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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
SEC|KIRBY SMART|—RECORD15-0|CONF—
GEORGIA#1 AP 1 FPISEC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
99FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
20%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#322 BC / 31
BC RATIO
71%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
13-0ACTUALvs12.1-0.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.9 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+26.4
13 wins against a scoring profile describing 12.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE98
PERFORMANCE98
TALENT89
CONTINUITY20
DEFENSE98
PERFORMANCE98
TALENT91
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE15 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
71MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
7 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HOREGON#15W 49-3969292+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HSAMFORD—W 33-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 17ASOUTH CAROLINA#23W 48-7868080+20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24HKENT STATE—W 39-22191818+82BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1AMISSOURI—W 26-22786767+33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8HAUBURN—W 42-10885959+41BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15HVANDERBILT—W 55-0593535+65BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29HFLORIDA—W 42-20927575+25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5HTENNESSEE#6W 27-13879797+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12AMISSISSIPPI STATE#20W 45-19808686+14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19AKENTUCKY—W 16-6818282+18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HGEORGIA TECH—W 37-14792222+78BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 3HLSU#16W 50-30959090+10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 31HOHIO STATE#4W 42-41999898+2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLJAN 9HTCU#2W 65-7779696+4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB74TAL100PERF74RET100ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
STETSON BENNETTQB SERET
UNR—9392%+40—
11
CARSON BECKQB SERET
★4★4417%+28HELD
12
BROCK VANDAGRIFFQB JURET
★5★461%—FELL
16
JACKSON MUSCHAMPQB JURET
★3—00%——
14
GUNNER STOCKTONQB JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
26
COLLIN DRAKEQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB83TAL91PERF83RET90ROTATIONn=4 · 9 METRICS · 22 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
KENNY MCINTOSHRB SERET
★4—9443%+27—
30
DAIJUN EDWARDSRB SERET
★4—8529%+2—
2
KENDALL MILTONRB SERET
★4—6915%+17—
22
BRANSON ROBINSONRB JUNO SNAPS
★4★35910%-18FELL
32
CASH JONESRB SERET
★5—251%——
SEVAUGHN CLARKRB SERET
UNR—211%-31—
0
ANDREW PAULRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
45
JACOB HARDIERB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE77TAL89PERF69RET85ONE OWNERn=8 · 8 METRICS · 49 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
19
BROCK BOWERSTE JURET
★4—10048%+39—
DARNELL WASHINGTONTE JURET
★5—9639%——
84
LADD MCCONKEYWR JURET
★3—9029%+26—
1
MARCUS ROSEMY-JACKSAINTWR SERET
★4—7519%-5—
86
DILLON BELLWR SENO SNAPS
★3—7116%-25—
10
KEARIS JACKSONWR SERET
★4—6511%+24—
12
DOMINICK BLAYLOCKWR JURET
★4★3598%+24FELL
5
ADONAI MITCHELLWR JURET
★4★5577%+26ROSE
4
OSCAR DELPTE SENO SNAPS
★4—558%——
11
ARIAN SMITHWR SERET
★5—484%——
7
JACKSON MEEKSWR SERET
★3★3443%—HELD
8
DE'NYLON MORRISSETTEWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★3443%—FELL
86
RYLAND GOEDETE SERET
★4★3362%—FELL
89
ARIK GILBERTTE SORET
★5★3322%—FELL
80
BRETT SEITHERTE SERET
★3★3261%—HELD
4
MEKHI MEWSWR SERET
UNR★3130%—EMERGED
83
COLE SPEERWR SENO SNAPS
★3—70%——
1
CJ SMITHWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★370%—FELL
85
DREW SHEEHANTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
24
NATHAN PRIESTLEYWR JURET
★2—00%——
44
CADE BROCKTE JURET
★2—00%——
43
DAVIS DAYTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
BRAXTON HICKSWR JURET
UNR—00%——
46
GEORGE VININGWR SERET
UNR—00%——
39
MILES THORNTONWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
LOGAN JOHNSONWR SONO SNAPS
★3★200%—FELL
29
LUKE BENNETTWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
31
GRANT BRISCOEWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
36
RANDON JERNIGANWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
38
BROOKS BORTLEWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
48
COOPER JOHNSONTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
49
SAMUEL JOHNSONTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL75TAL93PERF75RET0n=7 · 3 METRICS · 21 OBS
▸DL54TAL91PERF54RET74n=11 · 7 METRICS · 50 OBS
▸LB63TAL92PERF64RET89n=9 · 11 METRICS · 47 OBS
▸DB70TAL90PERF70RET78n=9 · 8 METRICS · 48 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MYKEL WILLIAMSHS RECRUITDL★5UNR
MALAKI STARKSHS RECRUITATH★5UNR
MARVIN JONES JR.HS RECRUITEDGE★5UNR
JAHEIM SINGLETARYHS RECRUITCB★5UNR
DAYLEN EVERETTEHS RECRUITCB★5UNR
EARNEST GREENE IIIHS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
JALON WALKERHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
BEAR ALEXANDERHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
BRANSON ROBINSONHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
JULIO HUMPHREYHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT28 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JALEN KIMBERFLORIDACB★4★3
JT DANIELSWEST VIRGINIAQB★5★5
JAYLEN JOHNSONEAST CAROLINAWRUNRUNR
AMEER SPEEDMICHIGAN STATECB★4UNR
LATAVIOUS BRINIARKANSASDB★4UNR
TYMON MITCHELLTCUDL★4UNR
JERMAINE BURTONALABAMAWR★4UNR
JEHLEN CANNADYTULSASUNRUNR
JUSTIN ROBINSONMISSISSIPPI STATEWR★4★3
CHANNING TINDALLELIGIBILITY UPLB★4—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#3NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
22OF 31 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9272COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST63% BACK63th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG63% BACK63th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST78%78th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE