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● LIVE|2020 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›FRESNO STATE›2020TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
PAC-12|KALEN DEBOER|—RECORD3-3|CONF—
FRESNO STATE95 FPIPAC · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
37FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1210 BC / 18
BC RATIO
4%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
3-3ACTUALvs3.3-2.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+2.8
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE6 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
22MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
8OCT 24HHAWAI'I—L 19-34312424+6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29HCOLORADO STATE—W 38-17382828+2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 7AUNLV—W 40-273844+26BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 14AUTAH STATE—W 35-163288+22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 5ANEVADA—L 26-37335757-27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
15DEC 12ANEW MEXICO—L 39-49211010+20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET2NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
17
JALAN EARLYQB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
10
BEN WOOLDRIDGEQB SERET
★2★200%—HELD
9
JAKE HAENERQB SERET
★3—00%——
4
LOGAN FIFEQB SENO SNAPS
★2★300%—ROSE
19
BRADEN WINGLEQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
19
JOSEPH CAMPBELLQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET71NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
24
SAEVION JOHNSONRB SERET
★2★200%—HELD
20
RONNIE RIVERSRB SERET
★2—00%——
7
JORDAN MIMSRB SERET
★2—00%——
28
JEVON BIGELOWRB SERET
UNR★200%—EMERGED
23
MALIK SHERRODRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
34
ZION ECHOLSRB SERET
★3—00%——
29
ESTEVAN BARRAGANRB FRRET
UNR—00%——
23
MCKINLEY LEE IIIRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
33
ELIJAH GILLIAMRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
ZANE POPEWR SERET
★3—00%——
5
JALEN MORENO-CROPPERWR SERET
★4—00%——
87
RAYMOND PAUWELSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
88
RORY HANSONTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
JORDAN BROWNWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
6
CHRIS COLEMANWR SERET
★2★200%—HELD
3
JAMAL GLASPIEWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
3
ERIK BROOKSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
MAC DALENAWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
1
KERIC WHEATFALLWR SERET
★2—00%——
80
JUAN RODRIGUEZTE SERET
UNR—00%——
3
JOSH KELLYWR SERET
★3★400%—ROSE
81
JORDAN BROWNWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
25
KEVIN PARKERWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
DAVID TATE JR.TE SERET
★3—00%——
2
PATRICK ELIMA-JEUNEWR JURET
★3—00%——
4
EMORYIE EDWARDSWR SERET
★3—00%——
89
JARED TORRESTE SERET
UNR—00%——
17
RODNEY WRIGHT IIIWR JURET
★3—00%——
82
MICAH PASIONTE FRRET
UNR—00%——
86
MATT LOWETE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
84
DAVID TATE JRTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
16
GRANT LAKEWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS18 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JUSTIN HOUSTONHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
JORDAN BERRYHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
JOSEPH CHURCHHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
JULIAN POLENDOHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
MATT LOWEHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
KAMRON FORESTHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
MALIK SHERRODHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
CJ JONESHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
DUPREE WILLIAMSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
MAC DALENAHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT15 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JUSTIN RICEARKANSAS STATELB★3★3
MYKAL WALKERNFL DRAFT R4LBUNR—
RICKY MCCOYELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
JARED RICEELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
JASAD HAYNESELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
DERRION GRIMELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
JARON BRYANTELIGIBILITY UPDB★2—
JUJU HUGHESELIGIBILITY UPDB★3—
BRYSON OGLESBYELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
JOSH HOKITELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#121NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 18 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8227COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
56TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
5
15
14
11
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +6 W
IMPROVED25 OF 56
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST40% BACK40th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG40% BACK40th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR2%2th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE