SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›FRESNO STATE›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
PAC-12|JEFF TEDFORD|—RECORD11-2|CONF—
FRESNO STATE#18 AP 22 FPIPAC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
42FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#921 BC / 21
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
11-2ACTUALvs11.7-1.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.7 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+21.2
11 wins against a scoring profile describing 11.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
45MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HIDAHO—W 79-13————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 8AMINNESOTA—L 14-21666666+22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15AUCLA—W 38-14874242+46BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29HTOLEDO—W 49-27424949+39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6ANEVADA—W 21-3374141+47BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13HWYOMING—W 27-3164848+40BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20ANEW MEXICO—W 38-7332424+64BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27HHAWAI'I—W 50-20132121+67BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3AUNLV—W 48-3311919+69BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9ABOISE STATE#23L 17-24537979+9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17HSAN DIEGO STATE—W 23-14436464+24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24HSAN JOSÉ STATE—W 31-13361212+76BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 1ABOISE STATE#23W 19-16537979+9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET81NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
JORGE REYNAQB SERET
UNR—00%——
6
MARCUS MCMARYIONQB SERET
UNR—00%——
18
HUNTER RAQUETQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
24
SAEVION JOHNSONRB SERET
★2★200%—HELD
9
JOSH HOKITRB SERET
UNR—00%——
32
ROMELLO HARRISRB JURET
★3—00%——
11
DEJONTE O'NEALRB SERET
UNR—00%——
30
KHAI WILLIAMSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
20
RONNIE RIVERSRB SERET
★2—00%——
7
JORDAN MIMSRB SERET
★2—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
82
DELVON HARDAWAYWR —RET
UNR—00%——
7
DERRION GRIMWR SERET
★3—00%——
15
CAM SUTTONTE SERET
UNR—00%——
3
KEESEAN JOHNSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
1
JAMIRE JORDANWR SERET
UNR—00%——
13
JUSTIN ALLENWR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
DAVID TANGIPATE SERET
UNR—00%——
16
JARED RICETE SERET
UNR—00%——
89
KYLE RIDDERINGTE SERET
UNR—00%——
6
CHRIS COLEMANWR SERET
★2★200%—HELD
19
FRANK DALENAWR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
DAVID TATE JR.TE SERET
★3—00%——
2
PATRICK ELIMA-JEUNEWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
2
ZANE POPEWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
87
NAMANI PARKERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
26
BRIAN BURTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
87
RAYMOND PAUWELSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
1
KERIC WHEATFALLWR SERET
★2—00%——
80
JUAN RODRIGUEZTE SERET
UNR—00%——
23
KEVIN PARKERWR —RET
UNR—00%——
15
DANIEL MORAGATE —RET
★3—00%——
80
GUNNER JAVERNICKTE —RET
UNR—00%——
84
ANTHONY GRAYSON JR.WR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
25
AUSTIN ALEXANDERTE —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS21 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TYRONE SAMPSON JR.HS RECRUITOC★4UNR
ISAIAH JOHNSONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
EMORYIE EDWARDSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ALEXANDRE DUMAISHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
STEVEN COMSTOCKHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
MATT LAWSONHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
MATT KJELDGAARDHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
AUSTIN ALEXANDERHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
KILIFI LEAAETOAHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
RODNEY WRIGHT IIIHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT14 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHASON VIRGILSE LOUISIANAQBUNRUNR
ROBERT STANLEYNOT LISTEDILBUNR—
STEPHEN VAN HOOKNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
NATHAN MADSENNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
DA'MARI SCOTTNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
JUSTIN GREENNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
TOBENNA OKEKENOT LISTEDDEUNR—
DESHAWN POTTSNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
NELA OTUKOLONOT LISTEDILBUNR—
DONTE COLEMANNOT LISTEDTE★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#92NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 21 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7969COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST86% BACK86th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG86% BACK86th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR81%81th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE