBILITY UPDL★4—
NOAH CURTISELIGIBILITY UPDL★3—
DIMITRY PROPHETEELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
CHRIS WHITTAKERELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
NIKHOLI JAGHAIELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
KANE TAYLORNOT LISTEDDL★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#83NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 18 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8337COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKNEW
18TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
1
3
6
4
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.8 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +7 W
IMPROVED10 OF 18
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST70% BACK70th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG70% BACK70th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR59%59th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
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