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● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
SEC|KIRBY SMART|—RECORD11-2|CONF—
GEORGIA#7 AP 3 FPISEC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
99FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#121 BC / 26
BC RATIO
68%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
11-2ACTUALvs11.1-1.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+20.6
11 wins against a scoring profile describing 11.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
72MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HAUSTIN PEAY—W 45-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 8ASOUTH CAROLINA—W 41-17858585+14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15HMIDDLE TENNESSEE—W 49-7343030+69BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22AMISSOURI—W 43-29679191+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29HTENNESSEE—W 38-12906464+35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6HVANDERBILT—W 41-13697171+28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13ALSU#6L 16-36969797+2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27HFLORIDA#7W 36-17919494+5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3AKENTUCKY#12W 34-17778181+18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HAUBURN—W 27-10919595+4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17HMASSACHUSETTS—W 66-27281414+85BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24HGEORGIA TECH—W 45-21654343+56BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 1HALABAMA#2L 28-3599100100-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET96NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
MATTHEW DOWNINGQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR★200%—EMERGED
11
JAKE FROMMQB JURET
★4—00%——
1
JUSTIN FIELDSQB JURET
UNR—00%——
22
JES SUTHERLANDQB SERET
UNR—00%——
16
JOHN SETERQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
13
STETSON BENNETTQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
4
MASON WOODQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET97NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
33
IAN DONALD-MCINTYRERB JURET
UNR—00%——
35
BRIAN HERRIENRB SERET
★3—00%——
7
D'ANDRE SWIFTRB JURET
★5—00%——
29
LOFTON TIDWELLRB FRRET
★2—00%——
4
JAMES COOKRB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
29
DARIUS JACKSONRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
46
JUSTIN FIELDSFB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
18
ISAAC NAUTATE JURET
★5—00%——
87
TYLER SIMMONSWR SERET
★3—00%——
89
CHARLIE WOERNERTE SERET
★4—00%——
23
WILLIE ERDMANWR JURET
UNR—00%——
88
JACKSON HARRISTE SERET
UNR—00%——
5
TERRY GODWINWR SERET
UNR—00%——
2
JAYSON STANLEYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
10
KEARIS JACKSONWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
4
MECOLE HARDMANWR JURET
★5—00%——
8
RILEY RIDLEYWR JURET
★4—00%——
25
AHKIL CRUMPTONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
82
LUKE FORDTE SERET
UNR—00%——
13
JJ HOLLOMANWR SERET
UNR—00%——
16
DEMETRIS ROBERTSONWR SENO SNAPS
★5★300%—FELL
19
TREY BLOUNTWR SERET
★4★300%—FELL
26
PATRICK BURKEWR JURET
UNR—00%——
10
JOSH MORANWR SERET
UNR—00%——
3
MATT LANDERSWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
31
REID TULOWITZKYWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
42
MITCHELL WERNTZTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
CAMERON MOOREWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
81
STEVEN VAN TIFLINWR —RET
UNR—00%——
84
WYATT PAYNEWR —RET
UNR—00%——
83
WIX PATTONTE —RET
UNR—00%——
30
ED FERGUSONWR —RET
UNR—00%——
80
J.T. DOOLEYWR —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JUSTIN FIELDSHS RECRUITDUAL★5UNR
ZAMIR WHITEHS RECRUITRB★5UNR
JAMAREE SALYERHS RECRUITOG★5UNR
TYSON CAMPBELLHS RECRUITCB★5UNR
ADAM ANDERSONHS RECRUITOLB★5UNR
CADE MAYSHS RECRUITOT★5UNR
BRENTON COXHS RECRUITSDE★5UNR
QUAY WALKERHS RECRUITOLB★4UNR
JAMES COOKHS RECRUITAPB★4UNR
LUKE FORDHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT18 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JACOB EASONWASHINGTONQB★5UNR
LORENZO CARTERNFL DRAFT R3OLBUNR—
JAVON WIMSNFL DRAFT R7WRUNR—
NICK CHUBBNFL DRAFT R2?UNR—
SONY MICHELNFL DRAFT R1?UNR—
ROQUAN SMITHNFL DRAFT R1ILBUNR—
JOHN ATKINSNOT LISTED?UNR—
DAVIN BELLAMYNOT LISTEDOLBUNR—
AULDEN BYNUMNOT LISTEDOTUNR—
REGGIE CARTERNOT LISTEDILBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#1NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
21OF 26 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9377COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST60% BACK60th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG60% BACK60th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR96%96th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE