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HOME›TEAMS›FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
CONFERENCE USA|MIKE MACINTYRE|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL132 FPICUSA · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
34FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
74%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
85%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-11IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#950 BC / 19
BC RATIO
2%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
4-8ACTUALvs3.0-9.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN-11.8
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE4
PERFORMANCE4
TALENT48
CONTINUITY74
DEFENSE34
PERFORMANCE34
TALENT50
CONTINUITY85
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
34MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 26ALOUISIANA TECH—L 17-22241616-12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
1SEP 2HMAINE—W 14-12————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 9HNORTH TEXAS—W 46-39303636-32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16AUCONN—W 24-17331010-6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HLIBERTY#25L 6-3897575-71BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 4ANEW MEXICO STATE—L 17-34174545-41BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11HUTEP—L 14-271888-4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18ASAM HOUSTON—W 33-2771414-10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 25HJACKSONVILLE STATE—L 16-4164747-43BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11AMIDDLE TENNESSEE—L 6-40352424-20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18AARKANSAS—L 20-44775959-55BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HWESTERN KENTUCKY—L 28-41364545-41BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB19TAL43PERF19RET13ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 10 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
KEYONE JENKINSQB SENO SNAPS
★3★39087%-6HELD
3
GRAYSON JAMESQB SERET
★3★34610%-18HELD
4
HADEN CARLSONQB JURET
★3—263%-24—
12
CHAYDEN PEERYQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
3
AMARI JONESQB JURET
★3★200%—FELL
17
ZACHARY WATERSQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB37TAL58PERF37RET39ONE OWNERn=2 · 5 METRICS · 10 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
SHOMARI LAWRENCERB SEPORTAL · SOUTH DAKOTA
UNR★28657%-25EMERGED
5
KEJON OWENSRB SERET
★3★37437%0HELD
15
T.J. SNOWDENRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
LEXINGTON JOSEPHRB SERET
★3—00%+14—
30
JORDAN CLEMONSRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
24
JOSE CORBORB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
36
NATE HENRYRB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▾WR/TE50TAL72PERF50RET76ROTATIONn=7 · 7 METRICS · 45 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
KRIS MITCHELLWR SERET
★3★49732%+19ROSE
11
DEAN PATTERSONWR SERET
UNR★38422%+14EMERGED
14
JALEN BRACEYWR SERET
UNR—8120%-28—
3
ERIC RIVERSWR SEPORTAL · MEMPHIS
★3★48120%-11ROSE
88
JOSIAH MIAMENTE SERET
★3—7240%+14—
81
ROCKY BEERSTE SENO SNAPS
UNR★36631%+15EMERGED
85
JACKSON MCDONALDTE JURET
UNR—6630%-9—
9
ARTEZ HOOKERWR JURET
★3★3402%-50HELD
19
ROSS FOURNETWR SERET
UNR—392%-49—
7
MIKE JACKSONWR SORET
★3★3251%—HELD
4
JACOBY MATTHEWSWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—170%——
81
LUBY MAURICE JR.WR FRTRUE FR
★3—100%——
25
DYLAN REDMONWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
80
CHRISTIAN PEDERSENTE JUPORTAL · LOUISVILLE
★3★300%—HELD
13
JOSHUA PENAWR FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
18
JAY BARRY JR.WR SORET
UNR—00%——
82
JETT LAWWR SORET
UNR—00%——
87
BRAIDEN STATENTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
99
ROWDY BEERSTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
7
KYLE MCNEALWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
84
AUSTIN FITTSTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL19TAL35PERF20RET85n=7 · 3 METRICS · 19 OBS
▸DL36TAL46PERF36RET69n=10 · 8 METRICS · 50 OBS
▸LB48TAL45PERF48RET87n=5 · 9 METRICS · 25 OBS
▸DB43TAL55PERF43RET92n=9 · 8 METRICS · 44 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KEYONE JENKINSHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
SHABORNE DEMPSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JAMARI HOLLIMANHS RECRUITS★3UNR
KYLE MCNEALHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
LUBY MAURICEHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
AJ COBBHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
JAHEIM BUCHANONHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
BRAIDEN STATENHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
TODDRICK BREWTONHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
LANDON HALEHS RECRUITS★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN8 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
AVERY HUFFMIAMILB★4★4
ERIC RIVERSMEMPHISATH★3★3
CLAUDE LARKINSNC STATEEDGE★3★3
CHRISTIAN PEDERSENLOUISVILLETE★3★3
SHOMARI LAWRENCESOUTH DAKOTARBUNR★2
ELIJAH ANDERSON-TAYLORNORTHERN COLORADOLBUNR★2
BOBBY SALLATEMPLESUNR★2
JOJO EVANSKENT STATESUNR★2
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT26 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SHAMAR HOBDY-LEEHOUSTONOL★3★3
GAETHAN BERNADELSTANFORDLB★3★3
JULIUS PIERCEMIDDLE TENNESSEEOL★3★3
ANDREW VOLMARUL MONROECB★3★2
SHAUN PETERSON JR.UCFDE★3UNR
RIVALDO FAIRWEATHERAUBURNTE★3★4
TYRESE CHAMBERSMARYLANDWR★2★4
E.J. WILSONTEMPLERB★3★3
REY BURNETTTULSAOLUNRUNR
JOE PERKINSJACKSON STATEDB★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES25%4 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS39%5 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#95NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8316COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
819 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST78% BACK78th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG78% BACK78th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR85%85th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR13%13th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST92%92th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE